Burnley v Tottenham betting preview: Prediction, best bets & latest Premier League odds for Sky Sports live game at Turf Moor

By Paul Higham

Football

Sat February 23, 2019 · 6y ago

Harry Kane may be back but Paul Higham says Son will be the star for Spurs at Burnley as they can close the gap on the Premier League leaders to just two points.

Recommended bets

1pt Tottenham to win & under 3.5 goals at 6/4

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Burnley v Tottenham (1230 GMT - Sky Sports Premier League)

We can finally start talking about Tottenham as genuine title contenders if they can earn a win at Burnley on Saturday lunchtime, as it’ll close the gap on the Premier League leaders to just two points.

With Manchester City in Carabao Cup action and Liverpool facing a tough Sunday afternoon at the office at Old Trafford, Spurs could well remain just a couple of points off the league summit come Monday morning.

Added to that the fact that Harry Kane could well make an earlier than expected return from injury and Spurs would suddenly be demanding column inches in the growing debate over who will win the Premier League this season.

As a fully paid-up member of the Mauricio Pochettino fan club it’s good to see him getting the credit he deserves in some credit – a win here will only raise his profile even further by guiding his team firmly into contention.

This will be no walk in the park though. Burnley are unbeaten in seven conceding just six over that span, including a fine draw at Old Trafford, and even before that run the Clarets were desperately unlucky not to get anything in the reverse fixture at Wembley, when Christian Eriksen scored a stoppage time winner.

Betting guide

Prediction: Burnley 0-2 Tottenham (Sky Bet odds: 7/1)
Spurs have been winning without Harry Kane, and I’m not sure they’ll need him to get the job done away – with Son filling in some brilliantly and even Llorente looking like a player in recent games. They’re the best away side in the Premier League and although I expected Burnley to dig in and make life tough there’s enough confidence here in an away win.

Best bet: Tottenham to win & under 3.5 goals at 6/4
You get 3/1 for a Spurs win and under 2.5 and I’m predicting 2-0, but we want a winner here and Ashley Barnes has scored in his last three Premier League games so there’s always the potential of a third goal for either team really. I’m playing safe.

Goals: Son to score anytime at 11/10
Son’s scored in his last four and although all good things must come to an end, he’s my key man in this game. His movement is excellent, pace is fantastic and can finish with either foot – plus he delivered in stoppage time the last time I backed him so we’re rolling with him again.

RequestABet: Tottenham to win, Son to score, under 3.5 goals & 10+ match corners

Burnley v Tottenham - Opta stats

Burnley are winless in their last seven Premier League meetings with Tottenham (D2 L5), since winning 4-2 on the final day of the 2009-10 campaign.
Tottenham have kept a clean sheet on each of their last three visits to Burnley in the top-flight, winning twice and drawing once.
Only Manchester United (9) are on a longer current unbeaten run in the Premier League than Burnley (7). The Clarets last had a longer unbeaten run in the top-flight between May-September 1966 (9 games).
Since beating Liverpool in August 2016, Burnley have only taken two points from their last 42 available at home against ‘big six’ opponents in the Premier League (W0 D2 L12). They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those games, conceding 27 goals and netting just six in return.
Tottenham have won 11 Premier League away games this season, already their most in a single campaign in the competition. They last won more on the road in a single league season in 1984-85 (12).
Only Liverpool (1) have failed to score in fewer Premier League games than Tottenham this season, with Spurs’ only failings coming in home games against the two Manchester sides (0-1 vs Man City in October, 0-1 vs Man Utd in January).
Tottenham have scored a league-high 12 Premier League goals from outside the area this season, while Burnley have conceded the most in this fashion so far (12).
Burnley’s Ashley Barnes has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances, including scoring from the penalty spot in his last two. Only five players have ever scored a penalty in three consecutive Premier League games before, with Sergio Aguero in November 2017 the most recent.
Son Heung-min has scored eight goals in his last eight Premier League appearances for Tottenham, netting in each of his last three in a row. He last scored in four consecutive top-flight appearances in April 2017.
Of all Premier League goalkeepers to have played at least five games this season, Burnley’s Tom Heaton has the best saves to shots ratio in the division (80%).