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16:45 Newmarket

Saturday 30 September 2017

All13:5014:2014:5515:3516:1016:4517:20

British EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery

Off time: 16:46 | Winning time: 1m 27.72s

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Selected odds by:

(12)

Get Even⁴⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: J F Egan| T: J Hughes| OR: 88

50/1

Wolverhampton winner who has campaigned at Listed level in France. Has a stiff task at these weights against less exposed types.

Form: 168357

(4)

Exhort²⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: R L Moore| T: R A Fahey| OR: 83| D

6/1

Went down by a neck to the May Hill winner Laurens on debut. Has won both starts since but she was all out to beat a 66/1 shot last time. Does little in front and could be a lot better than the handicappers believes. Stable have won this race twice.

Form: 211

(2)

Time Change³⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-1| J: P J Dobbs| T: R M Beckett| OR: 82| D

11/1

From a good family and there is potentially more to come. Won a weak race at Newbury before improving when fourth in Listed company. Failed to stay a mile that day and should be more of a force now back down in trip. Handicap mark looks high enough.

Form: 214

(5)

Awesometank³¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: W J Haggas| OR: 80

7/1

Split two subsequent winners at Lingfield when improving for moving up in trip. Well handicapped on that effort and easy to see her being involved.

Form: 462

(10)

Ziarah¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 8-12| J: Oisin Murphy| T: J Tate| OR: 79

12/1

Expensive purchase who has been considered worthy of entries for bigger prizes than this. No real signs of progress and mark looks no more than fair. Stable have been quieter of late.

Form: 3634

(3)

Cosmopolitan Queen^p1³¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-10| J: S De Sousa| T: D R C Elsworth| OR: 77| BF

8/1

Yet to live up to her illustrious pedigree but solid claims judged on her sole run in a nursery. Only beaten 1L in an equally hot race at Goodwood and 1lb lower here. Represents a trainer with a good record when employing headgear first time.

Form: 728524

(13)

Goodnight Girl¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-10| J: George Wood⁽³⁾| T: J G Portman| OR: 77| BF

16/1

Disappointing at Chepstow 11 days ago when failing to make the most of a more straightforward opportunity than this. First two runs suggest she is better than that and stable took this in 2012.

Form: 325

(6)

Dark Liberty¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-10| J: Harry Bentley| T: S & E Crisford| OR: 77| D

7/1

Won a shade cleverly at Redcar but up 6lb and now facing much better horses. Needs to improve further but has scope to do so with yard in better health than the stats might suggest.

Form: 3641

(11)

Clubbable¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 8-9| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 76| BF

10/3

Heavily supported but unlucky to bump into an improved sort last time. Shapes as though the extra yardage and uphill finish here will help so another possibility for a yard with a good record in this event.

Form: 32322

(1)

Bee Ina Bonnet¹⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 8-8| J: M Dwyer| T: T D Easterby| OR: 75| D

25/1

Improved for the trip and ground last time. Mark looks fair enough and conditions obviously suit. Yard are 1-34 here.

Form: 5931

(9)

Last Enchantment²²

Age: 2| Weight: 8-6| J: Hollie Doyle⁽³⁾| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 73

12/1

Chances hinge on how well she settles. Stable are having a great year and this one is potentially well treated back up in trip. Good claimer on board and one to consider.

Form: 292

(14)

Falcon's Vision⁵²

Age: 2| Weight: 8-5| J: David Egan⁽³⁾| T: D M Simcock| OR: 72| BF

16/1

Found disappointingly little when fancied on second start and then looked wayward at Kempton. Mark is not onerous but she needs to prove the doubters wrong.

Form: 438

(7)

Lady Alavesa¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-0| J: Milly Naseb⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR: 64| D

33/1

In good form lately but making a big step up in grade from basement level contests. Handles cut and that will be an asset from the bottom of the weights.

Form: 025414

Non-Runners

(8)

Simply Breathless³⁶

Weight: 8-5| Age: 2

T: C G Cox J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Clubbable (10/3), Exhort (6/1), Awesometank (7/1), Dark Liberty (7/1), Cosmopolitan Queen (8/1), Time Change (11/1), Ziarah (12/1), Last Enchantment (12/1), Simply Breathless (14/1), Goodnight Girl (16/1), Falcon's Vision (16/1), Bee Ina Bonnet (25/1), Lady Alavesa (33/1), Get Even (50/1)

Richard Fahey has won this with two of the eight horses has has saddled for this and now relies on Exhort and Clubbable. The former will be partnered by Ryan Moore and is potentially better than her last two runs suggest based on her ability to do the minimum to win and her neck second to the very useful Laurens on debut. Clubbable failed to land a gamble at Doncaster when chasing home a winner who looked a class above her rivals. The race was not run to suit that day but a truer gallop is more likely now and the stiff finish will help. AWESOMETANK produced her best effort so far when conditions were slower than described at Lingfield. The form of that race could not have worked out better and an opening mark of 80 now looks very attractive.