Paul Higham takes a look at all of the 32 NFL teams and weighs up their Super Bowl chances as the new season gets underway.
The New England Patriots came out on top yet again last season, but who will challenge Tom Brady and co? Let's look at every team in the NFL this season and how they're going to get on..
Patrick Mahomes doesn't even need to look at where he's throwing the ball.
— Paul Higham (@SportsPaulH) December 9, 2018
This guy is remarkable!#ChiefsKingdom#BALvsKCpic.twitter.com/KkqPaLyHHS
A strong fancy to go all the way this year with MVP Patrick Mahomes leading the top-scoring offence in the league last season - when they would've been in the Super Bowl had Dee Ford's late penalty not chalked of a game-winning interception against the Patriots. Defence was their Achilles heel though, only one team gave up more yards, but Steve Spagnuolo has been brought in along with several new faces . With this offence they just need to show up on defence from time to time to make them serious contenders.
We seem to have given up on the 'how long can Brady go on' pre-season talk now and just accepted that he's not one of us, he's an other-worldly quarterbacking being and he'll keep on slicing defences and collecting Super Bowl rings as long as he wants to. They've also got a talented set of skill players around him, but cannot fill the huge void left by dominant TD scorer Rob Gronkowski. The Chiefs should've beaten them last year, whoever beats them this year in the play-offs will be AFC champions.
QB Jared Goff has been paid, but running back Todd Gurley was the offensive star of this team, and there's still a big doubt over how his knee will hold up under another tough season. Aaron Donald is perhaps the best player in the entire NFL, but defensive players never get the MVP recognition they deserve - he'll still cause havoc this year. The Super Bowl defeat was a good learning curve, and they've still got everything needed to give it a good shot again, but the rest are catching up.
This Saints outfit has probably been the best all-round team of the last two season, but have had no luck in the play-offs at all - losing to a last-minute miracle in Minnesota before last year being robbed by a dodgy call against the Rams, can it be third time lucky? QB Drew Brees is now 40 and his play faded slightly towards the end of last season, but he's a class act and when you have a defence like the Saints, a receiver like Michael Thomas and a do-everything running back like Alvin Kamara, Brees can take a back seat and conduct in comfort. They'e got everything needed but the window with Brees is closing, it may be now or never.
The Chargers have talent, and have had for a few years, but injuries have ruined their chances continually and it's hurting them again, while star RB Melvin Gordon is refusing to play over a new contract. They finished strong last season, evening winning in Kansas City, but the presence of the Chiefs in their division meant they had to settle for a wild card and lost in New England after an impressive beat-down of the Ravens in Baltimore. There just seems too many obstacles in their way again this year but play-offs is well within their grasp.
Champions two years ago, the Eagles need a healthy Carson Wentz to stand chance of getting back there - especially as they're now without the Nick Foles safety net. They've got a decent schedule to make a run and more importantly a wealth and depth of talent on defence - and defence wins championships after all!
Aaron Rodgers has a new head coach for the first time in his career, so how he adapts to LaFleur's new system will decide how far these new Packers can go. Rodgers has carried this team for a long time, but it may take a few weeks for things to click into gear fully. It's a tough division to get out of for a team with so many new moving parts, but if their defence can raise their game then they'll have a chance.
They’ve lost two of the best players in the NFL in Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell but in JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Conner they found Pro Bowl calibre deputies who again should put up decent numbers. QB Ben Roethlisberger is 37 but still slinging the ball around at will – he led the league in passing yards and interceptions last season which is just about what to expect from this lot who will pile up a lot of points and should return to the play-offs after a rare miss last year.
Chicago are not being talked about perhaps as much as they should given they have the most dominant defensive player in Khalil Mack leading quite possibly the meanest unit in the NFL. They strolled the division last year and only lost in the play-offs thank to kicker Cody Parkey's problems splitting the uprights - including a last-minute effort that hit the post and bar (the double doink as it's called). Trubisky just needs to get a bit more production and consistency from his offence to give the Bears a huge chance of going far this year.
‘We can’t wait to see the Browns this season’ is a line barely uttered in their entire existence, but Cleveland are the box office draw this year after adding Odell Beckham Jr, the most famous receiver in the league, to Baker Mayfield – the confident, talented QB who broke the rookie touchdown record last year. Watch out for running back Nick Chubb to shine while even on defence they have star names like Myles Garrett and Denzel Ward. The team won just one game in two years before last season and haven’t made the play-offs for 16 years, yet are just 20/1 to win the entire thing! That’s what big name signings can do.
Garrett has three play-off appearances as coach but not got beyond the Divisional round - in fact the Cowboys haven't since they last won the Super Bowl in 1996. Prescott is talented, a strong runner and consistent rather than flashy passer, and Ezekiel Elliott is the best running back in the league. Couple those two with a dominant defence and all the pieces are there - it's time for the Cowboys to be serious title contenders.
The acquisition of Jadeveon Clowney changes the mood around Seattle completely, although they're still in somewhat of a rebuilding phase after the break-up of their famed Legion of Boom defence. Russell Wilson's huge contract showcases his importance to the team, as he's a one-man offence at times, but they'll be more of a run-heavy side this campaign. It's hard to see them finishing above the Rams in the NFC West though and that's a blow as their home crowd is a huge advantage in the play-offs. They'll be challenging for a wild card.
Benching Super Bowl winner Joe Flacco for Lamar Jackson at QB worked a treat last season as he went 6-1 in seven starts to take them to the play-offs, and he’s a frightening talent as a running QB. Jackson could put up record numbers with his legs, but he’ll have to improve his throwing to avoid becoming too one-dimensional. They added six-time Pro Bowl safety Earl Thomas to their already fierce defence so will be up there among the best in the league again.
Last season was a below-par effort for this group, who made the NFC Championship game the year before and then signed Cousins on a huge contract. Running back Dalvin Cook returns from injury this season and should have a big year, which will help Cousins no end and if the defence can hold its end up then they should be play-off contenders.
From being minutes away from the Super Bowl to mustering just five wins - that's the drop-off the Jags suffered last season in a remarkable fall from grace, but they've got a great chance to bounce right back up again this year. Firstly, they've finally jettisoned QB Blake Bortles for Super Bowl winner Nick Foles, who may be relatively middle-of-the-road in the regular season but has been electric in the post-season. And secondly, that path to the play-offs is clearer than many given the AFC South is wide open after Andrew Luck's retirement. Oh, and their defence is still among the best in the league. Play-offs should be the minimum aim, then watch Foles go!
Watson is an elite quarterback when at his best, and when not getting sacked, which happened a league-worst 62 times last season. Houston have addressed that by trading for Miami left tackle Laremy Tunsil. Getting 11 wins last season despite those offensive line woes was a great effort, and keeping him upright more often gives them a great chance of defending their AFC South title.
It was a big drop-off from Atlanta last year after a Super Bowl appearance and NFC Divisional round defeat in back-to-back seasons. We know exactly what to expect from Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, and that's plenty of yards and plenty of touchdowns - yet again it's a case of what defence turns up. They're in tough division as well.
Cam Newton had shoulder surgery for the second time in three off-seasons and now a foot sprain is threatening to keep him out of the start of the season - that's disastrous for a team with no decent back-up. RB Christian McCaffrey is a top-draw x-factor in a team that's not got the best entertainment factor about them, but they're strong, solid and good enough to battle for a wild card spot.
Plenty to like about a team that beat the Patriots and shutout the Packers on their own turf last season, but still so many question marks after that same side could only muster a 6-10 record overall. Coach Patricia will have his defence improving and Stafford will have options to attack with, but chances are they'll struggle to make the post-season.
Indy's chances were written off even before reading the end of Andrew Luck's retirement statement, and it's true that having Jacoby Brissett under centre is a huge downgrade, but he's no mug and there's plenty of talent around him to help him through. The AFC South is also a rather wide-open affair, arguably the most open division in the league so the route to the play-offs may not be as tough as some, but it's hard to get over that loss of Luck, especially so late on in the summer.
Jimmy G is back! He looked fantastic at times before his torn ACL, but his lofty reputation comes from just ten career starts, and he needs to put in a full season to see just exactly what he's made of. This team's fortunes really do start and end with their QB, but even with him at his best the NFC West is a tough one these days.
No love for the Titans this season but there's a lot to like about the roster they've put together and in this AFC South this season all bets are off after Andrew Luck retired. Their odds reflect how they're not the sexiest team around, but they could easily make the play-offs with this group.
Bruce Arians has come out of retirement to try and end the Bucs' play-off drought, the second-longest in the league, and he'll have plenty of ammunition on offence to do that with Jameis Winston having Mike Evans , Chris Godwin and OJ Howard to throw to. Big plays and points could come in spades, but that dodgy defence limits their upside.
It's been all change for the Jets this summer, changing their coach, general manager and even their kit! Sam Darnold looks like their best QB in a generation and they've brought in super star RB Le'Veon Bell and solid receiver Jamison Crowder to help him to succeed as quickly as possible. They could upset a few and even have an outside chance at a wild card spot.
Defensive schemer Fangio takes the reins in Denver with a team that's been traditionally solid on that side of the ball over recent years - it's the offence that needs sparking and the hope is QB Joe Flacco can provide that after he joined from Baltimore. It's still a work in progress though and the Chiefs and Chargers are streets ahead of them in the AFC West.
Allen is a sneaky good quarterback, and is deceptively quick when taking off on a scramble, and their defence is decent enough - but you're always up against it playing in Tom Brady's division and playing for second place doesn't help with motivation.
The soap opera never stops in Oakland, although it's their last year in California before they ship off to Vegas for next season. Antonio Brown has been through an entire playbook of controversy already before a ball's been kicked, and his future with the team must be in huge doubt. Jon Gruden's lot will ruffle a few feathers, but will be hard pushed to make the post-season.
This rookie coach & quarterback combo has plenty of promise, but it's a huge ask to hit the ground running and turn around the worst team in the NFL last season with just three wins. No.1 Draft pick Murray should offer plenty of highlight reel plays though with his elusive running style, while Kingsbury's 'Air Raid' offence has potential to pile up the points. Winning games, however, is a different story and just winning more than last year will be a tough target.
Eli Manning is on borrowed time as QB with rookie Daniel Jones looking great in pre-season, and it's just a case of when, not if, Shurmur takes the plunge and benches their two-time Super Bowl winner. Second-year rusher Saquon Barkley is their stand-out threat, so Manning will mostly be handing the ball off to him and limiting his margin for error. Big Blue will struggle from the off though so odds are Jones ends up under centre sooner rather than later.
Last season was bad, and this season could get even worse for new head coach Zac Taylor, with Cincy in need of a complete overhaul. Star man AJ Green is injured and running back Joe Mixon is their one playmaker. They’ll finish bottom of their division by a distance.
Two many questions for the Redskins to be taken seriously this season, including having journeyman Case Keenum at quarterback. A string run game with Derrius Guice will keep them in games, but it'll be a lean year this season.
Josh Rosen has been brought in as their possible QB of the future, but Fitzpatrick is likely to start the season for a team that's at the start of a long transition, which puts them out of the equation for anything other than the first pick of next year's draft sadly.