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Sporting Life's Premier League Sunday preview package and free tips

Premier League tips: Betting previews, score predictions & best bets for Sunday's action

By Tom Carnduff

Football

Sun March 01, 2020 · 5y ago

There's two games in the Premier League on Sunday. Tom Carnduff has two best bets at prices of 7/1 and 17/4.

Recommended bets

1pt Dominic Calvert-Lewin to be shown a card in Everton v Manchester United at 17/4

1pt Matt Doherty to score anytime in Tottenham v Wolves at 7/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Everton v Manchester United

Everton celebrate Bernard's strike against Crystal Palace in the Premier League

Manchester United could be heading into this game knowing that victory might take them level on points with the top-four.

For that to happen, they'd need struggling Bournemouth to help them out by beating Chelsea, and then getting a result against Everton themselves.

Easier said than done, the Toffees have experienced an upturn in fortunes following Carlo Ancelotti's arrival on Merseyside. They've currently enjoying a five-game unbeaten run at home.

United may have convincingly beaten Club Brugge 5-0 in the Europa League on Thursday night but the main issue facing Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's men is one of consistency. Three of their last five Premier League away games have ended in defeat.

When it comes to deciding that outright winner, there is appeal in taking the 6/4 across the board on a home victory. The partnership of Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison has excelled and there's value in backing the former here.

However, rather than take the 2/1 on Calvert-Lewin netting anytime, there's value in the 17/4 best price on the Everton striker being shown a card.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin scores against Arsenal

Everton have experienced change under Ancelotti and so too has Calvert-Lewin. The forward has scored nine goals since Marco Silva departed the club in early December, but he's also developed a more physical side.

Under Silva's guidance, the striker had one yellow card in 13 appearances. With Duncan Ferguson and then Ancelotti in the dugout, that tally has risen to five in 12 games.

It's clear to see that a change in style has helped his form in front of goal. The problem being that it has also brought cards and unwanted attention from the officials.

He's not in suspension trouble given how his overall tally stands at six. Therefore there's not a need to tread carefully at Goodison Park on Sunday.

The appointment of Chris Kavanagh as the referee for this game also gives hope of a high card tally. He's shown nine yellows across his last two Premier League games - with a total of seven shown on three separate occasions this season.

It should be a good afternoon for Calvert-Lewin and his Everton side, but one in which he adds to that increasingly busy bookings column.

Score prediction: Everton 2-1 Manchester United (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)

Best bet: Dominic Calvert-Lewin to be shown a card at 17/4

Opta facts

Everton have won four of their last seven home Premier League games against Man Utd, including a 4-0 victory last season (D1 L2). The Toffees had only won three of their first 20 against them at Goodison Park in the competition (D3 L14).
Manchester United are winless in their last two league games against Everton (D1 L1), last going longer without a victory against them between October 1988 and March 1990 (four games).
Manchester United have won just one of their last 13 Premier League games played on the first day of a month (D8 L4), though that victory did come at Everton, on New Year’s Day 2018 (2-0).
Since losing 0-2 against Norwich in Marco Silva’s last home game in charge, Everton are unbeaten in six Premier League matches at Goodison Park (W4 D2).
Manchester United have won their last two Premier League games by an aggregate score of 5-0. They last won three in a row without conceding in January 2018.
Everton have scored in their last nine Premier League games (all under Carlo Ancelotti) – only Liverpool (36) are on a longer current run. However, Manchester United have kept three consecutive Premier League clean sheets, as many as they had in their previous 23.
Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has been directly involved in nine goals in his last nine Premier League games against Manchester United (5 goals, 4 assists).
In all competitions, Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti has lost each of his last three meetings with Manchester United – as many as he’d lost in his first 11 against the Red Devils (W6 D2 L3).
Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored 12 Premier League goals this season – the last English player to score more in a single campaign for the club was Paul Rideout in 1994-95 (14).
Since his debut for the club, Bruno Fernandes has had more shots (10), provided more assists (2) and created more chances (7) than any other Manchester United player in the Premier League.

Tottenham v Wolves

Celebrations for Wolves after Leander Dendoncker's equaliser against Newcastle

Wolves' head into this contest on the back of progression in the Europa League on Thursday night.

The West Midlands side got the better of LaLiga strugglers Espanyol over two legs and reached the round of 16 as 6-3 aggregate winners.

Sunday takes them to Jose Mourinho's Tottenham - a team who have come under criticism in recent weeks but still remain within four points of the Champions League places.

Wolves could leapfrog them with victory though and hold top-four aspirations of their own.

There's too much risk involved in taking the 6/4 available on a home win in this one given their recent results. Wolves' 23/10 price provides appeal, although there is more value in the 2/1 general price on a draw.

The biggest appeal comes in the goalscorer market though and backing Wolves' flying wing-back Matt Doherty to get onto the scoresheet.

The right-back/right midfielder has been a regular feature of this Wolves side and found the net in that defeat in Spain on Thursday. That took his total tally across all competitions this season to six.

His attacking threat is reflected in the number of shots he sees per game. The season started slowly with just four shots in his first eight Premier League games but it picked up from October onwards.

There's only been four league games since the 1-1 draw at Newcastle on October 27 where Doherty has failed to register at least one effort towards goal.

Matt Doherty scores against Espanyol

His last four games in the Premier League have seen a total of six shots, with three coming in their 3-0 win over Norwich last time out at home. One of those was also on target.

His goal-scoring form this season is no fluke. He's a player who fits the way Wolves want to play, using the full-backs to provide support in attacking positions out wide. It's why he netted a total of eight goals last season, contributing a further ten assists.

Tottenham continue to see issues in the full-back positions and that could be an avenue for Wolves to exploit if they are to secure victory.

Ben Davies is likely to line-up in the left-back position. He's found game time difficult this season with just eight Premier League appearances - it's a battle where Doherty should come out on top.

6/4 is available on the Wolves' full-back having one shot on target in this contest but the 7/1 best price on a goal anytime appears generous. That is where the best bet lies at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

The draw looks the most appealing outright option, although a case can be made for the short-priced 8/15 on the Wolves-draw double chance option if including as part of a Sunday accumulator.

Score prediction: Tottenham 1-1 Wolves (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)

Best bet: Matt Doherty to score anytime at 7/1

Opta facts

Spurs have lost just one of their last seven league games against Wolves (W4 D2), though it was in their home meeting with them last season, losing 3-1.
Wolves won this exact fixture 3-1 last season – they’ve never won back-to-back away league games against Spurs before.
Tottenham are looking to secure three consecutive league wins at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for the first time since their first three such games at the ground in April 2019.
Since their promotion in 2018, Wolves are unbeaten in each of their eight Premier League games in London (W3 D5) – it’s their longest unbeaten run in the capital in the top-flight since a run of 11 between 1972 and 1974.
Coming in to this weekend’s fixtures, only the top two sides Liverpool and Manchester City have won more Premier League points than Spurs since José Mourinho took charge.
Wolves have kept three consecutive clean sheets in the Premier League, as many as they had in their previous 23 games in the competition. Despite this, Wolves have both scored and conceded in a league-high 19 different Premier League games this season.
Wolves have scored the first goal in fewer games than any other side in the Premier League this season (7 – W6 D1). However, they’ve avoided defeat in 11 of the 17 games in which they’ve shipped the first goal (W3 D8 L6).
Since netting in the reverse fixture against Wolves in December, Tottenham’s Lucas Moura hasn’t scored in any of his last 10 Premier League games, with the Brazilian starting nine of those matches.
Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez has scored 12 goals in 27 Premier League games this season, just one fewer than he managed in 38 games last term.
Nuno Espírito Santo has won 25 of his 65 Premier League games as Wolves manager, as many as Mick McCarthy managed in 101 games in charge of the club. The Portuguese has managed 30% of Wolves’ Premier League games (65/217), and has been responsible for 43% of their wins in the competition (25/57).

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Odds correct at 1000 GMT (28/02/20)