16:10 Newmarket

Saturday 6 June 2020

All13:1513:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:2017:55

Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 3  |   1m  |   Good to Firm  |   12 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:11  |   Winning time: 1m 35.16s
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Selected odds by:
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1
(4)
Horse silk
King's Pavilion239
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-7| J: A Kirby| T: J Ward| OR:  90| D
33/1
Excels in testing conditions as seen when winning a decent race at Ascot last year. Likely to need plenty of rain if he's to defy this mark but of interest if he gets his ground here.
2
(6)
Horse silk
Aces318
Age: 8|  Weight: 9-6| J: R L Moore| T: Ian Williams| OR:  89| C| D
33/1
Won two of his first three starts for this yard in 2018 and belatedly got his head back in front at Chester in June. Shaped as if amiss on latest run at Lingfield and has a longer absence to overcome than most here; yet to win over this far.
3
(11)
Horse silk
Montatham200
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-6| J: Jim Crowley| T: W J Haggas| OR:  89| BF
5/2
Won his first two starts as a three-year-old but found life tougher when tackling handicaps. Too keen when fourth of 14 at Kempton in November but gelded since and interesting that these top connections keep the faith with him.
4
(1)
Horse silk
Ambassadorial91
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-6| J: J F Egan| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR:  89
14/1
Hasn't won since debut for this yard at Chelmsford a year ago. Some promising efforts on dirt at Meydan this winter but yet to win on turf and has a tough ask here.
5
(7)
Horse silk
Exec Chef234
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-5| J: P Cosgrave| T: J R Boyle| OR:  88| D
9/2
Won his first three starts for this yard in 2018 but paid the price from a handicapping perspective and hasn't won since. At his very best over further than this and others make more appeal.
6
(12)
Horse silk
Alfred Boucher218
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-5| J: David Probert| T: H Candy| OR:  88| CD
7/1
Rattled off a hat-trick last year including a July course success but signs the handicapper had caught up with him towards the end of the campaign. May be capable of further progress this year and track/trip look his optimum; jockey in form.
7
(5)
Horse silk
Loch Ness Monster280
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-4| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR:  87| BF
25/1
Hasn't won since landing his maiden at Nottingham on second start. Some promising efforts last year but hard to argue he looks well treated from this handicap mark.
8
(8)
Horse silk
Model Guest235
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-4| J: P J McDonald| T: G G Margarson| OR:  87
28/1
Still a maiden after 13 starts but has run some big races including a fifth of 27 in the Sandringham last year at Royal Ascot. In and out of form since but does appear to be on a workable mark judged on some of her form.
9
(10)
Horse silk
Black Lotus227
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-3| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: C F Wall| OR:  86
15/2
All four of her wins have come at 1m2f and her C&D effort when last seen suggested that she would benefit from a step back up in trip; others preferred.
10
(3)
Horse silk
Jalaad215
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-3| J: Cieren Fallon(3)| T: S bin Suroor| OR:  86| D
5/1
Won a Doncaster maiden on his first three-year-old start and gained a first win since at Newcastle in September. Talented apprentice can claim 3lb but the gelding disappointed when previously tried here (July course) and others appeal more.
11
(9)
Horse silk
Noniosh91
Age: 8|  Weight: 8-13| J: Dylan Hogan(3)| T: D M Simcock| OR:  82| D
50/1
Seven-time winner but all those have come on AW and 0-10 on turf. Also at his best over a bit further than this; others preferred.
12
(2)
Horse silk
Pinnatat91
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-11| J: S M Levey| T: S C Williams| OR:  80| D
14/1
More effective on AW than turf and looks up against it from this mark in a race this competitive. At his best when allowed to dominate.

Forecasts

Montatham (5/2), Exec Chef (9/2), Jalaad (5/1), Alfred Boucher (7/1), Black Lotus (15/2), Ambassadorial (14/1), Pinnata (14/1), Loch Ness Monster (25/1), Model Guest (28/1), King's Pavilion (33/1), Aces (33/1), Nonios (50/1)

Verdict

She might still be a maiden but it might be worth taking a chance on MODEL GUEST. The filly is working her way down to a nice mark and while she's not the most consistent, as her record suggests, she might be capable if she's on one of her going days. Montatham is an obvious danger if the gelding operation gets his mind on the job while King's Pavilion isn't out of this if there's some significant rainfall.
  1. Model Guest
  2. Montatham
  3. King's Pavilion

Prize Money

1st: £6,728.002nd: £2,002.003rd: £1,000.004th: £500.00

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