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16:55 Nottingham

Wednesday 13 October 2021

All13:0013:3014:0514:4015:1515:5016:2516:55

Davis Site Security Handicap

Off time: 16:59 | Winning time: 1m 0.07s

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(1)

Dark Shot^b¹¹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-7| J: Jonathan Fisher⁽⁵⁾| T: S Dixon| OR: 65| D

9/1

Several decent efforts to his name this year, including when sixth of 14 at Redcar (5f, good to firm) recently. However, losing run continues to mount and he again looks vulnerable for win purposes.

Form: 065406

(5)

Mehmo^v¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: W Buick| T: M Appleby| OR: 64| D

15/2

Quirky sort who belatedly shed maiden tag on fast ground at Doncaster (5f) in July. Has made the frame on 3 of his 4 subsequent starts and place possibilities here with William Buick aboard.

Form: 513264

(8)

Aleef^p1,t¹⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 9-6| J: S A Gray| T: K Frost| OR: 64| D

16/1

Back on the scoresheet at Lingfield (5f, good) in June. Shade below par in a 10-runner Newcastle handicap last time, but could have a part to play here if responding well to the new headgear.

Form: 164236

(11)

Somewhere Secret^v⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-5| J: J Garritty| T: R Menzies| OR: 63| D

12/1

None too reliable and though just 1 lb higher than when scoring at Carlisle during the spring, he's barely beaten a rival home for his new yard at Newcastle the last twice.

Form: 672800

(3)

Afandem^p²⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: D Fentiman| T: T D Easterby| OR: 62| CD

25/1

Dipped to a potentially very handy mark, but the handicapper's mercy is commensurate with this 7-y-o's long losing run, which stretches back to September 2019.

Form: 636080

(16)

Tom's Reign Beau^b²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: J P Sullivan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 61| D

14/1

Claims judged on pick of this season's form, but he was nearer last than first in first-time blinkers (retained here) in the Redcar handicap won by High Security.

Form: 453539

(14)

Cometh The Man⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: N Callan| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 60| BF

5/1

Sixteen-race maiden who has hit the crossbar on no less than 5 occasions this year. Not at his best at Ripon on latest start in August, but worth considering on debut for new yard.

Form: 226437

(6)

Twice Adaay^p⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A Keatley| OR: 59| D

17/2

Did the job well when opening her account at Beverley (5f, good to soft) in July. Nowhere near that level next 2 starts, but will be a danger to all if bouncing back here with Oisin Murphy booked.

Form: 404188

(4)

Refuge^p,t²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: B A Curtis| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 58| D

8/1

Just the one win to his name from 19 career starts, but has found just one too good on three occasions this season and wasn't beaten far in High Security's Redcar handicap last time. One to consider.

Form: 222786

(10)

Captain Corcoran⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Morgan Cole⁽⁷⁾| T: E J Alston| OR: 57| D

16/1

Little to write home about so far this year and it's easy enough to look elsewhere.

Form: 2-48678

(9)

Hemmsa⁹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Oliver Stammers⁽⁵⁾| T: T Kent| OR: 57WS

25/1

Eight-race maiden who finished last of five in a 5.3f Brighton handicap in July. Absent since and subsequent wind op will need to have sparked improvement if she's to play a leading role.

Form: 53-4755

(13)

Show Palace^p⁷⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 8-12| J: Rossa Ryan| T: J Candlish| OR: 56| CD

18/1

This multiple C&D winner has dipped to a very attractive mark, some 17 lb lower than for his latest success. Still, he hasn't shown enough in 3 starts this year to suggest that his turn may be near.

Form: 664-759

(12)

It Must Be Faith^v¹⁴

Age: 11| Weight: 8-9| J: Erika Parkinson⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 53| CD

18/1

Veteran campaigner who regained winning thread over 6f at Catterick in May. Best effort since when runner-up at that course (5f, good to soft) a fortnight ago and he's in with an each-way shout.

Form: 464972

(2)

Sambucca Spirit⁷²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-5| J: Cam Hardie| T: P T Midgley| OR: 49| BF| D

12/1

Hit the target twice in 2020 and several decent efforts to his name this year. That said, he appears to have his quirks and others look stronger on balance.

Form: 085656

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to all bets - deduction 10p in the pound

Non-Runners

(15)

High Security²¹

Weight: 9-4| Age: 3

T: N Tinkler J: Rowan Scott

(7)

Brandy Station¹⁷

Weight: 9-0| Age: 6

T: L Williamson J: Zak Wheatley

(17)

Red Walls¹³

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: L Williamson J: D C Costello

Forecasts

Cometh The Man (5/1), High Security (7/1), Mehmo (15/2), Refuge (8/1), Red Walls (8/1), Twice Adaay (17/2), Dark Shot (9/1), Brandy Station (10/1), Sambucca Spirit (12/1), Somewhere Secret (12/1), Tom's Reign Beau (14/1), Captain Corcoran (16/1), Aleef (16/1), It Must Be Faith (18/1), Show Palace (18/1), Afandem (25/1), Hemmsa (25/1)

REFUGE has yet to hit top form this season, but there were positives to glean from his latest effort in the Redcar handicap won by High Security. Beaten 2¼ lengths into sixth that day, Refuge meets that rival on 6 lb better terms this time and he could be the answer to a wide-open race. Twice Adaay will be a big player if able to bounce back, while Cometh The Man and Aleef are others to consider.