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17:15 Brighton

Monday 9 September 2024

All14:2014:5515:3016:0516:4017:1517:50

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 'Confined' Handicap

Off time: 17:15 | Winning time: 2m 8.28s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

The Thunderer^v¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-3| J: Marco Ghiani| T: S C Williams| OR: 71| D

16/5

Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. 22/1, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 11 days ago. Best turf form has come on good/good to firm, so forecast conditions are a worry.

Form: 407236

(4)

Afloat¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: Billy Loughnane| T: Rae Guest| OR: 69| D

15/2

Eighth of 10 in handicap (33/1) at Goodwood (9.9f, soft) 16 days ago, met some trouble. Remains 3 lb above last winning mark and she's opposable.

Form: 4311-78

(5)

Dr Foster^b¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: Rossa Ryan| T: M Appleby| OR: 70

15/2

Temperamental sort. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 9/1) 14 days ago. Back up in trip and blinkers back on. Place possibilities.

Form: 883255

(6)

Carnival Day⁴⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Hollie Doyle| T: J R Boyle| OR: 67

10/3

First run since leaving David Simcock when fifth of 7 in handicap at Sandown (10f, good, 14/1) 45 days ago, needing stiffer test. Booking of Doyle a plus and will have a chance if handling conditions.

Form: 78-5435

(7)

Speed Court⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Hayley Turner| T: Harry Eustace| OR: 65

9/1

Eighth of 9 in handicap at Newmarket (10f, good to firm, 12/1) 51 days ago. That race may have come too soon, just 9 days after he's fairly encouraging reappearance spin on good to soft at Epsom. More needed but not completely ruled out.

Form: 6532-48

(2)

Sun Festival^p²⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: Alice Bond⁽⁷⁾| T: J Parr| OR: 59| CD

28/1

C&D winner. 9/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, good) 27 days ago, slowly away. Cheekpieces back on and will have a real chance if he goes on the ground (unraced on slower than good).

Form: 41223-8

(1)

Myna⁴⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: T E Whelan| T: M P Tregoning| OR: 64

7/2

3/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Newbury (10f, good to firm) 46 days ago, no match for winner. Possibilities if able to reproduce that level of form on what is likely to be much slower ground here.

Form: 97-2752

(3)

Platinum Prince^v¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: Paddy Bradley| T: G & J Moore| OR: 56| C| D

12/1

Unreliable individual. Course winner. Creditable second of 7 in handicap (20/1) at Goodwood (9f, good) 17 days ago, running on. Likely slow surface won't be an issue and will have a chance if able to back that effort up.

Form: 55-7202

Forecasts

The Thunderer (16/5), Carnival Day (10/3), Myna (7/2), Afloat (15/2), Dr Foster (15/2), Speed Court (9/1), Platinum Prince (12/1), Sun Festival (28/1)

While PLATINUM PRINCE isn't one to set your watch by, he will surely go close if in the same form as when runner-up in an amateur riders' race at Goodwood recently. The prospect of soft ground is of no great concern for this 7-y-o, whereas it is an unknown/a worry for several of these. Sun Festival abd Carnival Day (in order of preference) may emerge as the main dangers, given that The Thunderer appears to be at his best on a fast surface.