15:00 Newcastle

Saturday 1 July 2017

All13:5014:2515:0015:3016:0516:4517:15

Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for The Northumberland Plate)

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 2  |   2m 56y  |   Standard  |   12 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 15:00  |   Winning time: 3m 41.44s
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1
(2)
Horse silk
Flight Officer265
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-10| J: Harrison Shaw(7)| T: M & D Easterby| OR:  90
66/1
Bought from Godolphin for 10,000 gns having lost his way last term. Tailed-off when last seen but in very good hands. Hard to see him being up to this level on his first start since October.
2
(10)
Horse silk
Gabrial's King21
Age: 8|  Weight: 9-9| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR:  89| D
22/1
Finished 11th in this last year and seventh in the 2015 Northumberland Plate. Yet to win in 25 attempts in this class and he is not getting any younger. AW record is an impressive 6-20 with a further eight finishes in the frame.
3
(11)
Horse silk
London Prize20(ex 5)
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-9| J: Fran Berry| T: Ian Williams| OR:  84| D
7/4
Cruised to an emphatic success at Goodwood last time which earns him a 5lb penalty and that still leaves him 4lb in hand on his revised rating. Chased home Godolphin's Northumberland Plate hope Natural Scenery here in February and he appears to have plenty going for him.
4
(6)
Horse silk
Royal Marskellh50
Age: 8|  Weight: 9-8| J: L Morris| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR:  88
40/1
7-35 on AW surfaces but seems better in less competitive races than this and over shorter. Finished sixth in this last year when ridden to get the trip but not seeing it out.
5
(3)
Horse silk
Graceland10
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-7| J: Louis Steward| T: M L W Bell| OR:  87| BF| D
9/1
Should get a more honest pace than at Chelmsford last time. Consistent and tough but handicap mark is asking a lot of her.
6
(1)
Horse silk
Kensington Starv14(ex 5)
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-7| J: Jason Hart| T: K Dalgleish| OR:  82| BF
7/1
Is putting together a really solid campaign in 2017, having won over both 1m2f and 1m6f and gone close on all three of his other starts. Up 3lb for his second to an in form rival over this trip last time. Relatively lightly raced and open to further improvement.
7
(7)
Horse silk
I Am Not Here3
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-5| J: Ben Robinson(5)| T: B Ellison| OR:  85| C
7/1
2-2 on this surface but yet to tackle a trip beyond 1m5f. Has had two runs in the past few weeks to get him ready for this following a break and one to note in the market. Yard have hit form lately and he could have a decent prize in him.
8
(5)
Horse silk
Green Lightv28
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-4| J: T Eaves| T: B Ellison| OR:  84
66/1
Has been out of sorts recently like many from the yard. Their fortunes have changed lately but it remains hard to see him winning. Appeared not to stay on only previous run over this trip and yet to race on an AW track.
9
(8)
Horse silk
Velvet Revolution35
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-3| J: M Harley| T: M Botti| OR:  83| D
11/1
Impressive winner over this trip at Chelmsford in November. Has struggled off his revised mark since during a period when many of the yard's horses have underperformed. Style of racing should be suited to this and hard to dismiss.
10
(12)
Horse silk
High Command35
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-3| J: P Mulrennan| T: R Varian| OR:  83| BF
9/1
Took advantage of a couple of easy AW races during the winter but disappointing on both starts since. There are legitimate excuses for those defeats (tactics and surface) but he should be a different proposition this time. Yet to tackle this trip but shapes as though he will stay better than his pedigree suggests.
11
(4)
Horse silk
Tetradrachmp131
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-13| J: J Fanning| T: D M Simcock| OR:  79
33/1
Well beaten in a lower grade race over C&D in March. Dropping in the weights but hard to enthuse over recent efforts.
12
(9)
Horse silk
October Storm7
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-11| J: G Lee| T: M R Channon| OR:  77
6/1
Has been running well recently and the usual waiting tactics will be suited by the test this will offer. Handicap mark looks fair and stable's horses are going well.

Forecasts

London Prize (7/4), October Storm (6/1), Kensington Star (7/1), I Am Not Here (7/1), Graceland (9/1), High Command (9/1), Velvet Revolution (11/1), Gabrial's King (22/1), Tetradrachm (33/1), Royal Marskell (40/1), Green Light (66/1), Flight Officer (66/1)

Verdict

LONDON PRIZE comes into this in peak condition and 4lb well in despite his penalty. He has decent C&D form and looks hard to oppose. October Storm has each-way possibilities as he looks the type to be suited by a test such as this. Kensington Star, High Command and Velvet Revolution have scope to improve further whilst I Am Not Here is interesting on his first attempt at this trip. He appears to have been laid out for this and a market move would be interesting.
  1. London Prize
  2. October Storm
  3. Kensington Star

Prize Money

1st: £46,688.002nd: £13,980.003rd: £6,990.004th: £3,495.005th: £1,748.006th: £878.00

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