16:00 Ascot

Saturday 12 May 2018

All14:1514:5015:2516:0016:3517:10

totescoop6 Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap)

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 2  |   7f  |   Good to Firm (Watered)  |   27 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:08  |   Winning time: 1m 25.4s
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Selected odds by:
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1
(11)
Horse silk
Zhui Fengp281
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-10| J: P J Dobbs| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR:  106| C
28/1
Very effective when allowed his own way on the front end as seen when winning the Royal Hunt Cup over 1m here last year but tends to need the first couple of runs of the season and he's better over 1m or 1m2f.
2
(10)
Horse silk
The Grape Escapet63
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-8| J: Louis Steward| T: S C Williams| OR:  104
50/1
Did well out in Dubai this winter, notably finishing runner-up in a valuable handicap at the start of March. His two prior efforts at this course have been disappointing but he's an interesting recruit on debut for his new yard.
3
(19)
Horse silk
Silent Attack28
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-7| J: S De Sousa| T: S bin Suroor| OR:  103| D
8/1
Returned from a lengthy absence to win at Lingfield last time out and while this is obviously tougher from 7lb higher, he gets the assistance of the Champion Jockey here. Place claims.
4
(27)
Horse silk
Tony Curtis21
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-7| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon| OR:  103| D
12/1
Not won since landing a Listed race at Salisbury in 2015 and doesn't always look like the easiest ride. Put up a couple of big efforts in handicaps last year though and shaped like he needed the run at Newbury last time. Not dismissed.
5
(28)
Horse silk
Firmament14
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-6| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara| OR:  102
14/1
Won a valuable handicap at York in 2016 but is on a long losing run at present and he's been well beaten on his two starts this campaign. Has run some big races here and on a nice mark now but draw probably not ideal.
6
(1)
Horse silk
Mr Scaramanga43
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-5| J: Charles Bishop| T: S Dow| OR:  101
50/1
Only won once in his last 21 starts and looks in need of some relief from the handicapper. Hard to fancy in a race this competitive.
7
(21)
Horse silk
Shady Mccoy170
Age: 8|  Weight: 9-5| J: Fran Berry| T: Ian Williams| OR:  101| BF| CD
40/1
C&D winner here in October and backed up with another big handicap win at York a week later. Running okay in defeat since and it's a positive he's returned to this course but there's a suspicion the handicapper has caught up with him.
8
(16)
Horse silk
Raising Sand217
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-4| J: D C Costello| T: J A Osborne| OR:  100| C| D
16/1
Saves his best efforts for this course and has won twice over 1m here. Two excellent efforts in defeat over C&D last year certainly encouraging and race fitness the only real concern ahead of his reappearance.
9
(22)
Horse silk
Burnt Sugar14
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-3| J: Ben Sanderson(7)| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR:  99| D
50/1
Ended a long losing run at Doncaster last year and won again at Leopardstown later in the campaign. Would seemingly be back in the handicappers grip for now and he's shown very little on two starts this campaign.
10
(26)
Horse silk
Escobar210
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-1| J: A Kirby| T: D O'Meara| OR:  97| D
12/1
Improved from his maiden win to land a Listed race at Newbury but not won since that day in 2016. Largely out of form last year but yard do well with these sorts and betting market could prove informative on debut for these connections.
11
(17)
Horse silk
Repercussiont21
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-1| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes| OR:  97
16/1
Seemingly won with plenty in hand when winning at Newmarket in September but got a 10lb hike for that effort. Has returned with two solid efforts this year, most recently when fifth of 22 at Newbury last month and not ruled out if building on that.
12
(7)
Horse silk
Keyser Soze21
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-0| J: J P Spencer| T: R Spencer| OR:  96| D
9/2
Didn't need to improve to win his maiden at Thirsk last year and followed up with a win at Kempton. Travelled beautifully on his return at Newbury last month and should get a strong pace to aim at again here.
13
(12)
Horse silk
Get Knottedp14
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-12| J: P Mulrennan| T: M Dods| OR:  94| D
25/1
Produced a career best effort at York last year and returned with a promising 6L second at Haydock last time in a competitive race when back on the same mark as his last win. Will get the strong pace he needs here and should go well.
14
(14)
Horse silk
Sabador324
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-11| J: W Buick| T: E Walker| OR:  93| D
9/1
Won two of his first four starts and can be forgiven his latest run at the Royal meeting when drawn on the wrong side. Another who will want a strong pace and remains on a workable mark.
16
(6)
Horse silk
Louie de Palma1381
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-10| J: Hector Crouch| T: C G Cox| OR:  92| C
10/1
A winner of his first two starts in 2014 and placed in Group 2 company on third start that year. However, not been seen since and while handicapper has tried to give him a chance, it's a huge ask to land any sort of blow on return from that absence.
17
(23)
Horse silk
Gilgamesh21
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-10| J: David Egan(3)| T: George Scott| OR:  92| D
25/1
Rattled off a four-timer culminating in a Redcar win in May. Probably needed the run on return from an absence at Newbury last time and could be well-handicapped off this sort of mark.
18
(25)
Horse silk
Charles Molson147
Age: 7|  Weight: 8-10| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: P R Chamings| OR:  92| D
33/1
Gives the impression he's more effective on turf these days than AW but ran a fine race when fifth of 24 in this last year and returns on the same mark. Place claims.
19
(5)
Horse silk
Brilliant Vanguardp25
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-8| J: Nicola Currie(5)| T: K A Ryan| OR:  90
66/1
Progressive last year, rattling off a hat-trick over 1m but he's been below form in two starts this campaign and questionable whether he wants this drop back in trip.
20
(8)
Horse silk
Via Serendipityt16
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-8| J: M Dwyer| T: S C Williams| OR:  90| D
25/1
Gained a first win since landing his maiden at Newmarket back at that course in November and shaped well on his AW return when placed at Chelmsford last month. On a nice mark but may be better over 1m.
21
(3)
Horse silk
Poet's Society14
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-8| J: J Quinn| T: C & M Johnston| OR:  90| D
50/1
Useful sprinter on his day and has proved useful over this trip on AW this winter. Disappointed when returned to turf last time out though and others look better treated.
22
(29)
Horse silk
Nicholas T43
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-7| J: Phil Dennis(3)| T: J S Goldie| OR:  89
50/1
Had been out of form prior to an unfortunate incident at Newcastle last time when he unseated the rider. Still above his last winning mark and others preferred.
24
(15)
Horse silk
Makaarim116
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-6| J: Charlie Bennett(3)| T: H Morrison| OR:  88| BF| D
50/1
Both wins have come on AW and well beaten in two turf starts. May want a step back up in trip to be seen to best effect.
25
(18)
Horse silk
Sea Fox28
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-6| J: Gabriele Malune(5)| T: P D Evans| OR:  88| D
40/1
Has found a bit of consistency on AW this winter and won at Kempton earlier in February, gaining his first win since his maiden success. Opposable on his return to turf though.
26
(24)
Horse silk
Masham Star7
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-6| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR:  88| BF| D
25/1
Has been kept busy but has recorded just one win in his last 24 starts and his recent turf form is patchy to the say the least. On a very nice handicap mark if he can bounce back.
27
(20)
Horse silk
Spanish City8
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-6| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Varian| OR:  88| D
8/1
Only six starts since 2015 but backed like defeat was out of the question at Newcastle last time and a good chance he may come on for that run. 5lb rise fair and market likely to reveal expectations on return to turf.
28
(9)
Horse silk
Six Stringsh136
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-3| J: Raul Da Silva| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR:  85| BF
33/1
Still only has a maiden win to his name and well beaten on yard debut last time out at Lingfield. Plenty more needed here and has a bit to prove at present. Wears a first-time hood.
29
(13)
Horse silk
Ripp Orf11
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-1| J: Hayley Turner| T: D R C Elsworth| OR:  83| BF
20/1
Just one win from eight starts but he's an ultra-consistent sort and soft ground may not have been his bag last time out. Hard to put a line through off a feather weight.

Non-Runners

15
(2)
Horse silk
Kynren49
Weight: 8-11|  Age: 4
T: T D Barron  J: B A Curtis
NR
23
(4)
Horse silk
Pouvoir Magique183
Weight: 8-6|  Age: 4
T: J & T Gosden  J: K T O'Neill
NR

Forecasts

Keyser Soze (9/2), Spanish City (8/1), Silent Attack (8/1), Sabador (9/1), Louie de Palma (10/1), Tony Curtis (12/1), Escobar (12/1), Kynren (12/1), Pouvoir Magique (12/1), Firmament (14/1), Repercussion (16/1), Raising Sand (16/1), Ripp Orf (20/1), Via Serendipity (25/1), Gilgamesh (25/1), Masham Star (25/1), Get Knotted (25/1), Zhui Feng (28/1), Charles Molson (33/1), Six Strings (33/1), Sea Fox (40/1), Shady Mccoy (40/1), Burnt Sugar (50/1), Poet's Society (50/1), Nicholas T (50/1), The Grape Escape (50/1), Makaarim (50/1), Mr Scaramanga (50/1), Brilliant Vanguard (66/1)

Verdict

If RAISING SAND is ready to go on his reappearance, he's an obvious threat to all given his course form around here and given his draw (16), his jockey will be able to decide which side he wants to race if they split into two or three groups. Spanish City doesn't look like the easiest to train but there's nothing wrong with a 5lb rise for his latest effort and he may come on for that run. There's plenty of other live contenders in here but Ripp Orf is of interest for the David Elsworth yard and he may improve for a sounder surface here.
  1. Raising Sand
  2. Spanish City
  3. Ripp Orf

Previous Winners

2017
Fastnet Tempest
Weight: 8-5  |Age: 4
5/1

Prize Money

1st: £65,362.002nd: £19,572.003rd: £9,786.004th: £4,893.005th: £2,446.006th: £1,228.00

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