Free NFL betting tips: Value touchdown scorers for Week Seven games including Cincinnati Bengals v Cleveland Browns

Recommended bets

1pt Terry McLaurin anytime in Washington Football Team v Dallas Cowboys at 6/4

1pt Tee Higgins anytime in Cincinnati Bengals v Cleveland Browns at 15/8

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Sure, Ezekiel Elliott looks like he’ll score every single week – but at 1/2 for an anytime touchdown, the value simply isn’t there.

In this article I’ll be looking for offensive/defensive mismatches, sneaky backups and more, with some high value touchdown scorers definitely worth taking a look at.

Washington Football Team v Dallas Cowboys

• When: Sunday at 17:00 BST
• TV: NFL Redzone on Sky Sports Mix
• Best Bet: Terry McLaurin anytime at 6/4

The Cowboys’ defence stinks. Their defensive backs group is arguably the worst in the league – they’ve surrendered 1,088 yards & 11 touchdowns to WRs this season.

McLaurin is a stud, and Washington’s sole premier weapon. Last week against the Giants, McLaurin saw a team high 12 targets, more than double any teammate.

We know Scary Terry will get volume this game, and against this Cowboys’ defence he’s going to feast.

New York Jets v Buffalo Bills

• When: Sunday at 17:00 BST
• TV: NFL Redzone on Sky Sports Mix
• Best bet: Zack Moss anytime at 7/4

You can genuinely argue that this New York Jets team is the worst side the NFL has ever seen, especially with Joe Flacco at QB. Sam Darnold may be back, but the Jets are truly horrible on every level.

Last week they laid the first goose egg of the season, losing 24-0 to the Dolphins. The Bills are going to bully Adam Gase and run the score up. We know Devin Singletary is the lead back, but Zack Moss is now back at full fitness and will be eating into his snaps.

Against the Chiefs, Moss still took 25% of the Bills’ offensive snaps and now he’s going to get a very positive game script. Throwback to Week One against the Jets, where Moss took 45% of the Bills’ snaps in his first ever NFL game, and got into the end zone. The Bills will pull their starters after running up the score, allowing Moss to pound the ball.

It’s worth keeping an eye on TJ Yeldon too, currently 10/1 anytime - if Singletary gets pulled make sure to check Yeldon’s price in game.

Cincinnati Bengals v Cleveland Browns

• When: Sunday at 17:00 BST
• TV: NFL Redzone on Sky Sports Mix
• Best bet: Tee Higgins anytime at 15/8

The Higgins/Burrow rookie connection is real.

Over the last four games Higgins has seen at least 20% of Burrow’s targets, and he’s coming off a huge week. Six catches for 125 yards, along with a goal-to-go target. Sadly he didn’t get in the end zone, but I love his matchup this week against the Browns.

Cleveland’s defensive backs group has been decimated by injury, giving up 1,164 yards and nine touchdowns to WRs so far this season. Both defences are lacklustre in this matchup, so expect a high scoring game where Higgins will run wild.

Atlanta Falcons v Detroit Lions

• When: Sunday at 17:00 BST
• TV: NFL Redzone on Sky Sports Mix
• Best bet: TJ Hockenson anytime at 7/4

Hockenson leads the Lions in touchdowns and red zone targets. He’s scored in back-to-back games and I like him to make it three on the bounce against the Falcons.

Over the past two weeks he’s had six red zone targets, including four with just goal-to-go – he’s established himself as Stafford’s favourite weapon in the red zone.

The Falcons have the worst defence in the league to tight ends, giving up 438 yards and a league high seven touchdowns to the position. The over/under for total match points is set at 55, in what is set up to be a high scoring affair.

Hockenson will see plenty of opportunities to find the end zone.

Los Angeles Chargers v Jacksonville Jaguars

• When: Sunday at 20:25 BST
• TV: NFL Redzone on Sky Sports Mix
• Best bet: Justin Jackson anytime at 6/5

Joshua Kelley’s fumbles are Justin Jackson’s gain.

Before the Chargers’ bye week, Jackson led their RB group in snaps, touches, yards and receptions. The Jags have given up the joint-most touchdowns to running backs out of any defence, alongside nearly 1,000 total yards.

With Minshew seemingly deteriorating every week, and on the verge of being benched, this will be a very positive game script for the Chargers - giving more snaps & more opportunities for Jackson to find the end zone.

Odds correct at 1730 (23/10/20)

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