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Our daily duo of Rory Delargy and David Massey are back with two bets at Warwick.
Racing betting tips: Tuesday November 5
1pt win Iontach Cheval in the 2.25 Warwick at 9/2 (General)
1pt win Marettimo in the 4.10 Warwick at 20/1 (Paddy Power - min 16/1)
2:25 Warwick
Pacific and the first-time cheekpieced Red Windsor will probably go forward here, but I don’t think Pacific is good enough, and Red Windsor is a quirky sort for whom headgear is a question mark.
Definite Dream didn’t improve for going handicapping at Exeter, hanging late on to boot, while Royal Deeside has been disappointing on the whole and remains winless after 14 starts on the Flat and over jumps.
Iontach Cheval won this corresponding event from an 8lb higher mark in 2022, and ran his best race fresh again last year when third to Arqoob at Sandown. He didn’t go on from that, and catching him fresh might be the key, with his form after a 100+ day break reading 01313. His trainer Alaistair Ralph is in cracking form, with four winners from his last seven runners at the time of writing.
3.00 Warwick
God’s Own Getaway comes out well enough on the bare figures, but weak finishes are becoming the norm now, regardless of the trip, and he appears to have reached his ceiling pretty quickly. It’s possible that the fitting of a tongue tie will help, but he’s opposable on balance.
Preference is for I’m Ravenous who has always looked an embryonic chaser (point-to-point winner at Chaddesley Corbett before switching to racing under NH rules) and connections’ patience with him was rewarded with a hurdles win at Sedgefield last time. I expect him to leave his hurdles form well behind now he sees the bigger obstacles, and Ben Pauling’s horses continue to run well.
3.35 Warwick
Getalead is hard to oppose here. A good winner at Wincanton last week despite the trip being on the short side for him, he’s got no penalty to carry for that win today as it was a conditional jockeys contest, and Gearoid Harney, who rode last week is able to claim his full 7lb allowance here. He has won both starts at Warwick and the only negative is likely to be skinny odds, which in truth look fully justified.
Gustoso looks the best alternative to the likely favourite. There’s not a lot Henry Daly can do wrong at present, and Gustoso, although finishing last of eight on his reappearance at Exeter last month, was beaten under ten lengths in doing so and clearly needed the run. The cheekpieces, which were on when he scored at Huntingdon back in April, were missing at Exeter but are back on here, and he can reward those playing exotics or betting without the market leader.
4.10 Warwick
Touchwoodexpress dotted up on his chase debut at Huntingdon and a 7lb rise is perfectly fair, so he’s another who looks solid at the head of the market, but it might pay to take a flier here on the inconsistent Marettimo. His chance isn’t clear at first glance, but two of his four wins have come at 25/1 and 22/1, and he does tend to pop up when least expected. He shaped well enough on his first start this autumn and found soft ground totally against him at Worcester last time, making it easy to forgive.
Marettimo doesn’t cope with ground much softer than yielding and his record on good or yielding ground over fences reads a very respectable 1311451324. That improves to 1112 on ground described as good and if conditions remain as they are at Warwick then his chances will be better than recent figures imply.
Published at 0915 GMT 05/11/24
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