Chris Day with his best bets at Newmarket and York

Recommended bets, Saturday October 10

1pt e.w Summer Moon in Cesarewitch at 16/1

1pt e.w Coeur De Lion in Cesarewitch at 20/1

1pt win Came From The Dark in Coral Sprint Trophy at 10/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Perhaps the standout trend when looking at the Together For Racing International Cesarewitch Handicap on a glittering card at Newmarket is that nine of the last 18 winners were trained by jumps trainers.

As they go there are none greater than Willie Mullins, who trained last year’s winner Stratum and is represented this year by Great White Shark, 10th in the 2019 renewal.

It’s a big call to dismiss his runners in any race over here but I can’t really find an angle to fancy him strongly despite the bookmakers pricing him up close to the head of the market.

Nicky Henderson, who also likes to aim some of his winter jumpers at this, runs Verdana Blue, a 160-rated hurdler, running off a Flat mark of 105 here. She seemed to get the trip well enough when runner-up in the Ascot Stakes before finishing an excellent third in the Sky Bet Ebor. The question is whether she really needs this sort of test as she has a smart turn of foot on decent ground and she’s unlikely to get that on Saturday.

Coltrane, who is up 17lb for his last two handicap victories, including in the traditionally hot Sky Bet Melrose Stales at the Ebor Festival, heads the market across the board and looks most progressive for Andrew Balding.

He seemed to be all about stamina at York but the stable had a similar type as favourite, Ranch Hand, in this last year and he was beaten 34 lengths. Clearly it’s a leap of faith stepping up four furlongs in a race like the Cesarewitch and there’s no juice in his price.

Arthurian Fable, runner up in the York race, is 10lb better off for a four-lengths beating but didn’t shape like an out-and-out stayer there plus there is a big question mark concerning the suitability of the ground.

Jessica Harrington has trained the winner of most of the big jump races and her chosen contender is Lynwood Gold, a five-year-old grey gelding who has been running well all season and goes well on heavy ground.

He was third over this trip in a novice hurdle at Listowel 10 days ago but didn’t look to be screaming out for further when third to the re-opposing Dalton Highway at the Curragh in June. Dermot Weld had a great weekend in Paris but Dalton Highway seems to prefer better ground in order to show his best form, which he’d certainly need to do to win this

Last year’s third SUMMER MOON should go well for Mark Johnston. He’s 9lb higher here but has not been overly-raced since and looked ready for this kind of test when grinding out a victory at York last time, beating a reliable yardstick in Rajinsky. Not many horses stay this trip strongly on the Flat but he strikes me as being ready to run for his life here at a very attractive 16/1 each-way.

Makanawee and Indianapolis renew rivalry having finished third and fourth at York but it’s anybody’s guess if they’ll flourish for the extra yardage whereas we know Summer Moon stays this trip.

Hughie Morrison is a shrewd handler both over jumps and on the Flat and appears to have laid out last year’s fourth Not So Sleepy for this.

A much improved hurdler who won twice at Ascot before Christmas in 2019, he reappeared at Pontefract recently where he made a mockery of his handicap mark to hose up over a mile-and-a-half. He’s unsurprisingly one of the market leaders but he’s a keen enough sort for this type of test and didn’t appear to get home last tear

Another top dual-purpose trainer, Alan King, has a likely type here in Ascot Stakes hero COUER DE LION, who followed up his Royal meeting success with a solid enough performance at Goodwood over further in July. He may not have quite been at his best there but stays this far and more, has solid heavy ground form and can be fancied over a course-and-distance where he’s twice run well in the trial for this race which is held in September.

King has few peers with handicappers and his Flat runners have been in great nick all season, so he’s a very solid each-way bet here at current odds of 20/1.

Over at York the Coral Sprint Trophy has attracted the usual suspects but a strongly run six furlongs on soft ground should prove the ideal test for current market leader CAME FROM THE DARK, who finished strongly to win last time at Haydock.

He’s up 6lb for that but sprinters in form at this time of year are worth sticking with and he’s been talked of in glowing terms by trainer Ed Walker on more than one occasion. He looks ready to start to fulfil his promise and rates a bet at 10/1.

Preview posted 0845 BST on 6/10/2020