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16:55 Ascot

Friday 28 July 2017

All13:4014:1014:4515:2015:5516:2516:55

Chelsea Thoroughbreds October Club Charity Fillies' Handicap

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 4  |   5f  |   Good to Soft  |   9 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:58  |   Winning time: 1m 2.0s
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Selected odds by:
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1
(5)
Horse silk
Cosmopolitan Girl34
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-0| J: Fran Berry| T: R M H Cowell| OR:  87| D
13/2
Scored on debut for this yard and won two starts back at Brighton but seems to have developed a worrying habit of missing the kick. Trainer excels with his sprinters and she's probably on a lenient mark if she puts it all together.
2
(2)
Horse silk
Dandyman Port8
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-10| J: David Probert| T: D Donovan| OR:  87| D
16/1
French import who ran well on yard debut in a Listed race at Cork but hasn't backed that up in recent starts and well beaten last time at Leopardstown. Another who has developed bad stalls habits and will have to get away on terms to stand any chance; any rain would be a bonus.
3
(3)
Horse silk
Jersey Breezev22
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-8| J: Charles Bishop| T: M R Channon| OR:  81| D
12/1
Leicester maiden winner who has improved for the introduction of a visor, scoring at Brighton and Bath within three days of each other last month. Well beaten at Newbury last time though and soft ground unlikely to be up her street. Trainer does well with his fillies so any market support should be noted.
4
(1)
Horse silk
Justice Lady21
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-8| J: S W Kelly| T: D R C Elsworth| OR:  81| D
9/2
Back-to-back winner last year and has got back on track with a couple of fine efforts in recent starts, just touched off at Newmarket before gaining compensation last time out at Doncaster. Likes a decent pace and firm ground and neither guarenteed here so one to treat with caution despite a fair handicap mark.
5
(9)
Horse silk
Rose Berryh13
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-7| J: J Fanning| T: C A Dwyer| OR:  84| D
5/1
Four-time winner but all his turf wins have come on fast ground and unlikely to get that here. Struggled in softer conditions at Chester last time out and opposable again.
6
(8)
Horse silk
Midnight Malibu7
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-7| J: Rachel Richardson(3)| T: T D Easterby| OR:  80| CD
5/2
Inconsistent sort but went close to winning last time out at Haydock and solid chance if she can build on that now. Due to go up 3lb in future races and also gets the assistance of a useful 3lb claimer so plenty to like about her chances and won this contest last year.
7
(7)
Horse silk
Intense Romance14
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-3| J: Callum Rodriguez(5)| T: M Dods| OR:  80| D
5/1
Fairly consistent sort, only just touched off at Carlisle last time out having won at Newcastle the time before, suggesting this sort of mark is within reach. Also gets the assistance of a useful 5lb claimer. With soft ground the only unknown, she may be worth chancing.
8
(4)
Horse silk
Reedanjas7
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-11| J: M Dwyer| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR:  74| D
33/1
Winner of her maiden but struggled from her opening mark and thereafter. Well beaten ninth of 12 last time at Newmarket and set to struggle again.
9
(6)
Horse silk
Savannah Beauh,v6
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-10| J: Aaron Jones(3)| T: D Shaw| OR:  69| D
20/1
Useful form behind Justice Lady at Doncaster two starts back but couldn't back that up at Haydock last time. Bit to do to turn the form around with that rival and headgear combination tells it's own story. Not dismissed if she can put it all together but percentage call suggests she's best watched.

Forecasts

Midnight Malibu (5/2), Justice Lady (9/2), Intense Romance (5/1), Rose Berry (5/1), Cosmopolitan Girl (13/2), Jersey Breeze (12/1), Dandyman Port (16/1), Savannah Beau (20/1), Reedanjas (33/1)

Verdict

Last year's winner of this contest MIDNIGHT MALIBU looks the one to beat after a fine effort last time out and she arrives on just a 1lb higher mark than she won this off last year. Intense Romance gets the services of promising young claimer Callum Rodriguez and she could run well if taking to the soft ground. Justice Lady has been in better form lately and may prove to be best of the rest.
  1. Midnight Malibu
  2. Intense Romance
  3. Justice Lady

Prize Money

1st: £6,469.002nd: £1,925.003rd: £962.004th: £481.00

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