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Any Other Bets: Champions League & EFL tips for Tuesday November 5
Football betting tips: Champions League, EFL
1pt Vinicius Junior to score and be carded in Real Madrid vs Milan (20:00) at 9/1 (Betfair, Paddy Power)
1pt Vinicius Junior 1+ assists in Real Madrid vs Milan (20:00) at 4/1 (bet365)
1pt Matheus Nunes 1+ assists in Sporting vs Manchester City (20:00) at 5/1 (bet365)
1pt Arne Engels 1+ assists in Celtic vs Leipzig (20:00) at 13/2 (Betfair, Paddy Power)
0.5pt Vinicius, Nunes & Engels all 1+ assists at 209/1 (bet365)
1pt Tyrese Campbell to score anytime in Bristol City vs Sheff Utd (19:45) at 3/1 (General)
1.5pts Wycombe (Draw No Bet) to beat Stockport at 13/10 (Unibet)
1pt Portsmouth to beat Plymouth at 11/5 (bet365)
Real Madrid vs Milan
- Kick-off time: 20:00 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: TNT Sports 4
- Home 2/5 | Draw 15/4 | Away 21/4
Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill
According to reports, VINICIUS JUNIOR has not taken too kindly to his Ballon D’Or snub.
The Brazilian had a hand in 33 goals for Real Madrid en route to the La Liga and Champions League titles last season but lost out to Rodri.
Fuelled by the Ballon D’Or disappointment, I expect him to wreak havoc on Tuesday in the Champions League clash with Milan.
On the lead up to the ceremony, Vinicius was carded in the win over Dortmund and the El Clasico defeat, netting a hat-trick in the former.
It means since the beginning of last season he has SCORED ANYTIME and been SHOWN A CARD in 9 of 46 Los Blancos appearances.
Considering the added motivation on Tuesday, combining the goal and card certainly appeals at the prices available.
Real Madrid vs Milan
- Kick-off time: 20:00 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: TNT Sports 4
- Home 2/5 | Draw 15/4 | Away 21/4
Tom Carnduff
Luckily I'm not going to oppose Jimmy's selection above but I did want to flag up some interesting prices for Tuesday's Champions League action.
He's done the explaining so I won't waste your time by repeating it but the 4/1 on VINI JR. 1+ ASSISTS is certainly eye-catching.
He is yet to register one in this competition but has a staggering six assists (with penalties and free-kicks won) across 11 LaLiga contests this season - another coming in the UEFA Super Cup triumph over Atalanta back in August.
The forward has been creating though. At least two chances have been created in all three outings so far and yet the assist hasn't followed - that's the most of any Real Madrid player.
In the league, two or more chances have been made in six of 11. Only six players are averaging more per game.
With Real such a short price to win, it's a surprise to see odds as big as 4/1 available based on the showings so far.
Sporting vs Manchester City
- Kick-off time: 20:00 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: TNT Sports 1
- Home 10/3 | Draw 29/10 | Away 7/10
Tom Carnduff
Again, another game Jimmy has covered first so I won't say too much on it - I'll direct you the way of his full match preview here.
But there is a price I wanted to include in this column because I don't think it will be around for much longer if he continues to perform in the way he is.
As highlighted in the Notebook, MATHEUS NUNES has thrived in his new position out wide on the left and has created plenty.
The 5/1 on 1+ ASSISTS is therefore worth backing.
Despite a surprise defeat to Bournemouth last time out, Nunes was one of the brighter sparks in this Manchester City line-up.
No player on the pitch created more than Nunes' five chances, with his expected assists (xA) tally standing at a considerable 0.48.
Two chances came against Tottenham, with the same amount against Southampton the week prior. The Champions League contest with Sparta Prague had two assists from three chances - a high total of 0.67 xA.
Hopefully he retains his spot in the forward line, although there may be future potential he plays in a more advanced, central role. Even then, the value remains.
Celtic vs RB Leipzig
- Kick-off time: 20:00 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: TNT Sports 2
- Home 11/5 | Draw 13/5 | Away 21/20
Tom Carnduff
Celtic's Champions League campaign so far has been a successful one - a brave statement to make when they've been thrashed 7-1 by Dortmund in one of their three games.
But a 5-1 win over Slovan Bratislava and a 0-0 draw away at Atalanta in their last game gives them four points at this stage. They're 20th in the Champions League table.
That's a perfectly fine position at this stage. The top-24 have a chance of progression to the knockout stages and that is what Brendan Rodgers' side will be aiming for.
RB Leipzig pose a tough test but it does bring an end to their two games against 'Pot 1' teams already. After this, they get on with the more winnable games.
That said, they, of course, have a chance in front of their own supporters. Do just that and they're probably one win away from ending at least 24th in the standings.
Rather than go for the home win, I'll side with the 13/2 on ARNE ENGELS 1+ ASSISTS.
The 21-year-old has five assists across 13 appearances in all competitions, with two coming in two European games so far.
His last three league starts have delivered at least three chances created in each, with there's been two coming in two of the three in the Champions League.
Engels has also scored three times and the 11/2 on a goal anytime is interesting. Instead, based on his role with set-pieces involved, the 13/2 for an assist provides more appeal.
And, just in case it's a great evening, I'll have a smaller stake play on the 200/1 for VINICIUS, NUNES & ENGELS 1+ ASSISTS.
We only need one of the trio to post one for profit, but each has big potential.
Bristol City vs Sheffield United
- Kick-off time: 19:45 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: Sky Sports+
- Home 17/10 | Draw 9/4 | Away 6/4
Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill
Two goals in as many appearances should be enough to earn TYRESE CAMPBELL a start alongside Kieffer Moore in a fluid 4-4-2 for Sheffield United’s trip to Ashton Gate.
The frontman’s second goal for the Blades was the second in a 2-0 win over Blackburn Rovers at the weekend and capped off one of a dominant display for the visitors.
In Campbell and Moore, Chris Wilder may have found the formula upfront to bring the Blades to the boil and the former Stoke man looks great value at 3/1 TO SCORE ANYTIME against Bristol City, not least because of his career goals p90 average (0.37).
Stockport vs Wycombe
- Kick-off time: 19:45 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: Sky Sports+
- Home 6/4 | Draw 9/4 | Away 15/8
Joe Townsend
WYCOMBE show no signs of relenting in Sky Bet League One. Now unbeaten in 10, they have won their last four matches - five in all competitions after making it through the FA Cup first round on Saturday.
It is now just three league defeats in 23 games for Matt Bloomfield's men, with two of those in their opening couple of matches of this season against promotion favourites Birmingham and Wrexham.
Newly-promoted Stockport started the campaign well, but have been far from convincing since.
They needed extra time to get past National League side Forest Green in the FA Cup at the weekend, a few days on from a 4-1 win over Reading, a victory that was only their second in 10 league games.
Though tempted by the 9/4 with Betfair and Paddy Power about an away win, the best price of 13/10 for WYCOMBE DRAW NO BET is preferred for the added insurance of a returned stake should the match end all square.
Plymouth vs Portsmouth
- Kick-off time: 20:00 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: Sky Sports Football
- Home 6/5 | Draw 13/5 | Away 19/10
Joe Townsend
Imagine making a 700-mile roundtrip to watch your team fail to have a single shot during a 3-0 defeat where all the goals were scored by the 39th minute. It really wasn't a good Saturday in Leeds for Plymouth, who have lost four of their past six games and conceded at least three goals three times during that run.
PORTSMOUTH arrive at Home Park knowing a WIN will lift them off the bottom of the Championship at Argyle's expense. At 11/5 we should back them to do so.
Earlier this season I pointed out how unfortunate Pompey have been with a terribly lopsided fixture list and I'm very happy to keep faith.
While it may not seem like much, John Mousinho's side are showing signs of life with five points (W1 D2 L2) from their last five matches and fine margins the difference between greater returns.
It may only be a small improvement, but it's still progress.
Which is more than can be said for Wayne Rooney's team, who appear to be trending in the opposite direction.
Odds correct at 1445 GMT (04/11/24)
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