Breaking It Down: Murt Khan's daily horse racing tips

Recommended bets: Breaking It Down

2pts win Free Stone Hill in 3.15 Statford at 11/8

0.5pt win Our Three Sons in 3.15 Stratford at 10/3

1pt win Cernunnos in 4.20 Stratford at 5/1

0.5pt win Dragon's Den in 4.20 Stratford at 14/1

1pt win Valseur Du Granval in 4.10 Perth at 7/2

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3.15 Stratford preview

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OUR THREE SONS is likely to get a soft time of things up front in this 2m handicap hurdle.  He notched up two impressive wins before going off hard enough and setting the race up for Sailors Warn last time out.  Even though he ran with credit having most probably gone off too fast I'm not entirely sure what the form amounts to.

The horse who will likely be the one on his tail is St Saviour.  He has run with credit this spring and has slowly crept up the weights, but on the book I'm struggling to see how he will reverse form with favourite FREE STONE HILL.

In similar fashion to Our Three Sons, Free Stone Hill notched up a double before finishing third at Aintree over 2m 4f.  

Connections have given him a two month break and I feel his form has more substance than his nearest rival in the market and looks better handicapped.  I would make him closer to an even money shot on so the 11/8 is worth taking.

4.20 Stratford preview

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CERNUNNOS has crept down in the handicap and last time out I felt he was going to play a massive part in the finish before unseating.  

These are his ideal conditions and if he can get into a nice rhythm in midfield I think he will go very close today. DRAGON'S DEN who I fancied last time may appreciate the step up in trip and is worth a small play.

4.10 Perth preview

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VALSEUR DU GRANVAL put it all together last time out against out Days Of Heaven who proved a revelation during the spring since having a spell in the States.  

There are a few go forward horses in this race and it should suit Tom George's eight year old who runs off a 1lb higher mark today.  The yard is in good form right now and I can see Heskin giving VASEUR DU GRANVAL a quiet ride and with all things considered 7/2 seems fair.

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Breaking It Down P&L:

July: +1pt
June: -10.10pts
May: +30pts

Posted at 0840 BST on 16/07/17.