Denmark vs England betting tips, BuildABet, best bets and preview
Football betting tips: Euro 2024
2pts England to win and under 3.5 goals at 5/4 (Betway)
1.5pt England to win and under 2.5 goals at 12/5 (General)
1pt Declan Rice to score or assist at 4/1 (Sky Bet)
BuildABet @ 15/1
- England to win
- Under 3.5 goals
- John Stones 1+ shots
- Harry Kane 2+ fouls won
"How shit were England against Serbia? Negative Southgate - he’s holding us back! Why won’t he just go for it? Sack him now! It worked for Ivory Coast at AFCON!"
I added the last bit, but the rest has been doing the rounds for much of the last few days since England beat Serbia to maintain Gareth Southgate's 100% record in opening matches at major tournaments.
Just how impressive his four wins from four is, is highlighted by England’s previous four opening-game wins at major tournaments coming across a 46-year period (1970-2016); World Cups in 1970, ‘82, ‘90 and 2006 to save you Googling.
Southgate’s record in matchday two isn't quite so spotless, with two draws following the 5-1 thrashing of Panama at the 2018 World Cup, but this feels like a good match-up for England to book their place in the knockout stage with a game to spare.
What are the best bets?
Previous MD2 opponents Scotland and USA benefited from being under far less pressure than ENGLAND; not the case for Denmark.
Having been expected to qualify from Group C in the top two alongside the Three Lions, failure to beat Slovenia has put that in serious doubt.
While they controlled spells of their opening fixture Denmark were far from dominant, a reminder of just why they finished bottom of a World Cup group containing Australia and Tunisia, and providing further evidence that they and England have gone in opposite directions since their Euro 2020 semi-final.
Serbia, quite possibly the most physical team in the tournament, sought to outmuscle England. Denmark will be more content to challenge them technically and tactically.
Good luck with that.
For all the concerns pre-tournament about England's defence, their defensive record continues to be superb, making a win combined with both UNDER 3.5 GOALS and UNDER 2.5 GOALS the advised bets, to appropriately balanced stakes.
- CLICK HERE to back England win and under 3.5 goals with Sky Bet
- CLICK HERE to back England win and under 2.5 goals with Sky Bet
Most importantly, the prices for the manual double of England win (8/11) and both under 2.5 (8/11) and under 3.5 goals (1/4) are considerably shorter to the prices several bookmakers are offering for the combination.
Rice, Rice baby
On top of the Jude Bellingham love-in - something I have taken a full part in - a debate that raged both during and after England’s win over Serbia was the make-up of their midfield and front three, with much focus on the role of Trent Alexander-Arnold and the lack of impact from Phil Foden and Harry Kane.
This domination has caused DECLAN RICE’s excellent performance to be completely overshadowed.
The Arsenal midfielder was outstanding, completing the most passes (77) of anyone in the match, creating a clear-cut chance and recovering the ball on nine occasions. It's almost as if he is a £105m midfielder who just had the best season of his career for a team that narrowly missed out on the title...
He's as big as 25/1 to score first and 11/1 anytime, but it's the 4/1 to TO SCORE OR ASSIST that I'm interested in. His 15 goal involvements in the Premier League this season show the threat he now poses as much more than a sitting midfielder.
With plenty of focus on the rest of England's attacking threats, Rice may very well prove to be the outlet - as he was much of the time against Serbia.
Stats markets worth a look
Elsewhere, I'm sticking a few honourable mentions in that didn't quite make the staking plan, beginning with JOHN STONES 1+ SHOT - of interest depending on who you bet with.
Bet365 are offering 10/3, but the range of prices are huge, with a few firms willing to go above 2/1, but others giving odds-on quotes.
England's set-piece record at major tournaments has been well documented, and with usual target Harry Maguire absent, his longtime centre-back partner becomes a natural magnet at free-kicks and corners.
As an added bonus, Stones' ability on the ball means he is more than comfortable stepping forward and becoming involved in the play, which depending on the state of the game may occur.
KANE 2+ FOULS WON is another that is subject to serious price variation.
Serbia kicked the proverbial shit out of the England captain on Sunday evening, fouling him six times in total. Betfair and Paddy Power will give you 11/10 for the referee to give a foul in his favour on just two occasions against Denmark.
Team news
Denmark wing-back Joakim Maehle should start after coming off the bench in the draw with Slovenia.
Brentford duo Christian Norgaard and Mathias Jensen were also introduced as substitutes, with one of them expected to start in midfield.
It's hard to imagine England will make any changes from their win over Serbia, with the only update to team news that Luke Shaw missed training on Wednesday so still appears unlikely to feature, even from the bench.
Predicted line-ups
Denmark predicted XI: Schmeichel; Andersen, Christensen, Vestergaard; Kristiansen, Nørgaard, Eriksen, Hojbjerg, Maehle; Hojlund, Poulsen.
England predicted XI: Pickford; Walker, Stones, Guehi, Trippier; Alexander-Arnold, Rice; Saka, Bellingham, Foden; Kane.
Odds correct at 1600 BST (19/06/24)
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