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Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs
Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.
Recommended bets
1pt Brighton to score v Liverpool at evens
1pt Fulham to win and over 1.5 total goals at 17/5
1pt Callum Paterson to score anytime at 13/5
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
3pm fixtures
- Brighton and Hove Albion v Liverpool
- Burnley v Fulham
- Cardiff City v Huddersfield Town
- Crystal Palace v Watford
- Leicester City v Southampton
Brighton v Liverpool
Brighton are now unbeaten in four matches in all competitions but a tough match against leaders Liverpool beckons and avoiding defeat will be an incredibly tough task for the Seagulls.
Jurgen Klopp will be looking for a reaction after back-to-back defeats for his side - first in the Premier League against Man City and then in the FA Cup at Wolves.
The Etihad clash was most disappointing as their unbeaten start to the Premier League came to an end, but they still maintain a four-point lead at the top. Five of Brighton's six defeats at the Amex since returning to the top flight have come against top six sides and Liverpool will be confident of doing the double against the Seagulls.
With odds stacked heavily in their favour, there is still value to be had in smaller markets. Roberto Firmino is in a rich vein of form after scoring four in his last two league appearances and an 11/8 price for him to score anytime looks good here, but the preferred option is to back the hosts to get on the score sheet.
Brighton are strong at the Amex this season, have scored against Man United (and won), Arsenal and Chelsea and Liverpool have a bit of a defensive crisis. With Fabinho having to slot in at the back in place of the injured Dejan Lovren and Joe Gomez, so the Seagulls could look to explore this weakness.
Super 6 prediction: Brighton 1-3 Liverpool (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Best bet: Brighton to score v Liverpool at evens
Opta facts and statistics
- Liverpool have never lost away at Brighton in the top-flight (P5 W2 D3 L0), with the five previous meetings featuring 25 goals (16 for Liverpool, 9 for Brighton).
- Five of Brighton’s six Premier League home defeats have come against ‘big six’ sides (in the last two seasons); this will be their first ever Premier League home match against a side starting the day top.
- Liverpool’s 21 game unbeaten run and nine game winning run in the Premier League came to an end against Man City last time out. They’ve not lost consecutive games in the competition since September 2015 under Brendan Rodgers.
- Only one manager in Premier League history has a worse 100% defeat percentage against Liverpool than Brighton boss Chris Hughton’s record of six defeats in six matches – Gary Megson, who lost nine out of nine games against the Reds.
- Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino has scored four goals in his last two Premier League appearances – as many as he had in his first 19 in the competition this season.
Burnley v Fulham
One of the division's worst home sides comes up against its worst away side and this one is certainly not expected to be first up in the Match of the Day running order.
The Clarets are in great form and confidence is on the up after winning three in a row in all competitions, although it took a late penalty last time out in the FA Cup against Sky Bet League One side Barnsley.
Sean Dyche's side have improved but this is by far the best run they have had all season and it is difficult to see it stretching much further. This is a great chance for Fulham to get a first league away win of the season.
We have been waiting a long time for the Cottagers to improve under Claudio Ranieri and they showed glimpses of that with a three-match unbeaten run over the festive period. Turf Moor is no longer a fortress and at odds above 2/1, Fulham look great value for the win - providing they do not suffer a hangover from their FA Cup defeat to Oldham.
Adding 1.5 total goals into the equation boosts it up to 17/5 - a great price for a side whose three wins this season have been against sides starting the day in the bottom four. The likes of Aleksandar Mitrovic and Andre Schurrle can provide the quality to help Fulham return to London with all three points.
Super 6 prediction: Burnley 1-2 Fulham (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)
Best bet: Fulham to win and over 1.5 total goals at 17/5
Opta facts and statistics
- Burnley have won their last two Premier League games, picking up more points (6) than they had in their previous 12 in the competition (5 – W1 D2 L9).
- Fulham are the only Premier League side yet to win away from home this season (W0 D2 L9), conceding more goals than any other side on the road (28).
- All three of Fulham’s Premier League wins this season have been against sides starting the day in the bottom four (17th or lower) – Burnley are 16th coming into this game.
- André Schürrle had 11 shots for Fulham (scoring once) against Burnley in this season’s reverse league fixture, the most shots by a player in a single Premier League game during 2018-19.
- Burnley’s Chris Wood has scored in his last two Premier League games, after scoring in just one of his first 19 this season.
Cardiff v Huddersfield
David Wagner has labelled this a 'must-win game' for the Terriers, but it is difficult to see them coming away from Wales with all three points.
Both of these sides have been disappointing this season, but Cardiff have shown a little more quality and Town will rue not having a clinical striker in their ranks.
They have scored just 13 goals all season in the Premier League and look destined for the drop. Survival now would probably better that of Leicester's under Nigel Pearson in 2014/15.
With their shortage in front of goal in mind, a Cardiff win-to-nil is available at a best price of just under 3/1.
Given 68% of Cardiff's goals have come in the second half, backing the most goals to come after the interval at 6/5 is a good option as is Cardiff to score 2+ goals at 8/5.
The Bluebirds have improved since these sides played out a goalless draw in the reverse fixture in August and Neil Warnock's side are much better in front of their home fans.
Backing the hosts to score twice was initially the best bet before seeing the price available on Scottish forward Callum Paterson to score anytime. The 24-year-old is four games without a goal but the Bluebirds man averages nearly two shots per game and can return to scoring form against a relegation rival.
He is likely to lead the line and is Cardiff's danger man in opposition boxes, so nearly 3/1 looks a tad overpriced and too good to turn down.
Super 6 prediction: Cardiff 2-0 Huddersfield (Sky Bet odds: 17/2)
Best bet: Callum Paterson to score anytime at 13/5
Opta facts and statistics
- Cardiff City are unbeaten in their last 10 matches against Huddersfield Town in all competitions (W7 D3).
- Since moving to the Cardiff City Stadium in 2009-10, Cardiff have only won more home matches against Bristol City (7) than they have against Huddersfield (5) in all competitions.
- Cardiff have scored 68% of their Premier League goals in the second half of games this season (13/19). Their haul of 13 goals after half-time is as many as Huddersfield have scored in total this term.
- Huddersfield have lost their last eight Premier League games, their worst ever run in league football. The last team to lose more consecutively in the top-flight were Aston Villa (11 in a row between February and April 2016).
- Huddersfield’s top scorer in the Premier League this season is defender Zanka with three goals – the lowest top-scorer among all 20 clubs in the division.
Crystal Palace v Watford
A tough match to call, but one that could be entertaining at Selhurst Park and both teams to score is the most attractive option.
Available at nearly evens, this is an eye-catching price for a game that could play out well with the result so difficult to call.
Watford have scored at least two goals in their last four games in all competitions and have scored a goal in their last eight games.
They face a Palace side which has lost one of their last six in all competitions, including that shock away win at Man City last month.
With Wilfried Zaha (due a goal after a drought) and Andros Townsend in attack, the Eagles can also find the back of the net.
Super 6 prediction: Crystal Palace 1-1 Watford (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)
Best bet: Both teams to score at 10/11
Opta facts and statistics
- Crystal Palace have won five of their last seven home league matches against Watford (L2), winning against the Hornets at Selhurst Park in each of the last two seasons.
- Watford are looking to complete a league double over Crystal Palace for the first time since the 2001-02 campaign.
- Crystal Palace have failed to score in more home games than any other Premier League side this season (7). However, only Liverpool (7) and Chelsea (5) have kept more home clean sheets this term than the Eagles (4).
- Watford have won 13 points from their 10 away league games this season (W3 D4 L3), just one fewer than they won on the road in the whole of 2017-18 (W4 D2 L13).
- Only Newcastle’s Premier League games (44) have seen fewer goals this season than Crystal Palace’s (45 – F19 A26).
- Watford’s Troy Deeney has been involved in four goals in his last four Premier League games (3 goals, 1 assist), more than in his previous 23 in the competition (2 goals, 1 assist).
Leicester v Southampton
Leicester slipped up last time out in the Premier League at the King Power Stadium, losing 1-0 to Cardiff, and they will be hoping to bounce back from a shock FA Cup defeat at Newport.
As bad as that sounds, Claude Puel's side have had a great few weeks after beating Chelsea, Man City and Everton and they face his former side Southampton, unbeaten in their last three away matches and improving under Ralph Hasenhuttl.
The Foxes can take advantage of the Saints' injury woes though, with Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Danny Ings, Ryan Bertrand, Stuart Armstrong and Mayo Yoshida all missing for the visitors.
Without targeting the full-time result, backing Leicester to score two or more at evens is a good option, with James Maddison expected to return to the front three alongside Jamie Vardy.
A draw here would be not at all surprising though and that is why the result is being avoided.
Super 6 prediction: Leicester 2-1 Southampton (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)
Best bet: Leicester to score 2+ goals at evens
Opta facts and statistics
- Leicester City have lost just one of their 12 home Premier League matches against Southampton (W7 D4), a 0-4 defeat in December 2001.
- Leicester have won three of their last four Premier League games (L1), more than they had in their previous 10 in the competition (W2 D4 L4).
- Southampton have earned four points from their last two Premier League away games (W1 D1), as many as they had in their previous nine on the road in the competition (W1 D1 L7).
- Southampton have lost more points from winning positions than any other side in the Premier League this season (15), while no side has won more from behind so far than Leicester (12, level with Arsenal).
- Angus Gunn kept a clean sheet on his Premier League debut for Southampton last time out against Chelsea – no Saints keeper has ever kept a clean sheet in their first two appearances in the competition.
- Jamie Vardy has been involved in five of Leicester’s last eight Premier League goals (4 goals, 1 assist), with these goal involvements being worth seven points to the Foxes.
Odds correct as of 1430 GMT on 10/01/19