Tom Carnduff's TV tips: Premier League, Scottish Premiership, Sky Bet EFL best bets and predictions
Football betting tips: TV games
Sunday:
1pt Manuel Akanji 1+ assists in Manchester City vs West Ham (16:00) at 11/1 (Paddy Power)
Manchester City vs West Ham
- Kick-off time: 16:00 BST, Sunday
- TV: Sky Sports Main Event
- Home 1/11 | Draw 19/2 | Away 20/1
Manchester City should be lifting the Premier League trophy once again around 6pm on Sunday.
Pep Guardiola's side know a victory over this struggling West Ham side will be enough to crown them champions of England - a familiar feeling for the blue side of Manchester.
They're 1/11 to do just that - 1/16 to win the title in case of an Arsenal slip-up anyway - and it really is hard to disagree with the odds given the strength this side has throughout.
I'm going to go for a bet that could perhaps be classed as unexpected. Prices of 11/1 and 10/1 are available on MANUEL AKANJI 1+ ASSISTS.
Comfortable across the entire backline, Akanji has been contributing chances but has failed to register an assist so far.
In fact, he's created at least one chance in each of his last five Premier League outings at the Etihad. Across those five, he played at least one as a left-back, right-back and a centre-back.
Two chances came in the 5-1 hammering of Luton, while he's seen a season-high of three in their recent Champions League home draw with Real Madrid.
As you'd expect, most of City's players are a short price. With goals expected, Akanji is therefore the value pick.
Already advised
1pt Reo Hatate to score anytime in Celtic vs St. Mirren (12:30) at 3/1 (Betfair, Paddy Power)
1pt Cameron Brannagan to score anytime in Bolton vs Oxford (16:15) at 13/2 (Sky Bet)
0.5pt Cameron Brannagan to score 2+ goals in Bolton vs Oxford (16:15) at 80/1 (Sky Bet)
1.5pts Jay Williams to be shown a card in Crawley vs Crewe (13:00) at 9/4 (Sky Bet)
Crawley vs Crewe
- Kick-off time: 13:00 BST, Sunday
- TV: Sky Sports Main Event
- Home 21/20 | Draw 5/2 | Away 23/10
Crawley secured their spot at Wembley with one of the finest two-legged performances we've ever seen in the play-offs.
The lowest-ranked side beat the highest (MK Dons) 8-1 on aggregate. Confidence should therefore be high as they take on Crewe at the national stadium.
The possession-based approach that they work with should, in theory, suit the 'bigger' Wembley pitch. The dimensions are much closer to Crawley's then they are Crewe's shorter surface.
I'm going to side with a bet I liked in both semi-finals and take JAY WILLIAMS TO BE CARDED at 9/4
Williams was carded 14 times in the regular season, but remarkably avoided a three-game suspension by failing to commit a single foul in their final six games of the campaign.
JAY WILLIAMS EXTENDS CRAWLEY'S LEAD TO FOUR INSIDE THREE MINUTES 💥
— Sky Sports Football (@SkyFootball) May 11, 2024
Will there be any way back for MK Dons? pic.twitter.com/F6x5DhRzZA
Cards reset in the play-offs and he was booked in the second leg with two fouls on his tally. We can expect a similar figure or more with the worry of suspension not an issue at this point.
With Crawley backed to win, their midfielder may go higher still on the fouls count if they are protecting a lead. You could say the same applies when chasing the game as they look to be more aggressive in pursuit of possession.
BuildABet @ 19/1
- Jay Williams to be carded
- Danilo Orsi 2+ shots on target
- Crawley 6+ corners
Odds correct at 1455 BST (17/05/24)
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