NOTTINGHAM FOREST are surprisingly long to win at Sky Bet League One strugglers Exeter given the seasons both are having. It would be fair to assume it's due to the weekend's shocks and near shocks, but it was in fact the case in the FA Cup third round as well when Forest were 4/9 to beat Luton at home.

Some with the means might be prepared to take the 2/9 about an away win, I instead prefer the -1 HANDICAP at 4/5.

CLICK HERE to back Forest -1 handicap with Sky Bet

Forest are 2/5 and 4/6 for a win and over 1.5 and 2.5 goals respectively. While we take on the additional risk of needing them to win by two clear goals, the price is considerably more inviting.

Nottingham Forest manager Nuno Espirito Santo greets goalkeeper Matz Sels following the Premier League match at Goodison Park

Nottingham Forest are defying the odds this season

Nuno Espirito Santo's team are 3/10 to simply score 2+ goals, unsurprising given the gap in quality and Exeter's defensive record - the Grecians have conceded 13 goals in their last three matches, and at least twice in seven of their last nine home fixtures.

Where Arne Slot had the mitigating factors of a Carabao Cup semi-final on the Thursday prior, a rearranged Merseyside derby the Wednesday after and a Champions League campaign to plan for in his decision to disrespect both Plymouth and the world's oldest knockout competition, Nuno has no such issues.

Forest have had 10 days' rest since thrashing Brighton 7-0 to continue their push for a top-four finish in the Premier League.

BuildABet @ 25/1

Forest (-1.0) handicap
Taiwo Awoniyi 4+ total shots
Awoniyi to win 2+ fouls
Awoniyi to commit 2+ fouls
All in 90 minutes

Click here to back with Sky Bet

CLICK HERE for Taiwo Awoniyi's stats

Derby vs Oxford

Kick-off: 19:45 GMT, Tuesday
TV: Sky Sports+
Home 21/20 | Draw 9/4 | Away 13/5

Jake Osgathorpe

Derby picked up a good point at Norwich just a day after the club parted ways with manager Paul Warne. As of yet his replacement hasn’t been named, meaning interim boss Matt Hamshaw should again be in charge as they host Oxford.

It looks a good opportunity for the strugglers to get a big win on the board, and after a good result last time out, we should expect the same starting XI.

That means NAT PHILLIPS is likely to again start at centre-back, making his 17/20 price for 1+ TOTAL SHOTS appeal.

CLICK HERE to bet on Derby vs Oxford with Sky Bet

The on-loan Liverpool man is playing for a team very reliant on set-pieces for their chance creation, with only Luton (14) scoring more goals than Derby (13), and only Millwall (173) and the Hatters (145) taking more shots from dead-ball situations than the Rams (143).

Oxford are conceding an average of 4.2 shots per game from set-pieces, so the hosts should get opportunities, and Phillips is a huge threat.

He’s had at least one shot in seven of his 12 starts this season, and in five of his most recent six, averaging 1.00 shots per 90.

At 18/1, we’ll also have a small bet on him TO SCORE ANYTIME.

CLICK HERE to back Nat Phillips to score anytime with Sky Bet

He’s yet to score for the Rams, but did net for Cardiff when on loan there last season.

Charlton vs Peterborough

Kick-off: 19:45 GMT, Tuesday
TV: Sky Sports+
Home 4/6 | Draw 11/4 | Away 7/2

Jake Osgathorpe

There looks to be a real set-piece mismatch when Charlton take on Peterborough.

Peterborough have conceded the most goals (18) and third most xG (15.0) from dead-ball situations this term, while Charlton have generated the fourth most xG in Sky Bet League One from such scenarios (13.4).

We’ll dive into centre-backs scoring again, and back Charlton’s LLOYD JONES TO SCORE ANYTIME at 9/1 and TO SCORE FIRST at 25/1.

Jones has scored twice already this season, as recently as four games ago, and is averaging 0.11 xG per 90, high for a centre-back.

We’ll take the first scorer as well as the anytime because three centre-backs have scored against Peterborough in their last nine league games and all three have been the first scorers of the game.

Here’s hoping it happens again.

Odds correct at 1730 GMT (10/2/25)

Safer gambling

We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.

Further support and information can be found at begambleaware.org and gamblingtherapy.org

Like what you've read?