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15:40 Newmarket

Saturday 14 October 2017

All13:5014:2515:0015:4016:1516:5017:25

Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap

Off time: 15:46 | Winning time: 3m 45.59s

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Selected odds by:

(14)

Fun Mac^t²⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-10| J: A Kirby| T: H Morrison| OR: 103

50/1

Performed with credit in a Listed race here over 2m last year but subsequently well-beaten in last year's renewal of this contest. Tough ask off top-weight again this year and very disappointing last time out.

Form: 3-35419

(30)

Magic Circle⁴⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Callum Rodriguez⁽³⁾| T: R M Beckett| OR: 102

25/1

Progressive sort, won a valuable handicap at the Ebor meeting before finishing fifth of 19 there later that week. Given time to recover from those runs and gets a useful claimer in the saddle taking off 3lb. Stays this far and ought to run well.

Form: 3-55715

(22)

Watersmeet¹⁵⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 101

40/1

Eight of his 10 wins have come on the AW but did win over 1m4f here back in 2015. Running well when last seen at the start of the season but has an absence to overcome and looks vulnerable to better handicapped rivals.

Form: 1-31126

(15)

Laws Of Spin^t³⁵^{(ex 4)}

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: W P Mullins| OR: 97

25/1

Won a valuable handicap at the Curragh at end of last season and seems to thrive towards the back end of the campaign, as seen when winning a strong Leopardstown handicap last time. Carries 4lb more now but more progress possible now upped in trip.

Form: 11-4561

(16)

Tawdeea¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: P J Dobbs| T: D O'Meara| OR: 98

100/1

Won at Leicester off 4lb higher last year but largely struggling this campaign. Probably needs a little more cut in the ground to be seen to best effect and yard's record around here a little uninspiring in comparison to their normal standards.

Form: 056365

(31)

Endless Acres^v¹¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes| OR: 98

20/1

Went close several times as a three-year-old and got off the mark at Kempton on reappearance this year. Running well in defeat subsequently and chased home a smart horse at Royal Ascot when second of 18 but more needed off his revised mark.

Form: 23-1322

(6)

First Mohican^h¹¹²

Age: 9| Weight: 9-4| J: Hollie Doyle⁽³⁾| T: A King| OR: 97

28/1

Gained a first win since 2015 at Lingfield earlier in the year but ran a huge race in this contest last year off a 1lb higher mark. Not seen since a respectable effort at Royal Ascot last time and can't be ruled out off a fair mark.

Form: 2-31707

(29)

Snow Falcon⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: P Hanagan| T: N Meade| OR: 97| BF

12/1

Inconsistent type but lightly raced in this sphere and went well last time when second of 24 at Navan. Step up in trip won't be an issue (stays further over hurdles) and could be more improvement in him but draw tempers enthusiasm a little.

Form: 145-102

(23)

Mirsaale²⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: Rowan Scott⁽⁵⁾| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 97

66/1

Recorded a good win over hurdles last time but well beaten on last couple of starts in this sphere. Probably needs some relief from the handicapper and has disappointed on three previous runs here.

Form: 711308-

(8)

Who Dares Wins^p²¹^{(ex 4)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Tom Marquand| T: A King| OR: 93| CD

7/1

C&D winner last time in the trial race and only 4lb higher than that effort carrying a penalty. Due to go up another 3lb when reassessed and trainer often targets this race; clearly thriving at present and should run well with the yard in fine form.

Form: 35-4301

(9)

Shrewd²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-3| J: Jamie Gormley⁽⁷⁾| T: I Jardine| OR: 96| C

20/1

Course winner who produced his best effort for some time when placed behind Who Dares Wins in the trial race over C&D. Well beaten in this race last year but looks on a fair mark and gets a 3lb swing in the weights with the aforementioned rival.

Form: 0-80933

(28)

London Prize¹⁰⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: James Doyle| T: Ian Williams| OR: 95

16/1

Followed up a facile Goodwood win by landing the Northumberland Plate consolation race last time, rallying gamely. Could be better back on turf and lightly raced for his age; may progress so no surprise if he remains effective off 6lb higher.

Form: 211-211

(18)

Getback In Paris¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: S W Kelly| T: R Hughes| OR: 94| BF

66/1

Winner at Goodwood earlier in the campaign and has been running well in defeat up until last time when well beaten at Haydock. Has a first crack at this trip and needs to improve to play a part.

Form: 421237

(4)

Byron Flyer^p²⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Fran Berry| T: Ian Williams| OR: 93

16/1

Has gone remarkably close on each of his last four runs but finishing effort becoming a little questionable. Due to go up another 3lb when reassessed and drawn low so no reason why he won't be in the shake up and nature of this race may suit him.

Form: 472222

(1)

Digeanta^t⁵¹

Age: 10| Weight: 8-13| J: K J Manning| T: W P Mullins| OR: 92

50/1

Winner off 1lb lower back in 2015 in a valuable Curragh handicap but missed all of 2016 and has been largely out of form this campaign. Seemingly down the order on jockey bookings but step back up in trip will suit at least.

Form: 10/6460

(32)

Oceane^v²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: Georgia Cox⁽³⁾| T: A King| OR: 92| D

40/1

Won twice last year but has largely struggled off his revised mark since and draw has gone against him here. Has plenty to find on form.

Form: 552078

(12)

Time To Study²⁹^{(ex 4)}

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: P J McDonald| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 98

11/1

Made it four wins from just eight starts when holding on gamely to win at Doncaster last time. 4lb higher now and his age group don't have a great recent record in the race but unexposed at least and gives the impression he will stay this far.

Form: 1-31531

(5)

Lagostovegas³⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: R L Moore| T: W P Mullins| OR: 91

10/1

Won his first start on the Flat for this yard and good effort when placed at the Galway Festival. Has won two hurdles starts since and likely to be more to come from her in this sphere. Should go well with top jockey in the saddle.

Form: 1/173-13

(20)

Euchen Glen⁵²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: P Mulrennan| T: J S Goldie| OR: 91

20/1

Benefited from a fine ride in the Shergar Cup at Ascot and followed up with a good third behind Magic Circle at York last time. Arrives on 5lb better terms with that rival here but more exposed and may struggle to reverse the form.

Form: 301913

(36)

Star Rider^p,t1⁵²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: R Kingscote| T: H Morrison| OR: 90| C

33/1

Two-time course winner who has won over further than this. On a fair mark but out of form this year and hard to fancy. Wears a first-time tongue-tie.

Form: 81-6600

(17)

Swamp Fox^b³⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: G F Carroll| T: J G Murphy| OR: 90| BF

14/1

Fine effort when finishing a place in front of Lagostovegas last time and some creditable efforts over hurdles since. Still looks well-handicapped now returned to this sphere and has to enter calculations.

Form: 31130-2

(2)

Swashbuckle^p¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A M Balding| OR: 90| BF

40/1

Won two races last year at Ffos Las and returned to form with a win at Salisbury, holding a well-handicapped rival in second. Disappointing efforts off his revised mark though and may want softer ground than this to be seen at his best.

Form: 337196

(19)

Dubawi Fifty⁵⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: G Lee| T: Karen McLintock| OR: 90

14/1

Has won three of his last four starts and seemingly even better on turf than he was on the AW. Looks a little inexperienced for a race of this nature but not doubt he's going the right way and shouldn't be dismissed with more improvement likely.

Form: 2214-11

(33)

Taws^p²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-10| J: David Egan⁽³⁾| T: B R Millman| OR: 89

50/1

In good form this year but tends to struggle once her mark gets this high. Useful 3lb claimer in the saddle but plenty of work on to turn around the form with several of these from the trial over C&D last month.

Form: 0/74116

(7)

John Constable^t⁸⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: Jim Crowley| T: Evan Williams| OR: 88| BF

10/1

Still improving and produced a career best to win a Listed contest over hurdles last time out. Not been seen on the Flat for three years but has clearly improved since then and handicap mark looks particularly lenient. The one to beat.

Form: 126830/

(13)

Poyle Thomas^p³⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 8-9| J: George Wood⁽³⁾| T: M Madgwick| OR: 88

50/1

Course winner back in 2014 but shown nothing in two starts since switching to this yard and still 4lb above his last winning mark.

Form: 2340-86

(35)

Frederic¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: Finley Marsh⁽⁵⁾| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 88

50/1

Ran well over hurdles last time and won a couple of races at the start of the season. Handicapper seemingly caught up with him now though and looks vulnerable to improving types.

Form: 34-1146

(11)

Duke Street^p²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Hector Crouch⁽³⁾| T: Dr R D P Newland| OR: 88

33/1

Winner when last seen on the Flat and well suited to fast ground. Has run some fair races over hurdles since but may struggle to be quite as effective off his revised mark back in this sphere.

Form: 1210/3-1

(10)

Cape Caster²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: S Hitchcott| T: Evan Williams| OR: 88

100/1

Has been running to a consistent level over fences lately but not been seen in this sphere for nearly three years. Hard to imagine he has much in hand off this mark.

Form: 345132/

(25)

Arthur Mc Bride^t²¹^{(ex 4)}

Age: 8| Weight: 8-9| J: L P Keniry| T: N A Twiston-Davies| OR: 84

80/1

Last two wins have come at Goodwood, nearly a year apart. Couldn't back up the latter of those efforts in the trial race here last time and has plenty to do to turn the form around with several of those rivals.

Form: 393210

(24)

Withhold^p²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: S De Sousa| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 87

5/1

Winner at Haydock on final start for Charlie Hills and produced a respectable effort last time on debut for this yard. Less exposed than most of these and may go well if he comes on for that run; jockey has won two of the last four renewals of this.

Form: 72121-3

(26)

Friday Night Light^t1³⁵³

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: Ted Durcan| T: D Pipe| OR: 86

66/1

French winner on the Flat making GB debut here for a jumps yard that does well with their French recruits. This no doubt his toughest test though and he has an absence to overcome. Wears a first-time tongue-tie.

Form: 254662-

(21)

Aurora Gray³⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-6| J: Charlie Bennett⁽³⁾| T: H Morrison| OR: 85| BF

33/1

Has been a little unlucky to not get her head in front this year but has gone up the handicap as a result and is yet to win in 10 starts on turf. Yard won this last year but this filly not as well-handicapped and may struggle.

Form: 133222

(27)

Rolling Maul^b²⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 8-6| J: Joshua Bryan⁽⁵⁾| T: P & M Bowen| OR: 85

50/1

Has proved effective since switched to the Flat, winning three of his four starts. May have found the ground too testing last time at Ffos Las and may be worth giving another chance to off feather weight now.

Form: 1114

Non-Runners

(34)

Landsman³⁵

Weight: 8-9| Age: 4

T: A J Martin J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Withhold (5/1), Who Dares Wins (7/1), Lagostovegas (10/1), John Constable (10/1), Time To Study (11/1), Snow Falcon (12/1), Dubawi Fifty (14/1), Swamp Fox (14/1), London Prize (16/1), Byron Flyer (16/1), Euchen Glen (20/1), Shrewd (20/1), Endless Acres (20/1), Magic Circle (25/1), Laws Of Spin (25/1), First Mohican (28/1), Duke Street (33/1), Aurora Gray (33/1), Star Rider (33/1), Landsman (33/1), Oceane (40/1), Swashbuckle (40/1), Watersmeet (40/1), Taws (50/1), Rolling Maul (50/1), Frederic (50/1), Digeanta (50/1), Fun Mac (50/1), Poyle Thomas (50/1), Getback In Paris (66/1), Mirsaale (66/1), Friday Night Light (66/1), Arthur Mc Bride (80/1), Cape Caster (100/1), Tawdeea (100/1)

A typically competitive renewal of the race with several runners seemingly well-handicapped and none more so that JOHN CONSTABLE. The six-year-old has clearly improved since he was last seen on the Flat three years ago and he could well prove to be a blot on the handicap. Silvestre De Sousa has a good record in this contest and his mount Withhold step forward from a respectable effort last time when returning from an absence. Magic Circle is a classy sort who may have found the run coming too soon last time and is likely capable of more improvement.