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17:30 Southwell

Tuesday 19 November 2024

All16:3017:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

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3YO plus | Class 5 | 1m 3f 23y | 12 Runners | Allweather

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(2)

Sol Cayo⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Sean Kirrane| T: Fionn McSharry| OR: 75

10/1

12/1, good second of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 47 days ago. Enters calculations on the back of that solid effort.

Form: 21/0-602

(3)

Molinari¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: D Nolan| T: M Todhunter| OR: 74| D

11/2

3/1, didn't need to improve to win 10-runner handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 11 days ago. Shade more needed up 6 lb but he's clearly in good heart and should make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick.

Form: 872311

(12)

Orange N Blue²⁹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 74| BF

18/1

3/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable third of 9 in handicap at Kempton (12f). Off 9 months. First run for yard after leaving Jane Chapple-Hyam and needs to raise his game.

Form: 545-433

(6)

Timetobenice⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Harry Davies| T: M Botti| OR: 75

11/4

Good fourth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 9/1) 8 days ago. High on the shortlist back up in trip here off the same mark.

Form: 12-4394

(7)

Sgian Dubh⁴⁸⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: D C Costello| T: J W Mullins| OR: 71

33/1

Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. 6/1, fourth of 7 in juvenile hurdle at Newton Abbot (16.8f, good to soft) on NH debut. Off 16 months ahead of this handicap debut and probably best watched.

Form: 833-

(5)

Sense Of Worth¹⁹¹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-5| J: Alex Jary⁽⁵⁾| T: S Spencer| OR: 70| CD

25/1

C&D winner. 22/1, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 6 months but will likely be on the premises if fully tuned-up.

Form: 322276

(11)

Highwaygrey^p,t¹⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-5| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 70

25/1

Tongue strap on for 1st time, fifth of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 25/1) 18 days ago, very slowly away. Looks vulnerable.

Form: 205375

(4)

It's A Love Thing^t²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: J Fanning| T: S England| OR: 70| C| D

20/1

Course winner. 7/1, last of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 21 days ago, slowly away. Others make more appeal.

Form: 225089

(10)

Unplugged³⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 9-5| J: Joanna Mason| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 70

33/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Ninth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 22/1) 35 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 223059

(1)

Hebridean Nomad⁴¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Jason Watson| T: A M Balding| OR: 74

11/4

Promising sort. 7/2, won 11-runner novice at Kempton (8f), battling well. That was 13 months ago and absent since but as an unexposed colt from a top yard he is very much of interest now upped in trip for this handicap debut.

Form: 41-

(9)

Raja Raja⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Rob Hornby| T: D M Simcock| OR: 73

9/2

Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, below form fourth of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (12f, heavy) 54 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Makes tapeta debut.

Form: 66594

(8)

Kinetic^p⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Hector Crouch| T: James Owen| OR: 73| C| D

7/1

Course winner. 4 wins from 15 runs this year, the latest here in September. 125/1, 18 lengths tenth of 12 to Sea Theme in listed race at Lingfield (13f, AW) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and not without an each-way squeak in these calmer waters.

Form: 141550

Forecasts

Hebridean Nomad (11/4), Molinari (9/2), Timetobenice (5/1), Sol Cayo (6/1), Orange N Blue (10/1), Raja Raja (12/1), Highwaygrey (16/1), Kinetic (16/1), It's A Love Thing (16/1), Sense Of Worth (16/1), Unplugged (20/1), Sgian Dubh (25/1)

Low-mileage 3-y-o TIMETOBENICE was denied a clear run at a crucial stage when fourth over 9.5f at Wolverhampton last week and, granted better luck back up in trip here, he could be the answer. The one with the most striking potential is Hebridean Nomad, who landed a Kempton novice on the second of his two starts as a juvenile. He should be suited by this stiffer test now handicapping and it will be interesting to see how he shapes up in the betting. The in-form Molinari is best of the rest.