George Pitts is backing Tottenham to join Manchester City in progressing to the Champions League quarter-finals on Wednesday night...
2pts Tottenham to beat Juventus in 90 minutes and over 1.5 total goals at 19/10
1pt Gabriel Jesus to score first in Manchester City v Basel at 7/2
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Tottenham will host Juventus full of confidence after coming from two goals down to draw 2-2 in the first leg.
Mauricio Pochettino's side conceded two Gonzalo Higuain goals in the opening 10 minutes in Turin before strikes from Harry Kane and Christian Eriksen sealed them a valuable draw to take back to Wembley.
It means they have two away goals over the 33-time Serie A champions and it could prove vital in sealing their place in the quarter-finals.
Sky Bet: Tottenham 16/1 to win 2017/18 Champions League, Juve 33/1
Domestically the north Londoners are flying, with excellent form seeing them overtake Chelsea in the race for the top four, and their unbeaten run in all competitions stretches back to mid-December, spanning 17 games.
In that run, star striker Harry Kane has scored 17 goals and he will be key on Wednesday night. The England forward is priced at 15/8 to score and Spurs to win on the night, 18/23 to score anytime. Heung-Min Son is hitting form too and the South Korean, who has netted a double in successive games, can be backed at 11/4 to net anytime.
They host last season’s Champions League finalists, a well-drilled side under the management of Massimiliano Allegri.
They are currently second in Serie A, with a game in-hand over Napoli, and a victory would send them two points clear. They are on a 19-game unbeaten run in all competitions and it shows the tough task Spurs face. But they could have been dealt a boost as the visitors are sweating on the fitness of forwards Gonzalo Higuain and Mario Mandzukic.
But the Old Lady did not reach their best in this season’s group stages, with just one away win in three, and they travel to London as 13/5 for a victory on the night.
Juve’s European pedigree is clear – and the fact they have only lost once in their last nine away knockout games shows that. But that run must come to an end eventually and I think Spurs could get a result here with confidence sky high at the minute.
They are well backed to qualify for the last eight at 4/9, while Juve are nearly 2/1.
I correctly predicted Kane to score and a draw (separate bets) in the first leg, and I am going to back Spurs to win on the night with over 1.5 goals here.
It is priced at a tempting 19/10 and I think it could well be on the cards. While Juventus would love a 1-0, hard-fought defensive victory, it is a dangerous risk as a Spurs goal would soon knock them out. So the second half could be a little more open and we could well have a good second leg clash on our hands as both sides play cat and mouse, waiting for the other to make a move before capitalising.
After topping Real Madrid to win their Champions League group and improving on previous European campaigns, victory here would be deserving of Tottenham and Pochettino's efforts in recent seasons.
Prediction: Tottenham 2-1 Juventus (Sky Bet's odds: 17/2)
Best bet: Tottenham to win and over 1.5 total goals at 19/10
Alternative: Half-time/full-time – Draw/Tottenham at 47/10
It is fair to say this tie is done and dusted and you have to go a little deeper to get value from this contest.
City, favourites with Sky Bet to win the Champions League this term, command a 4-0 lead from the first leg and Pep Guardiola will see this as a good opportunity to play fringe players for the Etihad clash.
It could also be a good chance for Gabriel Jesus to start his first game since New Year’s Eve. The Brazilian forward, who has 12 goals for club and country this term, has been sidelined with a knee injury and has made brief substitute appearances against Arsenal (twice) and Chelsea since returning to full fitness.
With Aguero proving an adequate replacement, scoring 15 goals since then in all competitions, Guardiola could rest the Argentinian or bring in Jesus to play alongside him.
I am backing 20-year-old Jesus to score first at 7/2 on his return to the starting XI.
Despite fielding a ‘weaker’ side, I still think City will stroll to a comfortable victory, considering their quality and strength in depth. Backing them to win with a -2 goal handicap at 5/6 looks good value, while a 3-0 home victory is 13/2.
Basel are no pushovers though, as they proved with a 1-0 home win over Man United in the group stages back in November, Michael Lang netting an 89th-minute winner and they have done brilliantly to get to this stage.
At 23/1, few bookies expect the Swiss Super League side’s second-placed team to get a result against the Premier League champions-elect.
Prediction: Manchester City 3-0 FC Basel (Sky Bet's odds: 6/1)
Best bet: Gabriel Jesus to score first for Man City at 7/2
Alternative: Gabriel Jesus to score, Manchester City to win, BTTS and under 12 match corners at 5/1
Posted at 1915 GMT on 06/03/18.