PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship final-round betting preview and tips

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2pts Dylan Frittelli to win his two-ball at 6/4

Sedgefield Country Club, home of the Wyndham Championship, is known as being one of the easiest par 70 courses the PGA Tour offers up each year and moving day in Greensboro did nothing to dent that reputation.

With tee times brought forward due to impending poor weather the players took advantage of an already soft course to post a barrage of birdies with low score honours of the day shared by Jim Herman and Zach Johnson, who both knocked it round in 61 blows.

Just behind this pair were two rounds of 62 posted by Si Woo Kim and Rob Oppenheim and it is these two players along with Doc Redman who dominate going in to Sunday, with Kim on 18-under and holding a two-shot lead over the two Americans.

A huge talent who earned his PGA Tour card at the age of 17 and who won The Players Championship aged 21, Kim arrived here on the back of seven straight cuts made including an eye-catching 13th place at the PGA Championship last week, so his presence at the top of the leaderboard through 54 holes is no great surprise.

At the heart of the South Korean’s performance this week is a superb long-game display, which sees him lead the field in strokes-gained tee-to-green, and on Saturday he gained over six strokes on the field in this department. Numerous iron shots peppered the pin with the highlight being a hole in one on the third, a feat he all but repeated on the 12th.

Whether Kim can continue in the same vein on Sunday and close out the title is another matter altogether of course. Very much In his favour is the fact that he bagged his first PGA Tour trophy here back in 2016, and having held a four-shot lead that year going in to Sunday he knows he can close out here from the front. Also in his favour is the fact that two of the subsequent three 54-hole leaders have also gone on to victory and this is certainly a good course for front-runners.

Reading the above you would be forgiven for thinking that on a course where even an average performance would see him post 67, Kim merely needs to show up to take the title and having put him up in my own pre-event preview I will confess to hoping he closes this out with no real drama.

The elephant in the room however is the 25-year-old's performance at the 2018 RBC Heritage, the last time he really had a tournament by the scruff of its neck, as on that occasion he squandered a two-shot lead as his putter, always his nemesis, deserted him down the stretch, before he ultimately lost out to Satoshi Kodaira in a play-off.

Of the challengers it is hard to make a case for a win for journeyman Oppenheim. A victory for the pre-tournament 500/1 chance who arrived here at 145th in the Fedex Cup standings would be fairytale stuff. Oppenheim leads the field in putting so far this week, gaining over three strokes on the field with the flat stick on Saturday, and it is a big ask for him to keep this up under the spotlight of the last group on Sunday.

Alongside Oppenheim and two behind Kim sits North Carolina player Doc Redman and he looks the biggest danger, more so than both Oppenheim and Billy Horschel, the latter a further shot back and in fourth place on his own.

Redman, the former US Amateur champion, is undoubtedly destined for big things and with the wonderful degree of hindsight Sedgefield CC looks a perfect fit for his neat tee to green game, even if he did miss the cut here last year. He came close to bagging his maiden tour title at another Donald Ross design in Detroit last summer at the Rocket Mortgage Classic so he is clearly comfortable on a Ross layout and the 22-year-old is respected.

Second in those tee-to-green charts behind Kim and fourth in approach play, Redman has made only one bogey all week and if Kim does falter he looks the one most likely to take advantage.

I suspect Kim will close things out, however I am not confident enough to put him up at the general 5/4 on offer, which seems pretty much the right price and with 61s and 62s potentially out there again. Those numbers of course bring in Mr Wyndham himself, Webb Simpson, on and it's best at this stage to leave the outright market alone.

Instead my focus is on the two-ball pairings and take my chances on DYLAN FRITTELLI to outscore Patrick Reed at around the 6/4 mark.

Reed here is priced up as favourite on reputation, which as a former course and distance winner and of course major champion is perfectly understandable.

His game though has been scratchy it would be fair to say and he has got progressively worse from tee to green as the week has gone on, while his usual magic touch around the greens has also deserted him. After opening up with a 65 it may just be that a long week at the PGA on the back of the WGC-Fedex St Jude is beginning to catch up with him.

Frittelli, who also performed solidly at TPC Harding Park but was not in Memphis the week before, started slowly with an opening 69 however he has been bogey-free for the past two days, posting rounds of 65 and 66, and after negative numbers on day one his approach play in particular has been strong.

Fifty-third in the Fedex Cup standings, the South African will be looking for another low one on Sunday to push himself closer to the top 30 and I am happy to side with him at decent odds against a rival with eyes on next week's title defence in Boston.

Posted at 2230 on 15/08/20

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