The Premier League continues on Thursday and Jake Pearson has found two nice prices in Liverpool's home match with Burnley.
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Liverpool v Burnley
- 20:00 GMT on Sky Sports Main Event
- Match odds: Home 1/6 | Draw 6/1 | Away 16/1
It is fair to say that Sunday’s season-defining clash between Liverpool and Manchester United did little in regards to defining the season, other than proving that, without fans in attendance, big teams are more than happy to slowly lull towards a draw against their rivals.
It was the fourth supposed “big” game this season that ebbed its way towards a stalemate – Manchester United v Chelsea, Manchester United v Manchester City and Chelsea v Tottenham – without the slightest hint of anyone, player or manager, attempting to do anything about it.
It also marked the third successive game in which Liverpool have failed to score, the first time such a thing has occurred since 2005, and if they fail to register against Burnley on Thursday, it will be the first time since the 1990/00 season that they have failed to score in four successive Premier League matches.
Breaking down a low block has been an issue for Liverpool this season, their recent draws against West Brom and Newcastle, as well as a 1-0 defeat to Southampton are testament to that, and it is unlikely that Sean Dyche will adopt anything other than a pragmatic approach as he takes his side to Anfield.
Burnley started the season poorly, conceding three or more goals in three of their opening six matches, but they have found their defensive feet of late, conceding just four times in their last seven matches.
While Dyche has undoubtedly solved any problems he had within his defence, it is in attack that Burnley have really struggled this campaign, the nine goals they have scored this season is the lowest return of any team in the top four leagues of English football. All the more reason then for Burnley to sit back and defend.
There is reason for optimism for the Clarets however, as they did manage to come away with a 1-1 draw in this fixture last season, the only team throughout the entire campaign to return from Anfield with a point, and a draw is not beyond the realms of possibility once more.
There really couldn’t be a better time for Burnley to play Liverpool, this match the meat in a Manchester United sandwich – Liverpool once again facing off against their bitter rivals in the FA Cup on Sunday – and Dyche’s men surely have a decent chance of keeping Liverpool at bay.
Considering Liverpool have drawn three of their last four matches, a price of 13/2 for the spoils to be shared here seems more than reasonable, so we are backing it to small stakes.
It is unlikely that Burnley will find the net, not only do they have a woeful record in front of goal, Liverpool also boast the second-best home defensive record in the Premier League, but this feels like one of those games that Liverpool could huff and puff their way through without really getting anywhere.
Liverpool will be desperate to break their scoring duck as soon as possible in this match, but forcing the issue can often have the opposite effect, and for this reason, it is also worth siding with less than two goals being scored in this match at a price of 19/4.
Each of Burnley’s last four Premier League matches have finished 1-0, with only one of the Claret’s last seven matches seeing more than one goal. Under 1.5 goals has landed in 11 of Burnley’s 17 matches this season, more than any other team, and when you factor in the poor form that Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mané have been in of late, we could be in for yet another low-scoring affair.
Score prediction: Liverpool 0-0 Burnley (Sky Bet odds: 18/1)
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