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16:30 Chelmsford City

Saturday 9 November 2024

All16:3017:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:00

Betfair EBF 'Confined' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Off time: 16:31 | Winning time: 1m 25.72s

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Selected odds by:

(13)

Royal Alliance²⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-11| J: Billy Loughnane| T: G Boughey| D

3/1

Gelded after debut and well backed, he landed 9-runner novice at Newcastle (7.1f) 25 days ago. Penalty to carry but open to further improvement.

Form: 41

(2)

Akrramm¹⁰¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: J Mitchell| T: R Varian

3/1

Displayed ability when sixth of 13 in novice (17/2) at Sandown (7f, good to firm) on debut, not knocked about. Off 101 days. Should progress as he's in the right hands.

Form: 6

(6)

Beccali⁹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: D C Costello| T: C Appleby| BF

15/2

€310,000 foal, €580,000 yearling, Lope De Vega colt who has failed to meet market expectations both starts so far over 6f. Given a break and now tackles 7f, so may well raise his game.

Form: 77

(3)

Boubyan⁶⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: William Carver⁽³⁾| T: A M Balding

66/1

Showed a bt more than on debut but still looked in need of the experience when sixth of 11 in novice at Kempton (7f, 28/1) 64 days ago. Should improve.

Form: 76

(10)

Breakdancer

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: R Coakley| T: S & E Crisford

5/1

Foaled February 25. 185,000 gns foal, 450,000 gns yearling, Wootton Bassett colt. Dam 2-y-o 5.7f/6f winner, fourth in Cheveley Park Stakes, from a very good family. Noteworthy newcomer.

Form:

(7)

Elements Of Fire

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden

7/2

Foaled February 17. 320,000 gns yearling, Too Darn Hot colt. Half-brother to 7f winner Forgotten Treasure. Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner, closely related to useful 2-y-o 5f winner Southern Hills. Lot to like on paper.

Form:

(4)

Estmrar

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Harry Davies| T: S & E Crisford

16/1

Foaled March 31. $170,000 yearling, $120,000 2-y-o, Global Campaign colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful US 5.5f-6.5f minor winner What'sontheagenda, runner-up in Grade 3 5f event. Dam US maiden. Makes plenty of appeal.

Form:

(1)

Hymnbook

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Ben Sanderson⁽³⁾| T: S Woods

100/1

Foaled April 6. 90,000 gns yearling, Acclamation colt. Brother to 6f winner Commandment and half-brother to 2m winner First Blood. Dam unraced sister to smart 6f/7f winner Unequal Love.

Form:

(11)

Raafedd

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Cieren Fallon| T: W J Haggas

12/1

Foaled April 12. 68,000 gns foal, 370,000 gns yearling, Teofilo colt. Closely related to 7f winner Elsals. Dam 2-y-o 5f winner out of useful 2-y-o 6f/7f winner English Ballet. Newcomer of obvious interest.

Form:

(12)

Unknown Journey⁵⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Finley Marsh| T: P Attwater| OR: 68

100/1

Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, first run since leaving Peter Chapple-Hyam when sixth of 13 in novice at Kempton (7f) 50 days ago.

Form: 646

(14)

West Wickham⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Darragh Keenan| T: George Scott

200/1

Last of 11 in maiden (33/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 5 days ago.

Form: 70

(5)

Dance In The Storm

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: Callum Hutchinson| T: A M Balding

33/1

Foaled May 1. Night of Thunder filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart winner up to 7f Dancing Star and useful 6f-7f winner Foxtrot Lady. Dam 6f winner. One to note on debut.

Form:

Non-Runners

(9)

Keble Spirit³⁵

Weight: 9-4| Age: 2

T: J & T Gosden J: K T O'Neill

(8)

Wilhelmina²⁹

Weight: 8-13| Age: 2

T: K P De Foy J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Royal Alliance (3/1), Akrramm (3/1), Elements Of Fire (7/2), Breakdancer (5/1), Beccali (15/2), Wilhelmina (15/2), Raafedd (12/1), Keble Spirit (14/1), Estmrar (16/1), Dance In The Storm (33/1), Boubyan (66/1), Hymnbook (100/1), Unknown Journey (100/1), West Wickham (200/1)

Plenty of depth to this so conceding a penalty won't be easy for ROYAL ALLIANCE, but he was quite impressive at Newcastle so he rates the percentage call. Akrramm ran in a hot race on debut so is sure to improve, while there are a plethora of interesting-looking newcomers, notably Elements of Fire and Breakdancer.