Ross Williams is back with his weekly NFL preview and best bets, ahead of the penultimate Sunday of the NFL regular season.
1pt Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) to beat the Dallas Cowboys at 10/11
1pt Atlanta Falcons (+10.5) to beat the Kansas City Chiefs at 10/11
1pt Lamar Jackson & J.K. Dobbins (Ravens) both to score a Touchdown at 11/4
1pt Allen Robinson (Bears) 100+ receiving yards and to score a touchdown at 4/1
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Firstly, let’s get one thing straight.
I am, by no means, suggesting that the Atlanta Falcons will have enough to beat the Chiefs on Sunday. However, I do feel that the current spread of 10.5 points is sizable when you consider past form.
Despite looking mostly dominant throughout, the Chiefs have won each of their last six games by less than double figures. Patrick Mahomes and his troops have made a habit of doing enough to win games, before placing the cue safely on the rack.
With just two games remaining of the regular season, Kansas City will undoubtedly have one eye on the Play-Offs by now, and they don’t really gain anything by going out of their way to blow out the Falcons on Sunday.
With this in mind, I like Matt Ryan, Calvin Ridley and co. to keep this one respectable, keeping a defeat within the required parameter of ten points.
Best Bet: Atlanta Falcons (+10.5) to beat the Kansas City Chiefs at 10/11
The Giants have not looked like a bad football team for much of this season, but they haven’t looked like a great one either, and especially when Daniel Jones isn’t fully healthy and on the field.
With play-off football not yet secured, but an AFC North title still possible, the Ravens will be throwing everything at New York on Sunday to secure a precious win, and Jon Harbaugh would be foolish to stray away from the method that has proved effective in recent weeks.
Baltimore are at their brilliant best when they are running the ball, and this route one approach has never been more evident than within the last month.
Yardage has not been a problem for Baltimore, and the points have followed with relative ease. Lamar Jackson has scored with his legs in each of the last three games, and so has rookie J.K. Dobbins, since his return to the line-up.
This duo will undoubtedly be the focal point of the Ravens’ offence yet again this week and, although the Giants are sturdy defensively, Baltimore will control possession for much of the contest and the New York defence will only be able to withstand so much pressure.
Best Bet: Lamar Jackson & J.K. Dobbins (Ravens) both to score a Touchdown at 11/4
The Bears have struggled for large parts of the season on offence, due to quarterback turmoil and an inability to run the ball.
However, since taking back the reins, Mitch Trubisky has put in a couple of (potentially career-saving) performances in recent weeks and David Montgomery has finally started to produce acceptable numbers on the ground.
This has massively opened up Allen Robinson’s game through the air. The classy wide receiver sits ninth on the NFL receiving yardage list at present and is catching balls for fun. With his contract up at the end of the season, there’s no doubt that Robinson will keep up the pace in the final two games of the campaign, in his effort to attract potential suitors and a big-money deal.
Remarkably, the Bears still have a shot at making the Play-Offs with a fortnight to play, while the Jaguars will have no interest in winning Sunday’s match-up, now they are in possession of the first overall pick in next year’s NFL Draft.
This is a perfect storm for Chicago, and this game is a prime opportunity for both Trubisky and Robinson to secure their long-term futures against the joint-leakiest pass defence in the league.
Best Bet: Allen Robinson (Bears) 100+ receiving yards and to score a touchdown at 4/1
He’s had two starts in the NFL, and only one of them resulted in an Eagles victory, but you can’t help but be impressed with Jalen Hurts and the way Philadelphia have played with their rookie quarterback at the helm.
Hurts went toe-to-toe with Kyler Murray last week and very nearly came away with the spoils, due to a 338-yard, three touchdown performance against Arizona.
If the former Oklahoma Sooner can replicate that kind of performance on Sunday, the Dallas Cowboys and their often-pitiful defence are going to face all kinds of trouble.
All of a sudden, the Eagles look like a proper football team again, and I see no reason why this NFC East match-up shouldn’t go their way.
The Cowboys won last time out, but the 49ers they beat are a team floating aimlessly in the abyss at the moment, just waiting for the season to be over. We shouldn’t read too much into that result, and I’m more than happy to ditch Dallas in favour of the Jalen Hurts bandwagon.
With the spread smaller than three points at the moment, the Eagles look to be a steal at 10/11.
Best Bet: Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) to beat the Dallas Cowboys at 10/11
Odds correct as of 1530 GMT (24/12/20)
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