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Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs
Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.
Recommended bets
1pt David Brooks to score anytime for Bournemouth at 16/5
1pt Leicester to score in both halves at 13/8
1pt Spurs to win to nil at 5/2
1pt Newcastle & Everton both to score at evens
For advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Fixtures
- Crystal Palace v Brighton (1230 KO) - Betting preview
- Cardiff City v West Ham United
- Huddersfield Town v AFC Bournemouth
- Leicester City v Fulham
- Newcastle United v Everton
- Southampton v Tottenham Hotspur
- Manchester City v Watford (1730 KO) - Betting preview
Cardiff City v West Ham
West Ham will have to be on top form if they are to return to east London with at least a point from relegation-threatened Cardiff.
The Welsh outfit are two points from safety and five points adrift of Burnley, so Neil Warnock will know the importance of this fixture to stop them falling further behind. The Bluebirds have collected 17 of their 25 points on home soil and they have plenty of reasons to be confident of beating the Hammers.
It is easy to forget that Manuel Pellegrini's men are now flying high in the table (ninth) and aiming for seventh. Just imagine what they would have been like with a positive start to the season under their belts.
They have not won in their last five away outings and have often failed to beat the league's lesser clubs - when they are favourites - so there is every chance Cardiff can pull off a winning performance, even without the influential Sol Bamba.
There was a temptation to back the hosts to score two or more goals at 2/1, but Cardiff in a draw no bet at a best price of 8/5 is a good option with the back-up of your money back if the points are shared.
An impressive home win over Bournemouth gave them a kickstart at the start of last month and they can use the Hammers fixture as a platform to do the same going into the final eight games of the campaign.
Super 6 prediction: Cardiff 2-0 West Ham (Sky Bet odds: 16/1)
Best bet: Cardiff in a draw no bet at 8/5
Opta facts
- Cardiff have lost all three of their Premier League meetings with West Ham by a two-goal margin, losing the reverse fixture 1-3 in December.
- West Ham have won their last seven meetings with Cardiff in all competitions, scoring at least twice each time and conceding just three goals. They last had a longer winning run against an opponent between 1989-2000 vs Watford (9 games).
- Cardiff have lost their last three Premier League games by an aggregate score of 1-10, with two home defeats included in that run (1-5 vs Watford, 0-3 vs Everton).
- West Ham have only won one of their last eight Premier League away games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone (D4 L3), beating Fulham 2-0 in December.
- West Ham have won two of their last three Premier League games (L1), having won just one of their previous seven beforehand (D3 L3).
- Away from home, West Ham have lost four of their last five in the Premier League (D1), failing to score in each defeat.
- Cardiff have scored just seven first-half goals in Premier League games this season, a league-low. They’ve scored a league-high ratio 72% of their goals after half-time in the competition this season (18/25).
- West Ham’s Marko Arnautovic has been involved in 10 goals in his last 11 Premier League appearances against newly-promoted sides (5 goals, 5 assists).
- West Ham boss Manuel Pellegrini’s first ever Premier League defeat was away at Cardiff City in August 2013 with Manchester City – he’s won his two against the Bluebirds since that defeat.
- No player has scored more Premier League goals for Cardiff this season than Callum Paterson (4), though the Scot has failed to score in his last 12 appearances in the competition.
Huddersfield v Bournemouth
Another side running out of time to retain their top-flight status, Huddersfield will look to make it back-to-back wins on home soil as they welcome Bournemouth.
They ground out a shock 1-0 win against Wolves at the end of February before being beaten away at Brighton by the same scoreline.
While backing a low-scoring Bournemouth victory is a temptation, the preference is to avoid the match result due to the away side's inconsistency this term.
The more appealing price is on David Brooks to score anytime. The exciting Welsh winger recently returned from a month on the sidelines, to feature in the narrow defeat to Man City, and can celebrate the new long-term deal which he signed this week by finding the back of the net against the Terriers.
The 21-year-old, who arrived from Sheffield United for £10m in the summer, has been rewarded for his impressive start to life on the south coast after scoring six goals in 26 appearances.
He scored against Chelsea in Bournemouth's shock January win and averages nearly two shots per game in the Premier League this term. While the likes of Josh King, Callum Wilson and Ryan Fraser pose obvious threats, Brooks is a top performer in this side and is worth a small play anytime at over 3/1.
Jan Siewart has improved his defence but they are certainly not invincible and Brooks can cause damage along the right-hand side along with Nathaniel Clyne to light up this clash.
Super 6 prediction: Huddersfield 0-2 Bournemouth (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)
Best bet: David Brooks to score anytime for Bournemouth at Huddersfield at 16/5
Opta facts
- The last three league meetings between Huddersfield and Bournemouth at the John Smith’s Stadium have seen a total of 15 goals scored, with the Terriers winning 5-1 in 2013, 4-1 in 2018 and losing 0-4 in 2014.
- Bournemouth have found the net at least once in each of their last 13 meetings with Huddersfield in all competitions (W6 D5 L2).
- All three Premier League meetings between Huddersfield and Bournemouth have been won by the home side.
- Huddersfield are looking to win consecutive Premier League home games for the first time since November 2017, following their late winner against Wolves in their last home match.
- Huddersfield haven’t scored more than once in any of their last 20 home league matches, since beating Bournemouth 4-1 in February 2018. Only Sunderland (28 games between December 2002 and May 2006) have had a longer run of failing to score more than once in Premier League home games.
- Only two teams in top-flight history have scored fewer goals after 29 games than the 15 Huddersfield have this season – Leicester City (13 in 1977-78) and Derby County (14 in 2007-08).
- Bournemouth have lost their last nine away league games, conceding at least twice each time. In total they’ve shipped 28 goals in those games and scored just four in return.
- Huddersfield are the lowest home scorers in the Premier League this season (7), while only Fulham (37) have conceded more on the road than Bournemouth (35).
- Bournemouth boss Eddie Howe has lost three of his last four away league matches against Huddersfield (W1), losing against three different managers (Simon Grayson, Mark Robins and David Wagner).
- Callum Wilson has scored six goals in five league appearances against Huddersfield Town for Bournemouth, including four in three Premier League games.
Leicester v Fulham
The old 'new manager bounce' term did not come to the fore for either of these sides last weekend and they will be hoping a week on the training ground will have best prepared them here.
Brendan Rodgers faced former club Watford in his first Leicester game, with a last-minute Andre Gray goal denying them a draw, while Scott Parker also faced a former club as Fulham lost to local rivals Chelsea.
Both sides have great potential but are on very different trajectories and you would expect the Foxes to come out on top here. Finding value can be difficult, but the 13/8 on Leicester to score in both halves is particularly appealing.
Parker will have been keen to shore up their defence, but the Cottagers' away record has been the worst in the Premier League this term, collecting just two points from a possible 45 so far, and Rodgers' City side will be fired up and ready to go on his first home clash.
The Foxes have scored in both halves in four of their 10 wins this term and, even potentially without Jamie Vardy, they can burst out of the blocks and use their exciting and youthful attack to impress their new boss.
Super 6 prediction: Leicester 3-1 Fulham (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)
Best bet: Leicester to score in both halves at 13/8
Opta facts
- Leicester have won none of their five Premier League games against Fulham (D3 L2), scoring just one goal in those matches.
- Fulham have only faced Norwich (8) more often without defeat in the Premier League than they have Leicester (5).
- Leicester have won just one of their last eight Premier League games (D1 L6). Indeed, only Fulham (3) have picked up fewer points from their last eight Premier League matches than Leicester (4).
- Fulham have lost eight of their last nine Premier League matches (W1), shipping at least twice in each game. Only twice has a team conceded 2+ goals in 10 consecutive Premier League games – West Brom in 2010-11 and Wimbledon in 1999-00.
- Leicester are looking to win consecutive home league games within the same season for the first time since January 2018.
- The average position at the start of the day for the four opponents Fulham have beaten in the Premier League this season is 17th, the lowest in the division. The highest ranked side the Cottagers beat were Brighton, who were 13th at the time.
- Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers has won all six of his Premier League meetings with Fulham. Only Jose Mourinho vs Portsmouth and Roberto Mancini vs Wigan (both 7/7) have better 100% win rates against an opponent in the competition.
- Against Watford, Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers kept up his record of failing to win his opening league game at any of the clubs he’s managed in English football. In fact, at his previous four clubs, Swansea are the only side at which he managed to win his second league match in charge.
- Jamie Vardy is currently on 99 goals for Leicester in all competitions. He could become the seventh player to reach 100 for the Foxes, and the first since Gary Lineker.
- After netting in his first two away Premier League games for Fulham, Aleksandar Mitrovic has failed to find the net in his last 13 on the road. Each of his last six Premier League goals have come at Craven Cottage.
Newcastle v Everton
Newcastle have won four on the bounce at home in the Premier League and they have a winnable fixture against Everton to come next.
The Magpies are not out of the relegation fight yet but they go into the weekend with a six-point cushion over Cardiff in 18th and will be looking to keep thriving in front of the St James' Park crowd after their recent efforts.
They have improved their goalscoring record, finding the back of the net nine times in that run, and can at least get on the score sheet here with the attacking threat of Salomon Rondon, Ayoze Perez and impressive new signing Miguel Almiron able to unlock an unconvincing Toffees defence.
The pressure has crept up on Marco Silva at Everton in recent weeks but four points from their last two games, including the Merseyside derby, will have eased that slightly. Their recent 3-0 win at Cardiff shows their ability to find the back of the net including Gylfi Sigurdsson, who has credited manager Silva with unlocking his goalscoring potential after reaching 12 goals in all competitions already at this stage of the season.
With preference to again avoid the match result, both teams to score on Tyneside at a general price of evens looks a great option.
Super 6 prediction: Newcastle 1-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 9/2)
Best bet: Newcaste & Everton both to score at evens
Opta facts
- Newcastle have won just one of their last 12 Premier League meetings with Everton (D2 L9), winning 3-2 at St James’ Park in December 2014.
- Everton have won four of their last five away Premier League games against Newcastle (L1), including the last two in a row. They’ve never won three consecutively away against the Magpies in the top-flight.
- No Premier League fixture has seen more penalty goals than Newcastle vs Everton (18). Indeed, of the 52 fixtures in the competition to have seen at least 100 goals, this one has seen the highest percentage scored from the spot (14.2% - 18/127).
- Newcastle have won their last four Premier League home games, by an aggregate score of 9-1. They’ve not won more consecutively at St James’ Park since a run of five between April-August 2006.
- Everton have kept consecutive clean sheets in the Premier League (W1 D1). They last kept three in a row in the competition in January 2017.
- Everton have won two of their last three away league games (L1), as many as they had in their previous 12 (W2 D3 L7). They’ve not won consecutive league games on the road since September 2016.
- Newcastle boss Rafael Benitez has failed to win his last three meetings with Everton in the Premier League (D1 L2). He’d only failed to win four of his first 14 against the Toffees in the competition (W10 D2 L2).
- Everton’s Theo Walcott has been involved in more Premier League goals against Newcastle than he has against any other opponent in the competition (5 goals, 5 assists).
- Richarlison’s 10 Premier League goals this season have been worth 11 points to Everton – only Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s strikes have been more valuable for his team (14).
- January signing Miguel Almiron is creating three chances per 90 minutes on average for his teammates, more than any other Newcastle player.
Southampton v Tottenham
Southampton can be incredibly unpredictable under Ralph Hasenhuttl.
Granted, their position in 17th shows their inconsistency over the season but their results since the Austrian came in shows the differing performance levels the Saints are capable of producing.
They have beaten Arsenal, Huddersfield, Leicester, Everton and Fulham and ground out an entertaining draw at Manchester United and a goalless one at Chelsea, while the other extreme is losing at home to relegation rivals Cardiff.
They have got some great results against top teams and Tottenham's recent wobble will give the Saints plenty of encouragement.
Mauricio Pochettino's side are without a win in their last three Premier League games, including an away trip to Burnley, but the Argentinian has only lost one of nine matches against his old club since leaving in 2014.
Spurs, after their Champions League win in Dortmund to book their place in the quarter-finals, could be boosted by Dele Alli's return from injury. The price alone on them to win with over 1.5 total goals at 13/10 is appealing but the north Londoners to win to nil at 5/2 is the preferred option.
The Saints boast one of the league's worst scoring records on home turf in the Premier League with just 17 goals in 14 games at St Mary's, while Spurs are the strongest away sides with 33 points collected on the road.
Super 6 prediction: Southampton 0-2 Spurs (Sky Bet odds: 17/2)
Best bet: Spurs to win to nil at 5/2
Opta facts
- Since their return to the Premier League in 2012, Southampton are winless in their six home league games against Spurs (D2 L4). They’d won their previous five against them before that run.
- Tottenham have lost just one of their last 13 Premier League meetings with Southampton (W10 D2), scoring at least once in all 13 games.
- Southampton have won three of their seven Premier League home games under manager Ralph Hasenhüttl (D1 L3), as many as they had in their previous 24 combined at St Mary’s under Mauricio Pellegrino and Mark Hughes (W3 D11 L10).
- Tottenham have lost their last two away league games, the same number they’d lost in their previous 13 on the road (W11 D0 L2). They’ve only lost three in a row on the road under Mauricio Pochettino once before (November 2017).
- Southampton have lost more points from winning positions than any other side in the Premier League this season (20).
- Mauricio Pochettino has never lost away at former club Southampton in the Premier League (W2 D2) – only Harry Redknapp (five games against West Ham) has had a longer unbeaten away run against a specific side he’s formerly managed in the competition.
- Spurs striker Harry Kane has scored in each of his last four Premier League meetings with Southampton, netting six goals in total. He’s also scored in each of his last three against them at St Mary’s Stadium.
- Southampton’s James Ward-Prowse has netted five Premier League goals this season, more than he has in any previous campaign in the competition. Those five goals have come in his last eight games – his previous five came over a period of 52 games.
- Pierre-Emile Højbjerg has made 13.6% of Southampton's successful passes in the Premier League this season (1135/8365) - no midfielder has made a higher proportion for their side in 2018-19.
- Just 9.2% of Spurs striker Harry Kane’s Premier League touches this season have been shots – his lowest ratio in a single season since his first full campaign with Spurs in 2014-15 (7.5%), and down from 14.6% last term.
Odds correct as of 1700 GMT on 07/03/19
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