Value Bet Ben Linfoot's free racing tips for Newmarket 1000 Guineas day June 7 2020

Recommended Bets, Newmarket June 7

1pt win Faylaq in 1.50 Newmarket at 13/2

1pt e.w Les Hogues in 3.35 Newmarket at 33/1

1pt win Arctic Sound in 4.10 Newmarket at 9/1

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The QIPCO 1000 Guineas looks more wide open than the colts’ equivalent and it’s a race that often doesn’t go to the most obvious form candidate, with 11 winners this century going off at a double-figure starting price.

The Fillies’ Mile one-three, Quadrilateral and Love, can be filed in the most obvious form candidates drawer this time around but both look like they’ll benefit from going at least a bit further, and they do look vulnerable to the speedier types for my money.

With that in mind Millisle could be the one to prevail, as her finishing effort was really impressive in the Cheveley Park and on that evidence the mile of the 1000 Guineas could be absolutely ideal for her, while she also hails from a stable that is blessed in the three-year-old fillies department.

All the 5/1 has disappeared about her now, though, after further good support on Saturday, and with plenty of bookies going four places (Paddy Power are going five, Sky Bet, Betfair Sportsbook, bet365, BetVictor, Betfred and 888sport are all going 1/5 1,2,3,4) I’d rather back a filly each-way at a much bigger price.

The one that appeals is LES HOGUES at 33/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4) as her form in France looks to have been seriously underestimated at those odds.

Trained by Jean-Claude Rouget at two - she has her first start for George Baker on Sunday - her juvenile form across the Channel stands up to close inspection.

An impressive winner on debut, she chased home Earthlight on her second start, won a Listed race next time out and then finished a close-up fourth in the Group Three Prix la Rochette at Longchamp where she was behind two good colts in Kenway and Wooded.

The latter won the Prix Texanita by over three lengths last month, but the most impressive piece of form from Les Hogues was her neck second to subsequent Poule d’Essai des Pouliches winner Dream And Do in the Prix Miesque over seven furlongs at the end of October.

Not only did the French 1000 Guineas winner come out of the race, but the fourth and fifth, Wanaway and Mageva, have both franked the form since as well, giving it a really solid look despite the race being run on heavy ground.

There’s no reason why Les Hogues won’t go on faster ground and from what we saw in France she has the pace and the class to have a say in the finish under Cieren Fallon, taking part in his first Classic.

Elsewhere on the card, Mark Johnston’s string have hit the ground running and that bodes well ahead of ARCTIC SOUND’s (9/1 Sky Bet, bet365) bid for the Setting Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap at 4.10.

He’s likely to be well placed in this as he should sit prominent off the pace set by Zhui Feng and if it pans out like that he’s handicapped to go close.

Rated 110 after winning the Group Three Tattersalls Stakes at this track as a two-year-old, he looks well treated off mark of 100 now and he hasn’t run over a mile on this sort of ground since he was a neck second to Fox Champion in last year’s German 2000 Guineas.

He’s had a variety of excuses since then, like heavy ground and trip experiments, but has plenty in his favour on Sunday and considering his yard are firing on all cylinders as well, the 9/1 looks big.

The Johnston yard have a fine chance with Communique earlier on in the Betfair Exchange Buckhounds Stakes (1.50), too, but at the prices I prefer the chances of William Haggas’ FAYLAQ at 13/2 (General).

Communique is a good horse when he gets his conditions and he has plenty in his favour on Sunday, but he could be vulnerable to a strong traveller with a turn of foot and Faylaq is that kind of horse.

By Dubawi out of the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe and King George winner Danedream, Faylaq is bred for the job but he’s looked a work in progress throughout a career that has taken time to flourish.

He’d only had three runs by the June of his three-year-old career, but he made a mockery of his opening mark of 73 and three starts later he was cruising to another easy success off 95.

On his last start, in the Cumberland Lodge, he travelled best of all once again before getting stuck in the mud, but he looks like being a different proposition again at four on better ground and he has the potential to land this race before going onto bigger things.

Preview posted at 1700 BST on 07/06/2020

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