Premier League betting tips: Betting previews, score predictions & best bets for Monday's action

Recommended bets

1pt Wolves to win & under 2.5 goals at 19/10

1pt Sheff Utd to beat Everton at 6/5

1pt Brighton to draw with Newcastle at 13/5

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Brighton v Newcastle

• 6pm BST kick-off on Sky Sports
• Match Odds: Home 17/20 | Draw 5/2 | Away 16/5

Motivation could be the key factor here, as Brighton are basically safe barring something ridiculous happening with Watford and Aston Villa, while Newcastle's players have been planning their holidays for a while.

We have seen with behind-closed-doors games that those extra percentage points of effort can make a huge difference, but it's hard to say just who will be up for this one - there's an argument both will go through the motions and make the draw the smart play.

They've both seen an increase in goals since the restart, but those numbers are skewed slightly with Brighton facing Man United, Man City and Liverpool in a tough run. Overall only three teams have scored fewer goals than these two this season (both 37) so with that and the lack of intensity the under 2.5 goals (8/11) is well in play here.

So is a slow start and half-time draw (11/10), as almost half of their combined league games (35 out of 72) have finished level at the break.

While that's tempting, it's got that feel of an end-of-season draw about it even if crowds were involved, and without them these two could sleepwalk to a point each and go home happy.

Prediction: Brighton 1-1 Newcastle (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)

Best bet: Brighton to draw with Newcastle at 13/5

Brighton v Newcastle Opta stats

• Brighton are unbeaten in all five of their Premier League meetings with Newcastle (W2 D3) – they’ve only faced West Ham more often in the competition without defeat (6).
• Newcastle have won just one of their last seven away games against Brighton in all competitions (D2 L4), winning 2-1 in the Championship in February 2017.
• The five Premier League meetings between Brighton and Newcastle have produced just four goals (3 for Brighton, 1 for Newcastle), with neither side scoring more than once in a match.
• Brighton have lost their last three home league games, conceding at least three goals in each game (11 in total) and scoring just once. The Seagulls had only conceded 3+ goals in three of their previous 41 home games in the Premier League.
• Newcastle have only won their final away game in two of their 24 Premier League seasons (D9 L13), beating QPR in 2012-13 and winning 4-0 at Fulham last season.

Sheffield United v Everton

• 6pm BST kick-off on Amazon Prime
• Match Odds: Home 23/20 | Draw 11/5 | Away 5/2

There are a few teams hard to work out in this league, especially after the restart, and Everton are certainly one of those, in terms of it being difficult to see why they continue to underperform. The Blades, by contrast, have outdone every single expectation for them this season.

They produced a performance very unlike Chris Wilder's side at Leicester, and he'll want them to finish their tremendous home campaign with a victory - against a poor away side in Everton who have won just 15 points on the road this season (only the bottom four have fewer).

Wilder's getting plenty of credit, but he probably deserves more. Just think about this for a second - a newly-promoted side well-fancied for relegation sit in eighth, could still make it into Europe, have lost just one more game than Man City and conceded fewer goals than anyone bar Liverpool.

Everton's performances recently have been dreadful, their 'bounce back' game after being embarrassed at Wolves was to scrape a late home draw with Villa - if they couldn't get a response then Carlo Ancelotti has problems.

The Blades then are well worth backing to win this straight up, so is the under 2.5 goals (4/7) - where United rank dead last in the league with just 10 games going over the magic mark.

With 14 goals conceded at Bramall Lane, the Blades have allowed just one more than City and Liverpool on their own turf, and with 11 'wins to nil' they rank fourth in the league. Everton have scored just five since the restart so the 5/2 on that is tempting, but we're playing it a bit safer.

Prediction: Sheffield United 2-0 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 17/2)

Best bet: Sheff Utd to beat Everton at 6/5

Sheffield United v Everton Opta stats

• Sheffield United are looking to secure five consecutive Premier League home wins, something they’ve not done in the top-flight since a run of six in March 1991.
• Everton haven’t won their final away league game in any of the last four Premier League seasons (D1 L3), last doing so in 2014-15 against West Ham (2-1).
• Sheffield United have conceded just one goal in their last four Premier League games at Bramall Lane, with clean sheets in each of their last two. They haven’t recorded three successive shutouts at home in the top-flight since March 1993.
• Everton have lost 11 away Premier League games this season, their most since 2003-04 (also 11), while the Toffees haven’t lost more than 11 in a season since 2000-01 under Walter Smith (13).
• Enda Stevens has played a part in 101 open play sequences which have ended with Sheffield United having a shot in the Premier League this campaign, the most of any Blades player and 30 more than his wing-back partner George Baldock (71).

Wolves v Crystal Palace

• 8.15pm BST kick-off on BT Sport
• Match Odds: Home 1/2 | Draw 29/10 | Away 13/2

That 96th-minute Burnley goal ended Wolves' hopes of sneaking into the Champions League, but they'll be keen to dust themselves down and try to make the Europa League - anything less would be a step down on last year's achievements.

With two wins needed to be sure of a return to Europe, Wolves have the need here - Palace want to get on the beach as soon as possible and have lost their last six games, scoring in just one of them.

Roy Hodgson's side, though, were unlucky against Man United but just how much they'll fancy trying to grind out a result at Molineux remains to be seen - 13/2 on them winning suggests not much.

Keeping out Raul Jimenez (above), Wolves' most prolific striker since Steve Bull, will be a tough assignment considering Gary Cahill will be out, and as mentioned their ability to find goals away from home is sadly lacking at present.

Bar Everton, though, Wolves don't blow teams away and they're unlikely to put Palace away early doors in this either, they'll have enough to win, but perhaps not as well as 1/2 shots should at home. This has got all the ingredients of a low-scoring home win - a typical Wolves win, if you like.

Prediction: Wolves 2-0 Crystal Palace (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)

Best bet: Wolves to win & under 2.5 goals at 19/10

Wolves v Crystal Palace Opta stats

• Wolves have won just one of their last five league meetings with Crystal Palace (D1 L3), having won each of their previous three against them before this run.
• Crystal Palace have lost their last six Premier League matches, failing to score in five of those fixtures. Their manager, Roy Hodgson, has never previously suffered seven consecutive defeats in the competition, while the Eagles last did so in September 2017 (eight in a row).
• Wolves have scored 73.5% of their Premier League goals this season in the second half – the only teams to have scored a higher such percentage in a season are Portsmouth and Stoke in 2008-09 (both 73.7%) and Reading in 2007-08 (75.6%).
• Crystal Palace forward Wilfried Zaha has attempted 233 take-ons in the opposition’s half this season and 42 in the opposition’s box – both Premier League highs in 2019-20. Despite this, none have ended with Zaha scoring a goal and only one has resulted in him assisting a goal for the Eagles.
• Wolves winger Adama Traoré has completed 174 dribbles in the Premier League this season, the most in a season since Eden Hazard completed 180 in Chelsea’s 2014-15 title-winning side.

Odds correct as of 2320 BST on 19/7/20

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