Premier League tips: Betting previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's action including

Recommended bets

2pts Arsenal to score 2+ goals at 13/10

0.5pt Youri Tielemans to score anytime at 7/1

0.5pt David Brooks to get 1+ assists at 4/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

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AFC Bournemouth v Crystal Palace

• 1945 BST kick-off on BBC One
• Match Odds: Home 7/5 | Draw 11/5 | Away 19/10

A new first for the BBC as they show a live Premier League game. Bournemouth v Crystal Palace in a prime time Saturday night slot - who'd have thought we'd have been so excited for this fixture?

That's what such a long time without football can do to you. And it does seem so long when you think about where these sides left off; Bournemouth in the last relegation spot while Palace sit pretty safe and just one point off that magic 40-point mark.

Palace are a strange side, with the second-worst expected goals reading for the season on 32.2, just one ahead of Newcastle. The fact they won their last three Premier League games before the break, each by a 1-0 scoreline, says it all.

They are well set up under Roy Hodgson and have some talented players among their ranks, but their level of threat remains pretty low. Especially if Wilfried Zaha or Jordan Ayew are not on song.

Bournemouth's xG for the season is only slightly more at 39. But they have a reason to change that, with the return of David Brooks.

Eddie Howe's side have been able to benefit from the recovery of a number of players, including winger Brooks, who has been out for over a year now. Talked about in our 11 to watch after injury feature, the Welshman really can be the driving force behind their survival bid.

In an interview with Jamie Redknapp in the Mail last weekend, Brooks came across as a confident guy who is not fazed by much. He talked about his excitement at being watched by millions as the Premier League hits the screens around the world in a prime slot. It is his chance to impress and show what the Cherries have been missing and what he is all about.

His xG per 90 and xGa per 90 data for his debut season with the club is impressive, reading 0.48, which means he will score or assist a goal nearly every other game.

With Brooks on one wing and Harry Wilson on the other, Callum Wilson should not be short of supply and all of a sudden Bournemouth's attack has plenty of promise and youthful exuberance. And two-thirds Welsh!

At the time of writing, it has been reported that Brooks injured his hand in training this week, but fear not he should be fit to play with a cast and he is 7/2 to score anytime.

But, given his record since joining Bournemouth from Sheffield United in 2018, his chance creation and threat in the final third, the 4/1 on offer for him to get an assist is preferred. Certainly appealing odds if you are looking for a nice price in this one.

With an inspired attack and more options in defence again, the Cherries can make a winning return to boost their survival hopes.

Score prediction: Bournemouth 2-0 Crystal Palace (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)

Best bet: David Brooks to get 1+ assists at 4/1

Opta stats

• Since their 1-0 win at Chelsea in December, Bournemouth have taken just eight points from their subsequent 12 Premier League games (W2 D2 L8) – no side has won fewer points in that time. However, all eight of those points have been won in home games.
• No side has kept fewer clean sheets in the Premier League this season than Bournemouth (4). Indeed, the Cherries have conceded at least once in each of their last 12 Premier League games, the longest current run in the competition.
• Crystal Palace haven’t scored more than twice in any of their 29 Premier League games this season. The last time they managed this was on the final day of the 2018-19 season in a 5-3 win against Bournemouth.
• So far in 2019-20, Bournemouth are averaging their lowest average possession (44.3%), lowest passing accuracy (75.9%), lowest shots on target per game (3.4) and highest shots on target faced per game (5.3) figures in any of their five Premier League campaigns.
• Crystal Palace’s Patrick van Aanholt has scored more Premier League goals against Bournemouth than he has vs any other side (3). The Dutchman netted home and away against them for the Eagles last season.
• After a run of 15 Premier League games without a goal, Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has scored three in his last six. However, at home the England forward has netted just one goal in his last 10 Premier League matches.
• Jordan Ayew’s eight Premier League goals have been worth 14 points to Crystal Palace this season. Crystal Palace’s record when Ayew scores this season is W6 D2 L0, with five of the Ghanaian’s strikes being the winning goal of the game.

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Watford v Leicester

• 1230 BST kick-off on BT Sport
• Match Odds: Home 12/5 | Draw 12/5 | Away 23/20

Watford have nine games to complete the great escape and no-one knows more about doing that under Nigel Pearson than Leicester.

The Premier League's restart and that of the Bundesliga have shown that it takes a while for sides to find their feet and get going again. It has now been more than 100 days since these sides played a professional match, so the sharpness could be lacking.

A case of that and Pearson having his side well organised to grind out a result could make for a tight affair.

Regular Sporting Life readers will have seen us mention Abdoulaye Doucoure in our 11 to watch series and he was going to be our goalscorer tip at just over 4/1. But we have talked ourselves out of it after considering he will be marked closely by one of the league's best defensive midfielders in Wilfried Ndidi and central pairing Jonny Evans and Caglar Soyuncu.

The trawling through markets continues and the one that really stands out is another goalscorer in Youri Tielemans. Odds of 7/1 for Leicester's attacking midfielder are astonishing.

If we are comparing this to the start of the season, Tielemans had six shots in his first two games - against Wolves and Chelsea, so certainly no pushover opposition.

The Belgian averages 1.6 shots per game in the league over the course of the campaign, but when he shoots, more often than not they come in a flurry - on 14 occasions he has had two efforts or more.

He is also a regular under Brendan Rodgers, starting 24 of his 28 league appearances this season, and missing just one game all season long.

Since joining Leicester, initially on loan from Monaco 18 months ago, he has scored eight and assisted 12. He really is a threat in the final third and is a great box-to-box midfielder who makes late runs into the penalty area, with the confidence that Ndidi will be there to tidy up in a deeper role - and he usually does.

With Pearson keen to keep the speedy attack of Jamie Vardy, Harvey Barnes and James Maddison quiet, Watford could become stretched and therefore create space for Tielemans.

It is not an outlandish ask for him to score considering his threat and the rustiness may well play into his hands. At 7/1, it is certainly worthy of a small play.

Pearson will have been able to use this time to get more ideas across to his side as they look to preserve their top-flight status. And, with all things considered, this could well be another Premier League match where the points are shared as they ease back in.

It should take both sides a while to get going and the Bundesliga has already shown that home advantage goes out the window with just 11 wins from the first 55 games played behind closed doors. Not like it fazes Leicester too much - they have the league's fourth-best away record after Liverpool, Man City and Chelsea.

They have had a fine first full season under Rodgers and can get something here - with Tielemans hopefully striking lucky.

Score prediction: Watford 1-1 Leicester (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)

Best bet: Youri Tielemans to score anytime at 7/1

Opta stats

• Watford have won their last three home Premier League games against Leicester City, with each victory coming via a 2-1 scoreline.
• Nine of the 11 Premier League meetings between Watford and Leicester City have been won by the home side (82%), including each of the last seven. Among fixtures to have been played 10+ times, only Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough (90%) has seen a higher percentage of home wins.
• 24% of the Premier League goals scored in fixtures between Leicester and Watford have been penalties (6/25), the highest ratio of any of the 469 fixtures to have seen at least 20 goals scored.
• Since Nigel Pearson’s first home match in charge of Watford (22nd December), only Liverpool (18) have won more points in home Premier League games than the Hornets (13 – W4 D1 L1).
• Watford have failed to score in a league-high 13 different Premier League games this season. However, they’re yet to go consecutive league games without a goal under Nigel Pearson.
• Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has scored 99 Premier League goals; his next strike will see him become the 29th player to reach a century in the competition, and the 16th to do so for a single club.
• Watford’s Troy Deeney has been involved in six goals in his last six Premier League home games (4 goals, 2 assists), as many as he had in his previous 25 at Vicarage Road (5 goals, 1 assist).

Brighton v Arsenal

• 1500 BST kick-off on BT Sport
• Match Odds: Home 21/10 | Draw 12/5 | Away 5/4

Yes, Arsenal had a shocker on their return in midweek but they are an excellent bet to bounce back here.

There is a lot to defend (not that the Gunners normally can defend well...) from their 3-0 defeat at Man City on Wednesday, so hear us out.

The scoreline probably glosses over the fact Mikel Arteta's side started really well at the Etihad. Rarely do teams go to City and share 50% possession for the majority of the first half.

They were defending pretty comfortably, with a clear plan - Bernd Leno often giving it to central defender Pablo Mari to start building up from the back. Eddie Nketiah looked lively leading the attack and they showed how dangerous they can be on the break.

In the middle, Matteo Guendouzi was a nuisance while Leno made some great save between the sticks as City had 12 shots on target.

Plenty of positives.

Then, "everything went wrong", as Arteta put it, adding that he hoped they used all their bad luck in one go.

First Granit Xhaka picked up an injury, which they dealt with well as Dani Ceballos came on hungry to impress. But then Mari pulled up and on came David Luiz.

The tide of the game turned as Arsenal were disrupted and City pushed for the opener. Luiz made an error and Raheem Sterling scored.

Then, early in the second half, Arteta could not help Luiz clattering into Riyad Mahrez to give away a penalty and get sent off in the process. Game plan out the window.

Mari will be unlikely to feature at Brighton, but on the bright side Luiz is also unavailable.

Arteta was quite spiky in his post-match interview, frustration clear to see, and you can expect a reaction on Saturday.

Not only will they be ready to react, they should be a bit sharper than Brighton after having midweek to dust off the cobwebs. This is where they can get the better of Graham Potter's men who, remember, got a shock victory at the Emirates in December.

Nketiah, who scored a hat-trick in their warm-up game against Charlton earlier this month, Golden Boot-hunting Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, and Alexandre Lacazette can spur the side on to get all three points.

Brighton's home record is not too bad for a struggling side, with just four defeats from 14, but out goes that home advantage and their previous form considering it was three months ago - just as well seeing as they are winless in the Premier League in 2020.

Given the fact Arsenal's defence has improved under Arteta, and that Wednesday was the first time the Spaniard has lost on the road in eight games in all competitions as manager, backing Arsenal to score two or more at 13/10 is looking like a nice little wager (the -1 handicap is at a best price of 15/4 if you're feeling brave).

Score prediction: Brighton 0-2 Arsenal (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)

Best bet: Arsenal to score 2+ goals at 13/10

Opta stats

• Brighton remain the only side without a win in the Premier League in 2020, with the Seagulls drawing six and losing three since the turn of the year.
• Brighton are unbeaten in all three of their Premier League home games against the six ever-present sides in the competition this season, beating Spurs and Everton before drawing with Chelsea.
• Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 23 Premier League games kicking off at 3pm on a Saturday (W19 D4), since a 0-1 loss against West Brom in November 2015.
• Brighton manager Graham Potter has won his last two games against Arsenal in all competitions, winning 2-1 away with both Östersunds FK in the Europa League in February 2018 and Brighton earlier this season. His only previous home game against the Gunners was a 3-0 defeat in February 2018 with Östersunds FK.
• Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored both of Arsenal’s two Premier League goals at the Amex, scoring in March and December 2018. The last Gunners player to score their first three Premier League goals at a stadium was Ian Wright at The Dell in March 1994.
• Adam Webster and Neal Maupay scored Brighton’s goals in their 2-1 win at Arsenal earlier in the season – no Brighton player has ever scored home and away against the Gunners in the same campaign before.

West Ham v Wolves

• 1730 BST kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League/Main Event
• Match Odds: Home 5/2 | Draw 12/5 | Away 11/10

The season has been a long one for everyone due to the unforeseen circumstances, but none more so than Wolves, whose first competitive game came last July in the Europa League. Physically they have had a bit of a rest but psychologically it is a long old campaign.

Luckily for them they have an astute manager in Nuno Espirito Santo, whose attention to detail is spot on and he will make sure they are in a position to finish strongly both in the league and in Europe.

For David Moyes and West Ham, they really needed a break with just one win from 10 in all competitions. They should have enough to avoid the drop, but who knows with West Ham as it is rarely straightforward for the east Londoners.

Among their ranks they do have summer signing Tomas Soucek still to bed in properly, with this extended break allowing the on-loan midfielder to fully recover from a muscular injury that hampered his start to life in England after joining from Slavia Prague.

Readers of our tips and the 11 to watch series will know he is a player who can potentially contribute to the Hammers' survival bid going on his previous stats.

The Czech Republic ace is an exciting box-to-box midfielder who could fit in well alongside Declan Rice and Mark Noble in the centre of the park.

Although he is a deep-lying midfielder by trade, the 25-year-old scored 10 goals in 19 appearances for Slavia in the first half of the campaign and his rate of shooting is impressive.

He averaged 2.3 per game in the Champions League (four shots and a goal against both Inter Milan and Borussia Dortmund), 2.7 per game in the UEFA Nations League last year for his country, and he had two shots on his debut against the Seagulls.

With those three in the middle for the Hammers, and Joao Moutinho and Ruben Neves for Wolves, it could well be a battle of the midfield.

An away win is slightly favoured due to the aforementioned Portuguese duo and dangerous attacking three of Diogo Jota, Raul Jimenez and Adama Traore.

But the market for Soucek to have two shots, not necessarily on target, at an odds-against price does appeal. When he has sight of goal, he will not hesitate to try his luck.

Score prediction: West Ham 0-1 Wolves (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)

Best bet: Tomas Soucek 2+ total shots at 11/8

Opta stats

• Wolves are looking to win consecutive away league games at West Ham for the first time, having won 1-0 at London Stadium last season.
• West Ham have lost more points from winning positions than any other side in the Premier League this season (22), while Wolves have won more points from losing positions than anyone else this term (21).
• Wolves are unbeaten in their last nine Premier League matches in London (W4 D5) since losing 0-5 at Fulham in March 2012. Only Liverpool (current run of 10 games) and Manchester United (3 separate runs of 10+ games) have gone on longer unbeaten runs in the capital among non-London sides in the competition.
• Wolves manager Nuno Espírito Santo’s best 100%-win record against an opponent in his league managerial career is against West Ham, winning all three games against the Hammers.
• In his English league career, West Ham’s Michail Antonio has only played more minutes against Arsenal (542) without scoring than he has against Wolves (516).
• Wolves’ Diogo Jota has been involved in four goals in his last three Premier League appearances (3 goals, 1 assist), more than he had in his first 22 games this season (3 goals, 0 assists)

Odds correct as of 1600 BST on 18/06/20

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