Sky Sports Racing presenter Alex Hammond maps out her Royal Ascot thoughts including an outsider to follow on the opening day.
The most famous meeting of the year has come around again and this year’s Royal Ascot should be somewhere in the region of 'normal' after it was run behind closed doors in 2020 (desolate) and with a restricted crowd in 2021 (marginally better).
Here are a handful of potential outcomes that will make the five days sensational for me in 2022...
Star of the week
Much like Desert Crown’s demolition in the Derby, Ascot will be set alight if we see a superstar early on.
Baaeed has the potential to be that star and Ascot won’t need a firework display to add atmosphere to the occasion if this lad does something spectacular in the Queen Anne. He’s not an attractive betting proposition at 1/4 favourite with Sky Bet, but it’s not always about that.
Hats off to the Queen
Her Majesty has several chances across the week and after the Jubilee celebrations it would cap off the year if The Queen had a winner at Royal Ascot.
She has a few rolls of the dice. King’s Lynn may have got his work cut out against the international challengers in the King’s Stand (he’s also in the Platinum Jubilee). Perfect Alibi has the option of the Queen’s Vase on Wednesday (most likely) or the Ribblesdale on Thursday.
Naval College could make his handicap debut in the King George V Handicap on Thursday, course winner Saga and (another potential handicap debutante) Kiteflyer are in the Britannia on Thursday.
Reach For The Moon is entered in the Hampton Court on Thursday and the King Edward VII on Friday and Tactical completes the squad with an entry in the Buckingham Palace on Thursday.
Reach For The Moon in the Hampton Court looks to be the best chance of the week in a bid to provide Her Majesty with a 25th winner at the meeting. He’s 5/4 favourite for the contest with Sky Bet.
Best bet(s) of the week
I have more than one, but the first of them could also fall into the category of “long-term retrieval mission”.
Who can forget the pain of the narrow defeat of last year’s NAP MC Muldoon in last year’s Ascot Stakes? It’s etched in my memory but I’m hoping Willie Mullins can lift the prize in 2022 with Bring On The Night (4/1 market leader) and gain some kind of compensation.
This race is usually won by a jumps trainer, but that won’t help as the protagonists all hail from stables who are better known for their exploits in the winter game. Gordon Elliott is responsible for second favourite Pied Piper and Nicky Henderson saddles another of the leading contenders in Ahorsewithnoname.
Bring On The Night looks well handicapped on the flat, he’s bred for the game and started out in a flat yard in France with Andre Fabre for whom he was a winner. Ryan Moore takes the ride. Tick, tick, tick.
Another horse that will be on my radar, given a favourable high draw, will be Lady Tilbury in Wednesday’s Queen Mary. She’s currently 12/1 with Sky Bet after wins at Cork and Tipperary.
Gary Carroll rode Quick Suzy to win this race last year and he knows what it takes to win this fillies’ contest. The aforementioned duo may make up my (in)famous Sky Bet daily double given a decent draw for the latter.
Aussies at the double?
Thanks to a fun quiz from my SSR friend/colleague Jamie Lynch, I found out that Australia have had 37 runners at Royal Ascot over the years.
The country relies on three this time round, two of whom are trained by ace Chris Waller, Home Affairs in the Platinum Jubilee, and Nature Strip in the King’s Stand.
Tuesday’s King’s Stand promises to be a real thriller with the highest rated sprinter in the world, Nature Strip, taking on the fastest horse in the world in Wesley Ward’s Golden Pal who is rated 3lbs inferior to the Aussie sprinter. Connections of both can be satisfied with the high draws they have been handed.
I favour the horse who has travelled the furthest because the stiff five-furlongs doesn’t look as suitable for the American speedster. Sky Bet can’t separate the pair who are 5/2 joint favourites, but I know who my money is on!
What about the Down Under double?
Home Affairs is the new kid on the sprinting block in Australia but has already beaten his illustrious stablemate (albeit he can thank the rub of the green for his defeat of Nature Strip in the Lightning Stakes in February).
Having heard an interview with Chris Waller at the weekend and his measured and meticulous approach to his Ascot planning, I can see the likeable Kiwi heading back to his adopted home with a big sprint double.
Longshot of the week
Lady Tilbury almost falls into this category although I expect she will be shorter given a stand’s side draw.
So, the horse that I’m hoping can give is something to cheer about at fair odds is Tasman Bay in Tuesday’s Wolferton Stakes. If you’re so inclined, Sky Bet are paying five places and at 10/1 he offers some each-way value.
He’s shorter than I’d hoped in truth, but the booking of Australian star James McDonald to ride won’t have done his claims any harm.
He’s been gelded since we last saw him in action and his placed performances behind the likes of Hurricane Lane, John Leeper, Alenquer, Baaeed and Dubai Honour look strong.
Heart ruling head
Stradivarius winning a record equalling fourth Gold Cup would be the icing on the cake for this year’s Royal Ascot.
If the likeable cheeky chappy can emulate Yeats at the grand old age of eight it would be a remarkable feat for everyone involved with the horse. He is incredibly resilient and a great character, and all credit to John and Thady Gosden for keeping his energy channelled in the right direction year after year.
He’s off to stud at the end of this campaign and it would be heart warming to see him sent off in a blaze of glory. It would also advertise his soundness, constitution, and longevity which I hope would make breeders flock to use him next year.
I’ll see you there each day with our top team on Sky Sports Racing for a firecracker of a week (explosive, but not in the literal sense of course!). We’ll have tips aplenty from our shrewd team so let’s hope for a show-stopping week, peppered with an abundance of winners.
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