Tom Carnduff is expecting a few bookings when Chelsea host Tottenham as part of Super Sunday's Premier League action.
Sunday's Premier League recommended bets
2pts Over 11.5 corners in Arsenal v Stoke at 11/10
1pt Between 35 to 55 booking points in Chelsea v Tottenham at 7/4
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Arsenal v Stoke (1330 BST, Sky Sports Main Event)
Arsenal host Stoke City in the first clash of Super Sunday with both sides battling it out at opposite ends of the table.
Arsenal could start the day just two points ahead of Burnley in sixth, whilst Stoke know that an upset could put them to within a point of safety.
Paul Lambert's Stoke side are running out of games in order to secure their Premier League status, and are likely to leave the Emirates Stadium empty handed.
Unsurprisingly, Arsenal are 3/10 favourites for this one whilst Stoke are out at 21/2 for the win.
Arsene Wenger's men sit as the fourth best home side in the division, whilst the Potters find themselves as the second worst when it comes to the away record.
Both sides though, are in the bottom 10 of the form table with Arsenal picking up just six points from their last five games. Stoke have failed to win any games during the same period.
Jese's second-half strike was the difference in a 1-0 win for Stoke in their first meeting this season, but Arsenal will be confident of another three points on Sunday afternoon.
Goal-scoring has been an issue for the Gunners this season, with the side sitting 13 points away from their usual spot in the top four. Alexandre Lacazette is their top scorer, but he has managed to find the net just nine times so far. Alexis Sanchez, who departed the club for Manchester United in January, still sits in second with eight.
With this one being viewed as a home banker, it's worth looking at other markets to try and find some value in the contest.
I'm looking towards the corner markets with Stoke expected to be on the back foot for most of the 90 minutes. Both teams are above the Premier League average for corners and Stoke concede more corners than any other side in the division.
The last five meetings between these two at the Emirates has seen an average of 12.6 corners, with two of those games having 14 or more. Over 11.5 corners is available at 11/10, with over 12.5 also about at 33/20.
Score prediction: Arsenal 3-0 Stoke City (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)
Best bet: Over 11.5 corners at 11/10
Alternative bet: Arsenal to win to nil at 29/20
Chelsea v Tottenham (1600 BST, Sky Sports Main Event)
A mouth-watering clash at Stamford Bridge in Super Sunday's second offering as Chelsea welcome rivals Tottenham.
Spurs sit in fourth going into this one, whilst Chelsea trail behind in fifth by a margin of five points.
It'll be viewed as a must-win by the hosts, as they know that defeat will open up an eight-point gap and all but end their top-four aspirations for this season.
Chelsea are available at 7/5 to win with home advantage, whilst Tottenham are 9/4 and the draw available around the 23/10 mark.
Four of the last five meetings between these two have seen over 2.5 goals, with over 3.5 in two of those games.
At least three can be found a shade above evens at 17/16, whilst over 3.5 is available at 27/10.
These encounters are often fiesty, with their last five seeing a total of 33 yellow cards, an average of 6.6 per match.
Whilst Andre Marriner hasn't shown as many yellow cards as the likes of Mike Dean and Martin Atkinson, he has been stricter in meetings between top end sides.
He showed five yellows and a red in Manchester United's victory over Arsenal, five yellows in Liverpool's win over Manchester City and four yellows in Tottenham's win over United.
Therefore 35-55 booking points seems decent value at 7/4 given Marriner's refereeing style and the number of cards that are typically shown between these two.
Dele Alli is Tottenham's most booked player with six in Premier League games this season, and he's available at 11/5 to be shown a card by the referee on Sunday.
In terms of corners, these two sides sit fractionally above the Premier League average of 10.42, with both around the 11 mark.
There's been an average of 12.4 corners in their last five meetings, with the game at Wembley earlier this season seeing a total of 17.
Over 11.5 corners can be found at 23/17, whilst 13 or more corners is available at 7/4.
Score prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Best bet: Between 35 to 55 booking points at 7/4
Alternative bet: Over 2.5 goals at 17/16
Posted at 1245 BST on 30/03/2018
