Breaking It Down: Murt Khan's tips Cartmel Monday

Recommended bets: Breaking It Down

1.5pts win Marble Mist in 5.25 Cartmel at 14/1

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This is a modest handicap hurdle made up of in and out performers.  It's very difficult to pick out a horse who will definitely run their race. 

However, there is a bit of a lurker in amongst these that could have a bit of improvement in him.  The horse I'm taking about is MARBLE MIST (click here for Sky Bet odds) for Evan Williams at 14/1 (general price).  

Before his last run, which was his handicap debut, he had one run in a bumper and four runs in novice hurdles with his SP ranging from 50/1 to 250/1.

On his handicap debut Williams applied the blinkers and tongue-tie over a trip of 2m 6f and in the context of the race he runs in today it wasn't too bad an effort.  

He returns this afternoon after a three-month lay-off and the tongue-tie remains on with no blinkers. 

It's interesting he takes a big step down in trip and that he has a few entries later on in the week.

Williams is in form and has banged in a few winners of late, so, taking all these reasons into account, Marble Mist is worth a play at 14/1.

Follow Murt on Twitter: @purple_n_gold1 

Posted at 0815 BST on 24/07/17. 

Breaking It Down P&L: +24.57pts 

July: +4.67pts
June: -10.10pts
May: +30pts