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Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Tuesday night's games
Mark your card for Tuesday night's games in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.
Recommended bets
1pt Ryan Babel to score anytime in Fulham v Brighton at 10/3
1pt Matt Doherty to score anytime in Wolves v West Ham at 8/1
2pts Newcastle to score over 0.5 goals in Newcastle v Manchester City at 11/10
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Fulham v Brighton
A managerial change hasn't had the immediate impact that Fulham would have hoped for as they find themselves seven points adrift of safety.
They weren't afraid to spend the cash in the summer bringing in a number of big money signings, alongside the addition of Ryan Babel this month.
The former Liverpool forward has been signed to add more goals to their attack, and despite failing to find the net on his debut against Tottenham, the value is there in backing him to strike on Tuesday.
Ranieri though was happy with the performance of his team in that game, and given their non-involvement in the FA Cup last weekend, they will have had extra time to rest and recover in comparison with Brighton.
Bruno may be the stronger of Brighton's two full-backs, lining up on the right side of defence, but the impact from the wide forwards will be key here as the visitors aim to keep Aleksandar Mitrovic quiet in the middle.
Mitrovic being a handful for defenders has proven to be key when it comes to goals for the Cottagers. If it isn't the Serbian international scoring, Andre Schurrle has contributed from the right with six goals this season.
As talented as Ryan Sessegnon is, the goals just weren't coming enough down the opposite wing and that's why Babel has been brought into the club. He netted six goals in the left-wing role for Besiktas this season before his switch to Craven Cottage.
There is always a belief that Fulham can turn it around given the fact that they have a number of top quality players, which makes it difficult when it comes to picking the result.
They may have lost their last four in all competitions, but two of those came against top-six sides and another was away. The Cup defeat to Oldham was unacceptable, but they had made a number of changes.
Fulham look tempting at a price of 29/20 for victory here, but this is a game that should see both teams scoring. Backing a home win with BTTS enhances the odds to 9/2, although if you don't want to back a result, the 19/20 available on both sides hitting the net looks great value at practically even money.
Score prediction: Fulham 2-1 Brighton (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)
Best bet: Ryan Babel to score anytime at 10/3
Opta facts
- Fulham are winless in their last six league meetings with Brighton, losing five before a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture in September.
- Brighton have won their last three visits to Craven Cottage against Fulham in league competition, scoring exactly twice each time.
- Fulham have lost their last three Premier League games, including the last two having scored the first goal. Only four teams have ever lost three in a row after opening the scoring in Premier League history (Blackburn April 2007, Sunderland February 2011, Wolves April 2012 and Leicester December 2014).
- Brighton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 13 Premier League games (W3 D3 L7), in a 1-0 home win against Everton in December.
- No side has dropped more points from winning positions than Fulham in the Premier League this season (15, level with Southampton). 10 of those points have been in the 11 games since Claudio Ranieri took charge, more than any other side in that time.
- Brighton have won just one of their last 10 top-flight games in London (D2 L7), a 3-0 win at West Ham in October 2017.
- Just 25% of Brighton’s Premier League wins have come in away games (4/16) – only Swindon (20%) and Fulham themselves (24.8%) have a lower ratio of their Premier League victories on the road.
- Brighton’s Glenn Murray has scored five goals in his last four league games against Fulham, though all of these have come in home games.
- Since the end of the 2015-16 season when Leicester won the title, Claudio Ranieri has won just seven of his 36 Premier League games (D9 L20). Among managers who’ve managed as many as 36 games in that time, only recently departed Huddersfield manager David Wagner (18%) has a worse win percentage than Ranieri (19%).
- Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored 38% of Fulham’s Premier League goals this season (8/21), the highest ratio of any player at any side so far. However, the Serbian has scored just one goal in his last 10 appearances in the competition.
Huddersfield v Everton
Jan Siewert will take charge of his first Huddersfield game when they welcome Everton to the John Smith's Stadium.
The Terriers look down and out already. They are bottom of the standings and need to close a ten-point gap over the next 15 games to stand any chance of survival.
Their form makes for grim reading. They have lost ten of their last eleven games in all competitions, the only game where they picked up something being a 0-0 draw away at relegation rivals Cardiff.
It's a bit of a step into the unknown. We don't really know what to expect from Huddersfield on Tuesday night, apart from what should be an intent to attack and an aim to kick off the Siewert era with three points.
He was keeping his cards close to his chest when it came to revealing his line-up in Monday's pre-match press conference, so it would probably be wise to avoid any player-based bets until 18:45 on Tuesday evening.
What we can see is that 57% of Borussia Dortmund II's games this season have finished with over 2.5 goals. Alongside that, 70% of their home games hit the same target, highlighting his belief in attack.
While we may not know the team he will play, we can be certain that'll he will carry that style over into his new job. They'll also know of Everton's defensive weaknesses - with the potential to exploit them from set-piece situations and through balls for the likes of Isaac Mbenza, Elias Kachunga and Adam Diakhaby to connect with.
It will take time to fix Huddersfield's defensive problems, with this game likely to see Everton find the net. A draw is also worth a consideration here, although goals is the best avenue to explore.
Score prediction: Huddersfield 2-2 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 16/1)
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 13/10
Opta facts
- Huddersfield are winless in their last 10 meetings with Everton in all competitions (D5 L5), since a 1-0 win in a top-flight match in March 1956.
- Everton have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four top-flight meetings with Huddersfield.
- Huddersfield haven’t won any of their eight midweek Premier League games (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday), losing two and drawing six, while conceding 20 goals in the process.
- Across the last 10 Premier League matches, Everton have taken just eight points (W2 D2 L6); in that time, the only sides to win fewer points are Fulham (6) and opponents Huddersfield (1).
- Everton’s last Premier League game against the side starting the day bottom ended in a 1-3 defeat, at home against West Ham back in September. However, they’ve not lost such a game away from home since May 2004 vs Wolves (W6 D7 since).
- In Premier League history, only Sunderland in 2005-06 (9) and Derby in 2007-08 (7) have had fewer points after 23 Premier League games than Huddersfield’s haul of 11 this season. Meanwhile, only Derby in 2007-08 and Aston Villa in 2014-15 (both 11) have scored fewer at this stage than Huddersfield’s 13.
- Only AFC Wimbledon (18) and Bradford (17) have lost more games in English league football this season than Huddersfield (16).
- Huddersfield haven’t scored more than once in any of their last 17 home Premier League games, netting just six goals in total (W2 D3 L12). The only team to have a longer such run in the competition are Sunderland (28 between December 2002 and May 2006).
- Huddersfield have lost their last five home Premier League games – only once in their league history have they lost more in a row at home (7 between April-September 2000).
- Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in both of his Premier League appearances against Huddersfield, though both games have been at home.
- New Huddersfield manager Jan Siewert will be just the third German to manage in the Premier League after Felix Magath and Jurgen Klopp, both of whom drew their first ever game in the competition.
Wolves v West Ham
West Ham were the victims of an FA Cup upset at the weekend as they were hammered 4-2 by League One's bottom club AFC Wimbledon, while Wolves came from two goals down to salvage a replay against Shrewsbury.
Matt Doherty came to the rescue with a header in the dying seconds, and if he were to retain his place for this game, there's every chance he could find the net again.
Despite playing 90 minutes in near every game this season, he was dropped for their win over Leicester, with Jonny Castro the preferred option at right-back. Given the fact that they conceded three in that game though, I'd expect Doherty to come back in here.
He suits the style of football that Wolves want to play. He's defensively sound, but his ability to drive forward and contribute near the opposition penalty area has seen a direct involvement in eight goals so far.
Arthur Masuaku and Aaron Cresswell may be fairly decent left-backs but we've seen how West Ham are vulnerable to attacks from out wide at various points throughout the season.
Their recent loss to Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium highlighted this. Callum Wilson's first goal, while it may have been a fantastic strike into the top corner, did come as a result of an attack down the left wing.
Shortly after that, it was the turn of Josh King to have success out wide, this time resulting in Wilson's strike hitting the post. The second goal saw a through ball leave Angelo Ogbonna completely helpless on their left-hand side as David Brooks found Wilson unmarked for a tap-in.
A team of Wolves' calibre can exploit those weaknesses, and a full-back with the ability to attack should enjoy success against this West Ham side.
Score prediction: Wolves 2-0 West Ham (Sky Bet odds: 17/2)
Best bet: Matt Doherty to score anytime at 8/1
Opta facts
- Wolves are looking to do the league double over West Ham for the very first time in their history – this is the 30th different campaign in which the sides have faced.
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last three top-flight away games against Wolves, winning two and drawing one since a 1-2 defeat in May 1982.
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games played on a Tuesday (W6 D2) since a 1-3 defeat at Arsenal in April 2014.
- After drawing their first two home league games this season, none of Wolves’ last 10 at Molineux have ended level (W5 L5).
- After a run of five Premier League games unbeaten on the road, West Ham have lost their last two away from home by a 0-2 scoreline. They last lost three in a row without scoring back in December 2006 (a run of seven).
- West Ham are looking to avoid losing consecutive Premier League games for the first time since October.
- Wolves have won more Premier League games thanks to winners in or after the 90th minute this season than any other side (3), including the reverse fixture against West Ham in September.
- No team has scored more 90th minute goals in the Premier League this season than Wolves (4), while only Burnley (7) have conceded more at this time than West Ham (5).
- Wolves’ Diogo Jota has had a hand in six goals in his last five Premier League appearances (5 goals, 1 assist), including a hat-trick against Leicester last time out. He hadn’t scored or assisted a single goal in any of his first 13 appearances this season.
- Felipe Anderson has been directly involved in four of West Ham’s last five away league goals, scoring three and assisting another.
Manchester United v Burnley
Manchester United are enjoying life under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's reign, with the club's former star striker winning his opening eight matches at the helm (six in the league, two in the FA Cup).
It's been a very impressive spell so far, and if they secure victory here, he'll become the first ever manager to win their opening seven Premier League games in charge of a club.
He looks certain to do so given the contrasting form of the two sides. The Clarets have won just one of their last nine away games in all competitions and were hammered 5-0 by Manchester City in the FA Cup last time out.
It may be tempting to back a heavy home victory here, but Burnley have been in contests despite losing on the road. Their league trip to the Etihad Stadium was the only time they've lost an away game by more than two goals.
United did hammer Bournemouth and Fulham at Old Trafford, but a 3-1 win over Huddersfield and a 2-1 success against Brighton highlights how they aren't completely destroying everything that is in front of them.
It'll be a bit of a test of Burnley's resilience too. They were only one goal behind at half-time in league games away at Arsenal, Manchester City, Crystal Palace and Fulham - while they were level or winning against Watford, Huddersfield, Tottenham, Leicester, West Ham, Cardiff and Wolves.
Given the confidence they are playing with, Manchester United should find a way through, although that is likely to come in the second-half. With that expectation of late goals, a draw with Manchester United -2 on the handicap looks good value at 10/3.
Score prediction: Manchester United 2-0 Burnley (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)
Best bet: Draw (Manchester United -2) at 10/3
Opta facts
- Since losing their first ever Premier League meeting against them in August 2009, Man Utd are unbeaten in their last eight against Burnley (W5 D3), keeping six clean sheets in that time.
- Burnley are winless in their last 19 away games against Man Utd in all competitions (D7 L12), since winning 5-2 in a top-flight game in September 1962.
- Manchester United have a higher win rate in games played on Tuesdays (62.5%) than any other side in Premier League history, winning 30 of their 48 such matches.
- Tuesday is the only day of the week on which Burnley manager Sean Dyche has never lost a Premier League game, winning three and drawing two of his five games.
- Since beating Chelsea on the opening weekend of the 2017-18 season, Burnley are winless in their last eight away league games against ‘big six’ sides, losing the last four in a row by an aggregate score of 1-14.
- 45% of Burnley’s 22 points won in the Premier League this season have come in their last four games (W3 D1 L0), while 41% of Man Utd’s 44 points this season have come in their six games under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
- Burnley have opened the scoring in just six different Premier League games this season (W4 D1 L1) – only Cardiff (3) have done so in fewer matches.
- Man Utd manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer could become the first ever manager to win his first seven Premier League games in charge of a club. Carlo Ancelotti (Chelsea) and Pep Guardiola (Man City) both also managed six.
- Man Utd striker Romelu Lukaku has had a hand in six goals in his six Premier League starts against Burnley, scoring four and assisting two.
- Marcus Rashford has scored in his last four Premier League appearances for Man Utd – should he score in this match, he would be the third youngest player to score in five in a row in the Premier League, behind Nicolas Anelka in 1998 and Jose Antonio Reyes in 2004.
Newcastle v Manchester City
This is an opportunity for Manchester City to close the gap on Liverpool to a point with the Reds in action on Wednesday night.
Pep Guardiola's side have responded to consecutive defeats to Crystal Palace and Leicester over the Christmas period with eight wins in a row in all competitions. They've scored 28 goals in their past six games, conceding none.
Everything points to a City victory here with Newcastle's home form doing little to inspire. United have won just one of their previous seven at St. James Park, with two of those games being draws.
As ever, the straightforward result market provides little value in games involving City, with a price of 2/9 with multiple bookmakers the best you can currently find on an away win.
An avenue to consider is backing Newcastle to score here. Much has been made about their transfer window and lack of activity so far this month as they fight for their Premier League survival, but a constant feature of this Newcastle side is that do stay in the majority of their games.
They managed to find the net in home games against Tottenham, Chelsea, Arsenal, Wolves and Watford - all five of those sides currently sitting in the top-eight of the table.
While City may be on the next step to the teams listed above, they too have proven that they aren't untouchable with those defeats over Christmas and goals conceded in multiple away trips.
In Salomon Rondon, Newcastle have a striker who provides a real physical presence up front. With a more direct approach, that can cause City some problems at the back and draw the likes of Ayoze Perez and Christian Atsu into the attacks.
It should be a fairly straightforward away win, but the value is there in backing a goal for Benitez's men.
Score prediction: Newcastle 1-3 Manchester City (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Opta facts
- Newcastle are winless in their last 22 Premier League games against Man City (D3 L19) – both Newcastle’s longest winless run and Man City’s longest unbeaten run against any top-flight opponent.
- Man City have taken 46 points from their last 48 available against Newcastle (W15 D1 L0), scoring 45 goals and conceding nine in that run.
- Newcastle ended a run of five Premier League games without a win against Cardiff last time out, and are looking for back-to-back victories in the competition for the first time since November.
- Newcastle scored more goals in their last Premier League game against Cardiff (3) than they had in their previous five in the competition (2). It was also the first time they’d scored more than twice in a league game this term.
- Manchester City have won their last four Premier League games, winning the last two by a 3-0 scoreline.
- Man City have scored the opening goal a league-high 20 times in Premier League games this season (W18 D0 L2), while Newcastle have lost all 11 of their games in which they’ve conceded first – the highest such 100% defeat record this season.
- Newcastle have won four of their last six home Premier League games against sides starting the day in the top two, losing against Arsenal in December 2013 and Man City in December 2017.
- This will be Man City manager Pep Guardiola’s 100th Premier League game in charge. He’s won 73 of his 99 so far (D15 L11) – the record for most wins by a manager in their opening 100 matches in the competition is 73, held by Jose Mourinho.
- Man City’s Sergio Aguero has scored 14 goals in his 12 Premier League appearances against Newcastle – more than any player has scored against an opponent for a single club in the competition’s history.
- Man City’s Raheem Sterling is currently on 99 goal involvements in his Premier League career (59 goals, 40 assists in 212 games).
Odds correct as of 1645 GMT on 28/01/18