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Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs
Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.
Recommended bets
1pt Everton v Fulham to draw at 3/1
1pt Sergio Aguero & Bernardo Silva both to score at 5/2
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Arsenal v Watford
Unai Emery is slowly getting his message across at Arsenal it seems as they look to make it five in a row in the Premier League. It's the first time they've played Watford with them being behind their opponents in the league for 34 years but the signs are they'll be able to catch them at some point.
Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang have fired in seven goals in three games they've started together and their partnership could take Arsenal a long way this season, but continued defensive frailties could prove their undoing.
After backing both teams to score against Everton last week it was as disappointing as it was for Guinners fans to see Petr Cech have to lay a stormer to keep the Toffees out - and Watford have proved they can score this season so
Super 6 prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Watford (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)
Best bet: Arsenal win & both teams to score at 11/8
Arsenal v Watford Opta stats
- Arsenal have won eight of their 10 Premier League games against Watford, but those two defeats have come in the last three meetings in the competition.
- Arsenal’s last home Premier League defeat in a game kicking off at 3pm on a Saturday was on the opening day of the 2013-14 season (1-3 vs Aston Villa). Since then they’ve taken 56 of a possible 60 points in such matches (P20 W18 D2 L0).
- Watford have won only one of their last 14 away league games (D2 L11), though they’ve avoided defeat in both of their games on the road this season (W1 D1).
- Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette has scored in each of his last four home starts in the Premier League, netting five goals in total. The last player to score in five successive starts at the Emirates for Arsenal was Robin van Persie in the 2011-12 campaign.
- Since his debut in the competition, only Mohamed Salah (16) has scored more Premier League goals than Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (12, level with Harry Kane).
Everton v Fulham
Everton have a tremendous record against Fulham and could do with bagging just a second win of the season against a Cottagers side that are trying to get to grips with their task in the Premier League.
A second half response against Watford showed Fulham's resolve and that will give them confidence going into what is traditionally a barren hunting ground for them. In Aleksandar Mitrovic they look to have a quality goal scorer and that's just what a side needs to stay in the division.
Despite winning the last 21 of these fixtures in a row, Everton and Marco Silva are already under pressure and with Mitrovic a constant danger, the draw is the result that has most appeal - and with both defences being leaky at best there could be a few goals in it.
Super 6 prediction: Everton 2-2 Fulham (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)
Best bet: Draw at 3/1
Everton v Fulham Opta stats
- Everton have won seven and lost none of their last nine Premier League matches against Fulham (D2), since a 1-2 defeat at Craven Cottage in September 2009.
- Everton have won all 13 of their Premier League home games against Fulham by an aggregate score of 32-7. It is the best 100% win record against a team on home soil in the competition.
- Fulham have never won away from home against Everton in league competition (D4 L22), losing each of the last 21 in a row – a record in English top division football.
- Fulham haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 21 away Premier League games, the longest current run in the division (current clubs only).
- No player has scored more Premier League goals this season than Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic (5, level with Eden Hazard). Indeed, since the Serbian’s debut for Fulham he’s scored more goals than any other player in English league football (17).
Huddersfield v Tottenham
Are Spurs back? That win at Brighton was a huge boost for Mauricio Pochettino's ailing side and now they face an away day that should give them the perfect opportunity to add three more points.
To say scoring goals has been has been a problem for the Terriers is an understatement - averaging half a goal a game is a sure-fire way of getting relegated and five home games without finding the net is a truly dreadful run.
Spurs having one eye on Barcelona to come in midweek seems the only possible sticking point to what should be a regulation win and another ship steadier for Tottenham.
Super 6 prediction: Huddersfield 0-3 Tottenham (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)
Best bet: Spurs win to nil at 5/4
Huddersfield v Tottenham Opta stats
- Huddersfield have failed to score in their last five home Premier League games, the longest run since Southampton’s run of six ending in August 2017, and just three short of Man City’s record run of eight in the competition between January and May 2007.
- Tottenham have scored in 31 of their last 32 Premier League games, failing only at West Brom back in May (0-1).
- Huddersfield haven’t failed to win any of their first seven league games in a single campaign since 1997-98, when they ended up finishing 16th in the second tier.
- All three of Huddersfield’s Premier League goals this season have come from set piece situations, including the only two from throw-ins in the division this season.
- Tottenham’s Erik Lamela has scored two goals in three Premier League appearances this season, the same number he scored in 25 games in the competition last term.
Manchester City v Brighton
This is the type of fixture Pep Guardiola's side have gobbled up over the last couple of years and when you throw in it's a Brighton side with the worst away record in the league last season then you do fear a cricket score is coming.
Zero wins away from the south coast in 16 attempts is woeful form for Chris Hughton's side so it just appears a case of how many for City and who will get them, given the wealth of options available to them.
Huddersfield and Newcastle both managed a goal but Brighton will have to have the ball to stand a chance of finding the target, and they'll get precious little of that.
Super 6 prediction: Man City 4-0 Brighton (Sky Bet odds: 13/2)
Best bet: Sergio Aguero & Bernardo Silva both to score at 5/2
Manchester City v Brighton Opta stats
- Manchester City have won 58 of a possible 63 points from their last 21 Premier League home games (W19 D1 L1).
- Away from home, Brighton are winless in 16 Premier League games (D5 L11), scoring just seven goals in that run.
- Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 32 Premier League games kicking off at 3pm on a Saturday – only Chelsea (33 between February 2006 and February 2009) have ever had a longer unbeaten run in that kick-off slot.
- Since the start of last season, there have been 20 instances of a team scoring 5+ goals in a Premier League match – Manchester City have been responsible for eight of those (40%).
- Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero has been directly involved in 17 goals in his last 10 Premier League games at the Etihad (14 goals, 3 assists).
Newcastle v Leicester City
The situation is starting to look serious for Newcastle who are still aiming for a first win of the season and still looking to pose a consistent threat to the opposition's goal.
Leicester by contrast are free-scoring having found the net 11 times to Newcastle's four, but they've also let in plenty (10) while Rafa Benitez has opted to try and keep things tight which has resulted in a number of 2-1 defeats.
The Foxes have looked dangerous in almost every game and this looks a great chance for them to add a second away win of the season. There's been at least three goals with both teams scoring all four out of five Leicester games this season, with no draws, and that's the biggest hint we'll take on this one.
Super 6 prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Leicester (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Best bet: Leicester to win at 2/1
Newcastle v Leicester City Opta stats
- Newcastle United have lost their last two home games against Leicester City, conceding exactly three goals in each defeat. They last lost three in a row at home to the Foxes back in November 1965.
- Leicester have scored three goals on each of their last two Premier League visits to St James’ Park – the last side to score 3+ in three consecutive top-flight away games against Newcastle were Preston North End, between 1952 and 1955.
- Since the start of last season, no team has lost more home Premier League games than Newcastle (10, level with Huddersfield and Swansea).
- Since the start of last season, Leicester have both scored and conceded in a league-high 29 different Premier League games.
- Only Huddersfield (8) have conceded more first-half goals in the Premier League this season than Leicester (7). However, only Southampton and Wolves (1 each) have scored fewer in the opening 45 minutes than Newcastle (2).
Wolves v Southampton
Wolves have only lost once this season and have drawn against both Manchester clubs in what has been a great start to their campaign - but it's games like these that will prove how far they can go in their first season back in the big time.
They were a class above Burnley but could only score the one goal and they will look for a more convincing margin of victory against a Southampton side who clearly don't have as much quality within the squad.
At least Danny Ings returns from missing their one-sided defeat at Anfield last week and he will give them plenty of energy up front but, although they have enough to maybe take a point, if Wolves take their chances they should be able to wrap up all three.
Super 6 prediction: Wolves 2-0 Southampton (Sky Bet odds: 7/1)
Best bet: Wolves to win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 at 13/8
Wolves v Southampton Opta stats
- Southampton are winless in their last five matches in all competitions against Wolves, losing each of the last three (D2).
- Wolves are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games. They’ve not gone five without defeat in the top-flight since November 1981.
- Wolves are one of five Premier League sides still unbeaten at home so far this season (Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Bournemouth).
- Only the current top three sides have fired more shots on goal than Wolves so far in the Premier League this season (89).
- Southampton have scored six Premier League goals this season, but according to Opta’s xG model, based on the quality of their chances they should have scored nine. A difference of -3 between xG and actual goals is the biggest in the competition so far this season.
Odds correct as of 27/09/18