Mal Boyle's Saturday Stat Attack for March 25 2017


Mal Boyle examines the data for Saturday's cards and fancies Mark Johnston's recent hot form at Lingfield to continue.

(Note: With it being Easter on this weekend 12 months ago, I have tried to find the corresponding fixture's for today's, even when they didn't take place exactly on the same date. Back to normal next week for the start of the 2017 Flat season.)

NEWBURY (corresponding stats from their April 2 meeting last year) 

Represented leading trainers at Newbury this season:

10/41—Nicky Henderson – 3 runners: Ericht (2.25), Theatre Territory (3.00) & Ligny (4.45)

6/29—Philip Hobbs (Profit of 44 points to level stakes at Newbury this season) – 4 runners: Vieux Lille (1.50), Gala Ball (2.25), Copper Kay (3.00) & Imperial Presence (5.20)

Average Placepot dividend this season (10 meetings): £981.58

Favourite totals (all races): 73 - 22 winners - 13 placed (exact science) - 38 unplaced

Best Placepot return this season: £5,155.70 – 7 favourites - No winners - 3 placed - 4 unplaced

Lowest Placepot dividend: £30.10 - 6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 unplaced

Five of the 10 meetings at Newbury this season have produced at least three winning favourites.  At least one favourite won on the card at eight of the 10 meetings.

Four year records at the corresponding Newbury fixture (abandoned in 2013):

Leading represented trainers:

3 winners—Nicky Henderson (7/2, 7/2** & 4/9*) – 3 runners: Ericht (2.25), Theatre Territory (3.00) & Ligny (4.45)

3 winners—Paul Nicholls (7/1, 5/1 & 7/2) – 2 runners in the 2.25 event: Warriors Tale & Ulck Du Lin

Average Placepot dividend: £22.00

Highest dividend: £47.20 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £10.30 (2016)

Favourite & SP details:

28 races – 12 winning favourites – 27/28 winners scored at a top price of 10/1

BANGOR (stats from their March 31 meeting last year)

Represented leading trainers at Bangor this season:

12/56—Donald McCain (+29 LSP) – 4 runners today: Cousin Oscar (1.40), Lough Derg Jewel (2.15), Prince Khurram (2.50) & Cowslip (3.25)

4/13—Peter Bowen (+22 LSP) – 2 runners: Land Of Vic (3.25) & Rolling Maul (4.35)

Average Placepot dividend this season (14 meetings): £179.97

Favourite totals (all races): 101 - 34 winners - 30 placed (exact science) - 37 unplaced

Best Placepot return this season: £931.60 – 8 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 5 unplaced

Lowest Placepot dividend: £10.10 - 6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced

Seven of the 14 meetings at Bangor this season have produced at least three winning favourites.  At least one favourite won on the card at 13 of the 14 meetings.

Four-year records at the corresponding Bangor fixture (abandoned in 2013):

Leading represented trainer:

5 winners—Donald McCain (7/1, 11/2, 5/1, 10/3 & 10/11*) – 4 runners: Cousin Oscar (1.40), Lough Derg Jewel (2.15), Prince Khurram (2.50) & Cowslip (3.25)

Average Placepot dividend: £227.00

Highest dividend: £492.00 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £68.40 (2015)

Favourite & SP details:

28 races – 12 winning favourites – 27/28 winners scored at a top price of 9/1

KELSO (stats from their April 2 meeting last year)

Represented leading trainers at Kelso this season:

11/32—Nicky Richards ((+13 LSP) – 4 runners: Issacstown Lad (2.40), Baywing (3.15), Top Billing (5.00) & Mister Marker (5.35)

7/44—Lucinda Russell (+11 LSP) – 5 runners: Big River (2.40), Forest Des Aigles (4,25), Misfits & Rivabodiva (5.00) & Green Flag (5.35)

4/12—Sandy Thomson (+74 LSP) – 3 runners: Seeyouatmidnight (2.40), Seldom Inn (3.15) & Berkshire Downs (5.00)

Average Placepot dividend this season (11 meetings): £353.06

Favourite totals (all races): 83 - 33 winners - 21 placed (exact science) - 29 unplaced

Best Placepot return this season: £2,759.20 – 6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced

Lowest Placepot dividend: £12.70 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced

10 of the 11 meetings at Kelso this season have produced at least three winning favourites.  At least one favourite won on the card at 10 of the 11 meetings.

Four-year records at the corresponding Kelso fixture:

Leading represented trainers:

2 winners—Harriet Graham (7/1 & 11/2) – 1 runner: Rhymers Stone (5.00)

2 winners—Nicky Richards (11/1 & 4/1) – 4 runners: Issacstown Lad (2.40), Baywing (3.15), Top Billing (5.00) & Mister Marker (5.35)

2 winners—Lucinda Russell (6/1 & 5/1) – 5 runners: Big River (2.40), Forest Des Aigles (4,25), Misfits & Rivabodiva (5.00) & Green Flag (5.35)

Average Placepot dividend: £460.43

Highest dividend: £1,036.70 (2016) – Lowest dividend: £154.90 (2015)

Favourite & SP details:

25 races – 8 winning favourites – 22/25 winners scored at a top price of 12/1

STRATFORD

Represented leading trainers at Stratford this season include:

5/10—Neil Mullholland (18 LSP) – 2 runners: One Brilliant Day (2.55) & Cornish Warrior (5.15)

5/11—Warren Greatrex (+19 LSP) – 2 runners: Ceann Sibheal (3.30) & Cirano De Sivola (5.15)

3/8—Emma Lavelle (+5 LSP) – 2 runners: Talent To Amuse (2.20) & Allez Jacques (5.15)

One Placepot meeting in 2017 to report:

£98.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Three year records at the corresponding Stratford fixture (no meeting last year – abandoned in 2013):

Leading represented trainer:

3 winners—Dan Skelton (9/2, 3/1* & 5/4*) – 1 runner: Rene’s Girl (4.05)

Average Placepot dividend: £1,028.53

Highest dividend: £2,571.90 (2014) – Lowest dividend: £256.80 (2015)

Favourite & SP details:

20 races – 8 winning favourites – All 20 winners scored at a top price of 14/1


LINGFIELD

Represented leading trainer at Lingfield since February 1:

8 winners—Mark Johnston (15/2, 5/1, 7/2, 3/1, 5/2, 2/1, 2/1* & 4/5*) – 1 runner: Isharah (3.10)

Average Placepot dividend since the end of January (15 meetings): £338.41

Favourite totals (all races): 101 - 37 winners - 30 placed (exact science) - 34 unplaced

Best Placepot return during the period: £2,764.80 – 6 favourites - No winners - 2 placed - 4 unplaced

Lowest Placepot dividend: £3.90 - 6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 placed

Eight of the 15 meetings at Lingfield since the end of January have produced at least three winning favourites.  At least one favourite won at 12 of the 15 meetings.


WOLVERHAMPTON

Represented leading trainers at Wolverhampton since February 1:

9 winners—Michael Appleby (9/1, 13/2, 6/1, 7/2, 2/1*, 15/8, 15/8*, 5/4* & 4/5*) - 4 at Wolverhampton tonight: Call Out Loud (5.45), Stragar (6.15), Hells Babe (7.15) & Oyster Card (7.45)

Average Placepot dividend since the end of January (16 meetings): £156.20

Favourite totals (all races): 114 - 37 winners - 35 placed (exact science) - 42 unplaced

Best Placepot return this season: £762.00 – 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced

Lowest Placepot dividend: £9.60 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 4 placed - 1 unplaced

Six of the 16 meetings at Wolverhampton since the end of January have produced at least three winning favourites.  At least one favourite won on the card at all 16 meetings.


General trends

Leading trainers this week (Monday through Friday inclusive):

NH:

4/6—Nicky Henderson (+9 LSP) – 3 at Newbury: Ericht (2.25), Theatre Territory (3.00) & Ligny (4.45)

4/7—Harry Fry (+4 LSP) – 2 at Newbury: Lamanver Odyssey (3.00) & Bullionaire (4.45)

4/14—Philip Hobbs (+5 LSP) – 4 at Newbury: Vieux Lille (1.50), Gala Ball (2.25), Copper Kay (3.00) & Imperial Presence (5.20)

A/W: 

3/13—David Evans (+29 LSP) – 4 runners: John Reel (3.10 Lingfield), Celerity (4.55 Lingfield), Athaasel (5.45 Wolverhampton) & Lady Volante (6.45 Wolverhampton)

3/13—Mark Johnston – 1 runner: Isharah (3.10 Lingfield)


Based on a five-year study period unless stated.

* denotes clear favourite ** denotes joint favourite  *** denotes co favourite

Horses in bold print are today's main selections.


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