Breaking It Down: Murt Khan’s horse racing tip for Friday
Professional punter Murt Khan put up a winner yesterday and is off to Newton Abbot in his follow-up bid.
Recommended bets:
1pt win Needless Shouting in 3.45 Newton Abbot at 6/1
0.5pt win Beuvron in 4.20 Newton Abbot at 20/1
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3.45 Newton Abbot preview
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In these type of selling hurdles it's most probably stick to horses who are in form or have an angle that could give them some kind of edge.
For me the horse who could have that edge in this contest is NEEDLESS SHOUTING. He has a modest strike rate with three wins from 46 starts but has always been a horse with a bit of ability.
So far in 2017, he has been campaigned over fences for Joanne Foster and had shown no worthwhile form until his latest start, where he hinted at the ability which has been there since he dotted up in a juvenile hurdle two summers ago.
Since finishing fourth last time, he has changed hands and is now in the care of Alexandra Dunn. The yard is operating at a 13% strike-rate this year and has done well with these types in the past, so with Needless Shouting probably happier over hurdles and certainly on an attractive mark, he appeals at the price in a really poor race.
4.20 Newton Abbot preview
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There is a lot of pace on paper in this staying chase.
BEUVRON didn't fare that badly on his rules debut over course and distance, running all the way to the line having struggled to go with the early pace.
He may be a tad sharper for the experience and there's a possibility the race could fall into his lap if there is an early burn-up.
Follow Murt on Twitter @purple_n_gold1
Breaking It Down P&L:
July: -3.50pts
June: -10.10pts
May: +30pts
Posted at 0740 BST on 07/07/17.
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