Paul Higham sees Fulham being relegated at Watford and goals in Wolves v Man Utd in Tuesday's Premier League action.
Recommended bets
1pt Over 2.5 goals in Wolves v Man Utd at 6/5
1pt Watford to win & over 2.5 goals at 11/8
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Wolves v Man Utd (1945 BST - Sky Sports Premier League)
United return to Molineux looking to avenge their FA Cup defeat last month, and will hope that the upcoming semi-final in that same competition this weekend will be on Wolves’ minds.
Wolves are a huge price at 3/1 to win this one and anyone who watched both the FA Cup game and the draw at Old Trafford would bite your hand off at that given how well Nuno Espirito Santo's side played in those outings.
That looming FA Cup semi-final is the big worry though, will Nuno opt to shuffle his pack again as he did in the weekend defeat at Burnley? And more importantly will the payed on show have one eye on Wembley?
It could, of course, have the opposite effect if Wolves feel they're playing for FA Cup places, and if United play similar to their laboured win over Watford then again we'd be all in on a home win here, but the team sheets will give us a lot of clues to this one.
It's probably got the makings of a draw but I do think there can be goals here for both sides given what's at stake for United. Their away games average 3.3 goals a game this season and, while Wolves started the season more conservatively at home, there's been over 2.5 goals in five of the last seven at Molineux.
Best Bet: 1pt Over 2.5 goals at 6/5 (Betfair)
Wolves v Manchester United - Opta stats
- Following their 2-1 win against them in the FA Cup quarter-final, Wolves are looking to beat Manchester United twice in the same season for the first time since 1979-80, when they won both top-flight games against the Red Devils.
- Wolves have won more points against ‘big six’ sides in the Premier League this season than any of the other 14 teams in the competition (10 – W2 D4 L3).
- Wolves are unbeaten in four home Premier League games (W3 D1), keeping a clean sheet in two of the last three.
- Paul Pogba has been directly involved in five of Manchester United’s last eight away goals in the Premier League (2 goals, 3 assists).
- 11 of Wolves’ last 15 home goals in the Premier League have been scored by either Raul Jimenez (6) or Diogo Jota (5).
Watford v Fulham (1945 BST)
The fat lady has been warming up for a few weeks now, but she'll be belting out Fulham's relegation tune if they lose at Vicarage Road as they'll officially be relegated back down to the Championship.
Watford will still be scratching their heads at losing at Old Trafford despite largely dominating, but they get the opportunity to have some shooting practice against a down-on-their-luck Fulham outfit with confidence at an all-time low.
The Cottagers have just two points from their 16 away games this season, while their defence, or lack of it, has been the driving force behind their relegation having conceded a whopping 72 goals and a run of 12 games in a row of conceding at least twice.
There's another FA Cup semi-final to think about here for Watford, and Javi Gracia has been keen to make wholesale changes throughout their run to Wembley, but there's not a huge drop-off in ability between starters and reserves in his Hornets squad.
Watford should easily be good enough to end Fulham's brief stay in the top flight.
Best bet: Watford to win & over 2.5 goals at 11/8
Watford v Fulham - Opta stats
- Watford have won their last two home Premier League games, as many as they had in their previous nine at Vicarage Road (W2 D2 L5).
- Among teams to have played at least 100 away games in the competition, Fulham have the lowest away win percentage of any side in Premier League history (14% - 38/263).
- Watford’s Troy Deeney has scored four goals in his three league appearances against Fulham, including a hat-trick in a 5-0 win at Craven Cottage in December 2014.
- Watford’s Andre Gray has scored in each of his last three league appearances against Fulham, netting four goals in total.
- Watford striker Andre Gray has scored in each of his last three home games in all competitions, coming off the bench to net the winning goal each time.
Odds correct as of 1645 on 01/04/2019
