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Sporting Life's Premier League preview package and free tips

Premier League tips: Betting previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's action including Chelsea, Manchester City, United and Liverpool

By George Pitts

Football

Sat September 14, 2019 · 5y ago

After a 10/1, 3/1 and 6/5 winner on England in the international break, George Pitts previews Saturday's Premier League action.

Recommended bets

1pt Jamaal Lascelles to have 1+ total shots in Liverpool v Newcastle at 21/10

1pt Caglar Soyuncu to be booked in Man United v Leicester at 3/1

0.5pts Tottenham to win from behind against Crystal Palace at 17/2

1pt Diogo Jota to score anytime for Wolves against Chelsea at 3/1

0.5pts 4+ Norwich corners v Man City at 11/4

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

SPORTING LIFE PRICE BOOST - BTTS in Man United v Leicester, Sheff United v Southampton, Tottenham v Crystal Palace and Wolves v Chelsea - enhanced to 10/1, exclusively for our readers - available through this link

Liverpool v Newcastle

1230 kick-off on BT Sport

Roberto Firmino: Liverpool forward scores at Burnley - becoming the first Brazilian to net 50 Premier League goals

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 23 Premier League home games against Newcastle (W19 D4) and Jurgen Klopp will be keen to keep setting the pace at the top with their 100 per cent start to the campaign.

The Reds have a strong run going at Anfield and are this season looking efficient, with the ability to win ugly as well as in style.

They can make it 14 Premier League wins in a row. In doing so, they would become the fourth team to win 14 consecutive English top-flight matches, after Arsenal (14, August 2002), Man City (15 in August 2019 and 18 in December 2017).

There is little value in the win markets for Liverpool - even a home win-to-nil is odds-on - but they are yet to keep a clean sheet this term and have shown defensive frailties at the back. Even if they keep Newcastle out, the visitors should at least have their share of chances.

Set pieces could be key and, with this in mind, their defenders could be play an important part due to their aerial ability and are worth looking at in the shots market.

Magpies captain Jamaal Lascelles has had an attempt in their last two away games and it is surprising to see him as high as 6/1 to register an effort on goal. That is appealing, but 21/10 for 1+ shots in general is preferred - covering us for blocked efforts and those off target.

Prediction: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)

Best bet: Jamaal Lascelles to have 1+ total shots at 21/10

Key stat

Tottenham have won their last eight Premier League games against Crystal Palace, conceding just one goal in that run. Only against Birmingham (10 in September 1964) and Blackpool (9 in January 1964) have they had longer winning runs in their top-flight history.

Brighton v Burnley

Brighton celebrate Neal Maupay's goal against Watford

It will come as no surprise that this one is not on TV.

Brighton started promisingly under Graham Potter before losing back-to-back games, while Burnley are without a win in their last four in all competitions.

If you fancy the Clarets to get the result, an overpriced scorer in their ranks is Ashley Barnes at 12/5 anytime. The forward was unfortunate to miss out on a place in the England squad after netting four goals in his opening three games and those odds look generous if he is to continue in that way.

Burnley will make it tough, but Albion have played some good stuff under Potter and they can make the home advantage count, with a solid five-man defence and plenty of goalscoring options going forward.

Backing them to score 2+ goals gives you good odds of 6/5, but we will sit this one out with better options elsewhere.

Super 6 prediction: Brighton 2-1 Burnley (Sky Bet odds: Price Boosted to 10/1)

Best bet: Brighton to score 2+ goals at 6/5

Key stat

Brighton’s Leandro Trossard and Neal Maupay have combined to create six chances for one another in the Premier League this season – the only duo to combine for more are Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne and Sergio Agüero (seven).

Manchester United v Leicester City

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer: Manchester United boss watches on at Old Trafford

It probably seemed like a long international break for Man United fans, as they wait to bounce back from a three-match winless run.

They face a tough opponent in Leicester, rivals for a top-six finish, and it would be no surprise to see them drop points again.

Despite the Foxes' unbeaten start to the season, the bookies still underrate them here with a general price of at least 3/1 to win and 2/1 on draw no bet.

Given United's unpredictability and the sub plots with Harry Maguire facing his old team, the preference is to avoid the result, instead focusing on Maguire's replacement.

Caglar Soyuncu had big shoes to fill at the King Power and he has so far proved to be up to the task (see his stats and our feature on him here).

The 23-year-old Turkish defender was bought last summer from Freiburg and he had to be patient before getting his chance. All eyes will be on Maguire, but it could be Soyuncu who steals the show with an impressive defensive performance.

He is yet to pick up a yellow card in the Premier League, but got one in the League Cup at Newcastle and also for Turkey in their recent win over Andorra. As classy as he is, he has shown a tendency to make rash decisions and he was lucky not to go in the book against Bournemouth.

The pace of the Cherries' attack did put him to test at times and against the likes of Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial he may well leave a trailing leg or commit a cynical foul so, at 3/1, it's worth taking.

Super 6 prediction: Man United 1-1 Leicester (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)

Best bet: Caglar Soyuncu to be booked at 3/1

Key stat

Manchester United have lost three of their last five Premier League games at Old Trafford (W1 D1), as many as they had lost in their previous 52 at Old Trafford (W32 D17 L3).

Caglar Soyuncu v Harry Maguire: Comparing the defenders' stats so far in the Premier League

Harry who? Meet Leicester's new star

Leicester are getting on with life after Harry Maguire, thanks to the qualities of Caglar Soyuncu. We take a look at his impressive start.

Caglar Soyuncu: Turkish defender has helped ease the loss of Harry Maguire at Leicester

Pundits: Man Utd or Leicester?

The Soccer Saturday pundits give their thoughts on Harry Maguire's move and Man Utd v Leicester

The Soccer Saturday football experts have their say on Harry Maguire's move and whether Man Utd or Leicester will finish higher this season.

Sheffield United v Southampton

Sheffield United celebrate John Lundstram's goal against Crystal Palace at Bramall Lane

Two well-organised sides with astute managers meet at Bramall Lane.

Sheffield United battled back from 2-0 down to draw with Chelsea at Stamford Bridge and Southampton came from behind to draw with Man United before the international break.

It is a tough one to call the result - home form will be vital for the Blades' survival hopes this term and they could just edge this.

But if you fancy Southampton, Che Adams is worth looking at. Can he finally get his first Premier League goal?

After a promising pre-season, the summer signing has since had seven shots in the league without hitting the target - only James Maddison (13) has had more. He may not be testing the opposition goalkeeper to date, but he is remaining persistent and you would expect it to come sooner rather than later.

A nice price without relying on the result is BTTS in the second half of this clash, as they both show tendencies to step up their performance after the interval.

Neither United or Southampton have scored in the first half of games so far – the Blades have attempted 21 shots and the Saints have had 19 without success in the first 45 minutes.

At a best price of 11/4, you can enjoy this game without worrying about the outcome, instead hoping for goals.

Super 6 prediction: Sheff United v Southampton (Sky Bet odds: Price Boosted to 11/1)

Best bet: BTTS in the second half at 11/4

Key stat

Southampton have won just one of their last five away league games against Sheffield United (2-1 in September 2007 in the Championship), failing to score in the four they didn’t win (D2 L2).

Tottenham v Crystal Palace

Tottenham celebrate Christian Eriksen's (right) goal in the north London derby at Arsenal

Palace are fancied by many for relegation this term (myself included), but they have made a good start, beating Aston Villa before the international break to move up to fourth.

Of course, their promising position should (barring any Leicester-like miracles) end soon but the Eagles have a good record against the bigger sides and they will be hoping to continue a miserable start to the campaign for Mauricio Pochettino.

Palace’s last five Premier League away games against ‘big six’ sides have seen them pick up wins against Man City, Arsenal and Manchester United (L2), while they were also the last side to win away at Anfield.

Can they do it here? Well, Spurs are not exactly a team in form at the minute and they can at least have an early wobble by conceding first.

The North Londoners have trailed for 127 minutes in home Premier League games this season – 22 minutes more than any other side - and Roy Hodgson's men can rattle them by taking an early lead.

It would not surprise you with the way things are going and the 17/2 price makes it worth a small play, providing Palace can find their shooting boots to start with.

Super 6 prediction: Spurs 3-1 Crystal Palace (Sky Bet odds: Price Boosted to 12/1)

Best bet: Tottenham to win from behind at 17/2

Key stat

Tottenham have won their last eight Premier League games against Crystal Palace, conceding just one goal in that run. Only against Birmingham (10 in September 1964) and Blackpool (9 in January 1964) have they had longer winning runs in their top-flight history.

Wolves v Chelsea

Diogo Jota scores for Wolves in Europa League qualifying

With Champions League action next week, all four of our sides are playing on Saturday and, otherwise you would have expected Wolves and Chelsea to be a Super Sunday game.

Frank Lampard has just one win so far as Chelsea boss, while qualifying for the Europa League has arguably affected Wolves' start to the season, with Thursday-Sunday football contributing to their winless start (three draws and a defeat).

After the international break, they at least have a fresh start. Nuno Espirito Santo's side impressively beat the Blues 2-1 in this fixture last year and are well capable of a repeat result.

Both Raul Jimenez and Diogo Jota scored in that Molineux result and it is worth looking at the latter in the scoring markets.

The Portuguese forward scored 10 goals in all competitions last season and already has three, but only in the Europa League. After starting on the bench v Everton, he could return to the starting XI and can combine well with Jimenez to get on the score sheet.

He has so far averaged 1.5 shots per game in the Premier League and Chelsea's defence has looked unconvincing, as they showed by throwing away a two-goal lead at home to Sheff United. At 3/1, Jota is worth backing on home turf.

Super 6 prediction: Wolves 2-1 Chelsea (Sky Bet odds: Price Boosted to 12/1)

Best bet: Diogo Jota to score anytime at 3/1

Key stat

All three of Chelsea’s away Premier League wins in 2019 have been against newly-promoted teams – in eight matches against teams who aren’t newly-promoted, they’ve won none, drawn two and lost six of eight games, scoring only once and conceding 21 times.

Norwich v Manchester City

1730 kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League

Raheem Sterling scores his second goal against West Ham

Raheem Sterling has been in red-hot form for club and country this term

Liverpool, Chelsea and Man City in your first five games back in the Premier League is a brutal start for Norwich. No wonder they have won just once.

They gave it a good go against Liverpool at Anfield, attacked Chelsea at Carrow Road (scoring two and still coming away pointless) and you can expect Daniel Farke's side to play without fear again for the visit of the champions.

How else would they do it? If they sit back against Pep Guardiola's classy City side then a goal would be a case of when, rather than if.

With Aymeric Laporte out, City will be hoping John Stones is fit or else Fernandinho will have to slot in at centre-back.

There is little value in backing City goals, but considering the hosts' approach you can at least expect chances and for the visitors to be tested at the back.

Three or more corners for the home side is available at 11/10, but the 11/4 price for 4+ is much more appealing.

They have had eight corners in total in their two home Premier League matches. Four is not a tough ask and worthy of a small stake.

Prediction: Norwich 1-4 Man City (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)

Best bet: 4+ Norwich corners at 11/4

Key stat

Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 25 Premier League games against promoted sides (W20 D5), since losing 0-1 at Burnley in March 2015 under Manuel Pellegrini.