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17:45 Kempton

Wednesday 2 October 2024

All16:0016:3517:1017:4518:2018:5519:3020:0020:30

ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

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(2)

Willem Twee⁶²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Oisin Murphy| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 108| CD

11/10

Smart C&D winner. Enhanced his excellent AW record when defying a mark of 106 at Wolverhampton (6f) at the beginning of August and he's the one to beat under Oisin Murphy.

Form: 11-3931

(1)

Equilateral⁶⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 9-5| J: Rossa Ryan| T: C Hills| OR: 103| D

15/2

More miss than hit in 2024 but his penultimate Sandown third shows he's still capable of smart form on his day. This is only his second AW outing on career start number 45.

Form: 05-0530

(8)

Go Bears Go¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: D Egan| T: D Loughnane| OR: 104| D

9/1

Group 3 winner in summer 2022 but doesn't look anything like the same force these days, albeit this is a bit easier than the Group races he's tackled since rejoining David Loughnane after a spell in the US.

Form: 3036-60

(5)

Juan Les Pins^p¹⁰²

Age: 7| Weight: 9-5| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 98| CD

16/1

C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Given a break since finishing down the field in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot in June.

Form: 289760

(3)

Zero Carbon^p⁴³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Finley Marsh| T: R Hughes| OR: 89| C| D

18/1

Useful sort who operates very well around here, taking his course record to 4-8 when making all in 7f handicap last time. Looks to be biting off more than he can chew against these smart rivals, though.

Form: 103461

(7)

Night Raider³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Tom Marquand| T: K R Burke| OR: 100

7/2

Impressive winner over 7f at Southwell on first 2 starts. Has come up short in good company on turf since but he did show up well for a long way back from wind surgery at Newmarket (6f) at the end of August and no shock were he to resume his progression back on AW.

Form: 1-1005

(4)

Kinta^h,t²¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Billy Loughnane| T: G Boughey| OR: 99| CD

7/1

Useful C&D winner. 17/2 and tongue strap on first time, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Lingfield (6f) in March. Should go well if ready to roll after 7 months off.

Form: 7/012-64

(6)

Gutsy Girl¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: K Shoemark| T: C Fellowes| OR: 89| CD

17/2

Useful effort when winning a C&D handicap in July. Runner-up at the York Ebor meeting next time but a step up to listed company too much at Ayr 12 days ago. Has a bit to find on these terms.

Form: 1-33129

Forecasts

Willem Twee (6/4), Night Raider (4/1), Kinta (9/2), Equilateral (13/2), Go Bears Go (12/1), Gutsy Girl (14/1), Juan Les Pins (14/1), Zero Carbon (20/1)

A smart conditions race in which WILLEM TWEE can land another AW win. In receipt of 9 lb Kinta could give the selection a run for his money if fully primed after 7 months off. Another interesting contender is Karl Burke 3-y-o Night Raider, who took a step back in the right direction at Newmarket last time and looked really promising when winning twice on AW by a combined 14 lengths at the start of his career.