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Premier League tips: Betting previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's action including Chelsea, Tottenham, Leicester and Arsenal
Mark your card for Saturday's Premier League games with Paul Higham providing their best bets and score predictions for each clash.
Recommended bets
2pts Leicester to beat Arsenal at 21/20
1pt Tottenham to draw with Sheffield United at 33/10
1pt Chelsea to win & both teams to score at 7/4
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Chelsea v Crystal Palace
- 1230 BST kick-off on BT Sport
Chelsea's hot streak of five straight wins is on the line when away-day specialists Palace visit the Bridge in the early kick-off - only Liverpool, Man City and Chelsea themselves have won more games on the road that Roy Hodgson's men in the last 18 months.
Frank Lampard can do no wrong recently, Tammy Abraham and Mason Mount have played their way into the England squad, while Christian Pulisic has made an immediate impact when finally being given his chance - scoring four goals in two games (which is why he's just 6/4 to bag again).
Chelsea, though, also set-up better as an away side with their speed on the break, but they'll have little space against Palace who will defend deep and trust their own speedy attackers to cause trouble at the other end.
8/1 on the Eagles causing another upset will tempt some, but the Blues should be too good for them eventually even though the visitors should be able to find the back of the net against the worst defence in the top half of the Premier League. Of Chelsea's seven Premier League wins, they have conceded in five and that looks the most likely outcome again.
Prediction: Chelsea 3-1 Crystal Palace (Sky Bet odds: 10/1 )
Best bet: Chelsea to win & both teams to score at 7/4
Key stats
- Chelsea have won six of their last eight home league games against Crystal Palace, losing the other two in August 2015 and April 2017.
- Since the start of last season, only Liverpool (18), Manchester City (18) and Chelsea (14) have won more Premier League away games than Crystal Palace (11).
- Crystal Palace have won two of their last four away London derbies in the Premier League (D1 L1), as many as they had in their previous 15 such matches (W2 D3 L10). This will be their 100th London derby in the Premier League – only Fulham have a lower points-per-game ratio in such games (0.84) than the Eagles (0.93).
- Chelsea are looking to win six consecutive Premier League games for the first time since May 2017 under Antonio Conte, in their last title winning season.
- Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic has scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances – only three Americans have scored in three in a row; Clint Dempsey (three times – 2007, 2009 and 2012), Joe Max-Moore (2000) and Roy Wegerle (1993).
Burnley v West Ham
The battle of the clarets sees two inconsistent teams clash at Turf Moor, with just one win between them in their last ten combined games when it had started so much more promisingly for both sides.
The Hammers have won just once away from home in the league, while Burnley have won three and lost two on their home patch - they don't do draws and it seems unlikely there'll be one here as both desperately need a win to kick-start things.
Sean Dyche usually gets a response out of his side when the pressure's on though, while Manuel Pellegrini's authority with his players is certainly in question - which is nothing knew for a West Ham manager. A fiery atmosphere at a tough away ground is not exactly what they'll relish. Look no further than a home win.
Prediction: Burnley 2-0 West Ham (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)
Best bet: Burnley to beat West Ham, at 5/4
Key stats
- Burnley have won two of their last three Premier League games against West Ham (L1), having won just one of their first seven against them in the competition (W1 D1 L5).
- West Ham’s 0-2 loss away at Burnley last season was the only one of the five Premier League meetings between the sides at Turf Moor that hasn’t seen both teams score.
- Burnley have lost each of their last three Premier League games, conceding nine goals in the process. They lost 2-4 against Chelsea in their last home match, conceding more goals in that game than they had in their previous four combined at Turf Moor (3).
- After a run that saw them lose just one of 11 Premier League matches (W6 D4 L1), West Ham have lost three of their last four in the competition (D1).
- Burnley have scored a league-high ratio 29% of their Premier League goals from outside the box so far this season (4/14), with their two goals in their last home game coming from distance.
Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth
You'd have got a decent price on these two both winning last weekend, but Bournemouth defeated Man Utd and Newcastle battered West Ham in London to make things seem a lot more rosy for these two heading into the game.
The Cherries have lost just one of seven in the league, albeit with four draws throw in there as they continue to be an up-and-down side, but not to the extent of the rollercoaster that is Newcastle - although there are sure signs that Steve Bruce is just flattening them out with recent performances all being pretty good.
The Magpies also love a draw at home, and with no game at St James' park having over 2.5 goals this season, this looks like a low-scoring game, and possibly another stalemate to add to the tally.
Prediction: Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)
Best bet: Newcastle to draw with Bournemouth at 23/10
Key stats
- Newcastle’s five home league games this season have seen just six goals scored (F3 A3), with no side netting more than once in a single match. In contrast, there have been 20 goals scored in the Magpies’ six away games (F6 A14).
- Bournemouth have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three Premier League games. They’ve never gone four games without conceding in the competition, last doing so in league competition back in March 2014.
- Newcastle are looking to secure back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since April – they scored more goals in their 3-2 win against West Ham last time out than they had in their previous five Premier League games combined (2).
- After a run that saw them saw score 17 goals across six away games in the Premier League, Bournemouth have failed to score in their last two on the road.
Southampton v Everton
When even Southampton boss Ralph Hasenhuttl is calling it a six-pointer you know it truly is, as a struggling and out-of-form Saints side host a struggling and out-of-form Everton embarking on a season-defining run of fixtures, firstly this and fellow strugglers Norwich before eye-popping games against Leicester, Liverpool, Chelsea, Man Utd and Arsenal.
Marco Silva simply has to get positive results from the next two as that horror run could yield few points and could lead to them being left in a very precarious position come Christmas.
Everton fans travel in hope rather than expectation these days, but if there's one game they could wish for it's a trip to the worst home record in the division. Saints have just one point at St Mary's this season, while the Toffeess have just one on the road as well - something's got to give!
Saints at least responded to their 9-0 hammering with two creditable performances against Man City last week, while Everton never really threatened Spurs until after Andre Gomes' unfortunate injury spurred them and the home crowd on. The sad fact though is that neither side looks any good at the moment, and while the draw is possible, it's rare to see a home side at such a big price against an awful away team. Saints showed enough against City to suggest they can get a huge win.
Prediction: Southampton 2-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Best bet: Southampton to beat Everton at 2/1
Key stats
- Southampton have won 11 Premier League home games against Everton – only against Newcastle (12) have they won more at the Dell/St Mary’s in the competition.
- Everton have lost five of their last six Premier League away games against Southampton, winning the other 3-0 in August 2015.
- 11 of Southampton’s 12 Premier League wins against Everton have come in home games (91.7%). Of all teams to have beaten an opponent at least 10 times in the competition, only Newcastle against Southampton (12/13) have won a higher percentage at home (92.3%).
- There has been a 90th minute goal in each of Everton’s last three Premier League games (F2 A1), with two of those affecting the result. In total, Everton’s games have seen four goals after 90+ minutes this season (F2 A2), no other sides have seen more.
- Southampton’s last five Premier League goals have been scored by either James Ward-Prowse (2) or Danny Ings (3).
Tottenham v Sheffield United
Another midweek game against Red Star Belgrade and another emphatic win to hopefully boost the sagging confidence at Spurs, who have just one league win in six after last week's controversial draw at Goodison - and they certainly won't have an easy time of things against Chris Wilder's surprisingly good Blades.
United have lost just three times in the Premier League and are unbeaten on the road so far - yes they've drawn four out of five with just the one win but that determination and refusal to lose has carried them all the way into sixth in the table, and deservedly so.
Success has been built on defence as, while all the pre-season talk about Wilder's side was about overlapping centre backs bombing forward, they've carried out their primary objective of not conceding goals brilliantly - with just eight conceded so far they're matching Leicester as the league's best defence.
Goals may be hard to come by - on the face of it you'd expect both teams to score, but Spurs have let in just four goals at home this term, while United have conceded just four on the road, and the first goal is often a crucial one. Tottenham are big odds-on fancies, but a team that's done so well away from home with such spirit can't be ruled out - the Blades can pinch a point here.
Prediction: Tottenahm 1-1 Sheffield United (Sky Bet odds: 3/1)
Best bet: Tottenham to draw with Sheffield United at 33/10
Key stats
- The home side has always scored at least twice and has never lost in the six previous Premier League meetings between Tottenham and Sheffield United (W4 D2).
- Tottenham are winless in four Premier League games (D2 L2), having last had a longer run earlier this year (5 games in February/March). In 2017 and 2018 combined, the Lilywhites only had one winless run of 4+ Premier League games (November/December 2017).
- Sheffield United have lost just one away league game in 2019 (W6 D9 L1) – no team in the top-four tiers of English football have lost fewer (also Liverpool on one).
- Sheffield United have conceded just eight goals in their 11 Premier League games so far – no team has conceded fewer. The last newly-promoted team to concede fewer after 11 games were Wigan Athletic in 2005-06 (5).
- Tottenham have conceded more than once in just one of their 15 home Premier League games in 2019 (2-2 vs Everton in May).
Leicester City v Arsenal
- 1730 BST kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League
The concern is real now at Arsenal, and although they have a friendly little run of fixtures after this, it will get worse before it gets better as this game on the face of it looks exactly what Unai Emery's side doesn't need right now.
Leicester have been the total package so far, as the second-top scorers with the joint-best defence in the division, they're solid and hard-working at the back but have quality through midfield and a clinical ruthlessness up front - plus the Premier League's top scorer in Jamie Vardy.
Getting Vardy back to his best has been a Brendan Rodgers masterstroke, and the way Arsenal have been defending of late the Foxes will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing a side under huge pressure in Emery's 50th Premier League game in charge.
Arsenal still have plenty of quality and an ability to score at any time, but they haven't looked anywhere near good enough to challenge this flying Leicester side, who are as short priced as they've been for a couple of years against a top half team at home, but if you've seen these teams play recently the home win is the only outcome you'd be comfortable backing.
Prediction: Leicester 2-0 Arsenal (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)
Best bet: Leicester to beat Arsenal at 21/20
Key stats
- Leicester City have won their last two Premier League home games against Arsenal – they’ve never beaten the Gunners in three consecutive home top-flight matches.
- Leicester have won eight of their last 11 home Premier League games (W8 D2 L1), including their last four in a row; the Foxes have only won five in a row once previously, doing so in May 2017 under Craig Shakespeare.
- Leicester have won seven of their last nine Premier League games (L2), netting at least twice in each victory. When failing to score more than once, Leicester are winless in their last 13 Premier League matches since beating Everton 1-0 in January (D4 L9).
- Since beating Man City at the Etihad in January 2015, Arsenal have failed to win any of their 11 away Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top-three of the division (W0 D3 L8).
- Arsenal have kept just two clean sheets in their last 24 away league games, with both of those games finishing as 1-0 victories (vs Watford and Newcastle).
Odds correct as of 1600 GMT on 07/11/19
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