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NFL Week Ten betting preview: Predictions, points spreads & best bets from Week 10 with our free NFL tips

By Paul Higham

NFL

Mon November 11, 2019 · 5y ago

Paul Higham has the pick of the NFL action this week, including a welcome return for the MVP and a bounce-back chance for Green Bay.

Recommended bets

2pts Chiefs to beat the Titans (-6.5pts) at Evens

1pt Packers to beat the Panthers (-4pts) at Evens

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans

The MVP is back! Patrick Mahomes returns after missing just two games with what looked a far more serious injury at the time – and that has been reflected in the points spread here with the Chiefs going from 3.5 to six-point favourites when his return was announced.

If Mahomes is at his best, that move simply isn’t enough, as the Chiefs proved to be more than a half-decent with veteran Matt Moore under centre as they maintained their place as the second-best aerial attack in the league, with a tough loss to the Packers and a solid win against the Vikings.

Kyle Allen led the Carolina Panthers to a ten-point win over Tennessee last week – and Mahomes is another level so that six-point deficit is well worth taking.

We’ve not even talked about the Chiefs defence, an often overlooked facet of this team but one that is getting better and is facing a team averaging 18.5 points a gamer. The Titans have one hope – that’s run the ball with Derrick Henry against the Chiefs’ 29th-ranked run defence.

Best Bet: Chiefs -6.5pts at Evens

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers

Green Bay need a response after last week’s puzzlingly poor loss at the Chargers, and in essence a home tilt against a team they’ve stuck 30 points on in five of the last six at the venue seems perfect – apart from one thing.

That one fly in the ointment comes in the form of Christian McCaffrey, who leads the league in scrimmage yards and touchdowns and is pushing his claims for the MVP award.

That’s not what you need when your defence has allowed the second-most rushing touchdowns and third-most rushing yards this season. McCaffrey tallied 136 yards and a touchdown when the Panthers beat the Packers last time, and he’ll be the main danger again.

Best bet: Packers -4 at Evens

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

The best of the NFC South hosts the worst of the NFC South with the sinking Falcons on a six-game losing run entering the Superdome for what looks a hopeless divisional clash.

Complacency, then, seems their only chance of catching out the Saints who won all five games missed by top QB Drew Brees with a thumb injury. There was a question about whether he should get his job back, but he responded with a 373-yard, three-touchdown game on his return.

New Orleans are getting healthier across the board, with star running back Alvin Kamara and tight end Jared Cook ready to return after a bye week.

Matt Ryan returning for the Falcons at quarterback will be a boost, but it’d be a huge upset if they got anywhere near the hosts, who are seemingly set for a big run at the Super Bowl this season.

The Falcons allow over 31 points a game and are 23rd defending the pass and 21st in stopping the run – they just aren’t good enough defensively to keep it close.

Best bet: New Orleans Saints -11.5 and Over 52.5 Total Match Points at 15/8

NFL Week Ten schedule

Sunday, November 10, 2019

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
New York Giants at New York Jets
Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys