Everton v Liverpool betting preview: Free tips, preview, predictions & latest odds for Merseyside derby

By George Pitts

Football

Sun March 03, 2019 · 6y ago

It took a late winner for Liverpool to win the last Merseyside derby in December. George Pitts looks ahead to the reverse fixture at Goodison.

Recommended bets

1pt Everton to receive the most bookings at 5/4

1pt Calvert-Lewin, Salah and Mane to have 4+ shots on target between them at 11/10

For advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Everton v Liverpool (Sky Sports Premier league, 1615 GMT kick-off)

Celebrations for Liverpool's Sadio Mane (right) and Roberto Firmino (second, right)

A clash that has all the ingredients to be a memorable Merseyside derby.

Everton will be determined to build on their midweek win and, more importantly, to damage their city rivals' title hopes as we enter the final 10 games of the Premier League season.

Liverpool can stay ahead of Manchester City with a win and they undoubtedly hold the psychological edge after going on an 18-match unbeaten run against the Toffees. Most recently, their December meeting saw Divock Origi score a late winner after Jordan Pickford's error, which famously led to Jurgen Klopp's exuberant celebration on the pitch at Anfield.

Whether or not we get a high-scoring edition of one of the sport's most famous showdowns remains to be seen, but this game comes at a pivotal time in the Premier League title race and seems sure to deliver drama.

Betting guide

Marco Silva and Jurgen Klopp go head-to-head in the Merseyside derby

Prediction: Everton 1-1 Liverpool (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)
Man City's win at Bournemouth on Saturday means the Reds know that anything but maximum points will see them fall behind in the title race, but the Toffees will also be fired up, in the hope they can dent their city rivals' title chances. It could be a little cagey at first, but hopefully as dramatic as the north London derby and we may get a similar outcome, with Everton fancied to get a result.

Best bet: Everton to receive the most bookings at 5/4
This looks the best bet given the expected rhythm of the game, one in which Liverpool should dominate possession and where tackles will go flying in. Marco Silva's side have a slightly worse disciplinary record than Jurgen Klopp's men this term and, especially if they go behind, you can see Everton being frustrated off the ball and committing fouls. Martin Atkinson's is the man in charge, with the Yorkshire referee averaging over three bookings per game this term, and Everton to receive more than Liverpool is overpriced at 5/4.

Goals/stats: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane to have 4+ shots on target between them at 11/10
There can be value in the shots market and this combination is not too big an ask considering the amount of attempts the latter duo can deliver. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is expected to lead the line for the hosts and will be full of confidence after scoring in midweek against Cardiff, and he averages nearly a shot per game, while Mo Salah and Sadio Mane total nearly six shots between them on average per game. The latter is in red-hot form too, having scored six in as many Premier League games, and is priced quite generously to score anytime at 13/8.

RequestABet: Mane to score anytime, under 3.5 total goals, 10+ booking points each team

Opta stats

Divock Origi celebrates scoring for Liverpool against Everton

This will be the 200th top-flight meeting between Everton and Liverpool, becoming only the second fixture to have been played that many times in the top English league after Aston Villa vs Everton (202).
Everton are winless in their last 18 encounters with Liverpool in all competitions (D9 L9), their longest ever such streak against their Merseyside rivals.
Despite remaining unbeaten in their last 16 league meetings with Everton, Liverpool are looking to do the double over the Toffees for just the third time in the last eight seasons (also in 2011-12 and 2016-17).
Premier League meetings between Everton and Liverpool have produced more red cards than any other fixture in the history of the competition (21).
Liverpool have scored more 90th minute winning goals in Premier League games against Everton than any side has against another in the competition (5).
Everton are looking to secure consecutive Premier League victories for the first time since October, following their 3-0 victory at Cardiff last time out.
Liverpool have conceded fewer away goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (8).
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp is unbeaten in his seven competitive meetings with Everton in all competitions (W5 D2). The only Liverpool managers to enjoy a longer unbeaten start against the Toffees are Bob Paisley (10 between 1974-1978) and David Ashworth (8 between 1919-1922).
Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino has only faced Manchester United (8) more often without finding the net in the Premier League than he has against Everton (6).
Gylfi Sigurdsson’s brace for Everton against Cardiff last time out took his Premier League tally to 11 for the season, equalling his best ever return in a single campaign in the competition (also 11 in 2015-16).
Liverpool’s Sadio Mane has scored 14 Premier League goals this season – more than he has in any previous campaign in the competition.
Mohamed Salah has scored 49 goals in 64 Premier League games for Liverpool. If he scores in this game, he’d have reached 50 for a specific club quicker than any other player in the competition’s history.

Click the image below for our big match guide for the Merseyside derby, which runs through the form, tactics, line-ups and key battles...

Sporting Life's big match preview for Everton v Liverpool in the Merseyside derby

Phil Thompson delivers his derby day verdict, telling us Liverpool can win at Goodison Park as long as they can match Everton's intensity. Click the image below to read our exclusive interview...