David Ord's horse-by-horse guide to Sunday's QIPCO 1000 Guineas and he's siding with a northern raider to light up Newmarket.
ALTYN ORDA
Oh So Sharp winner at two and good reappearance when second to Soliloquy in Nell Gwyn. Physically she can still progress and should stay a mile but hard to find a compelling reason as to why she’ll cope with her trial conqueror’s turn of foot any better here.
ANNA NERIUM
Showed improved form on reappearance when drawing clear to beat the colts in the Free Handicap. Worth a shot in this on that evidence but could find a few too hot to handle.
BILLESDON BROOK
Fourth in the Nell Gwyn on her return to action and while she’s entitled to improve from it – it would need a huge leap forward for her to be a serious contender here.
DAN’S DREAM
Supplemented after winning the Fred Darling at Newbury and definitely on the upgrade. Entitled to come forward again on only her fourth career start but is another with something to find on the book.
HAPPILY
Easily forgiven her final race flop at two in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies’ Turf and leading player here on her European juvenile form including victory in the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere. Worthy favourite but doesn’t have anywhere near the amount in hand on the formbook that the betting suggests.
I CAN FLY
Another O’Brien runner. Third to Altyn Orda in the Oh So Sharp and will come on for reappearance run at Leopardstown. Needs to but interesting she has been very strong in the market in recent days.
LAURENS
Progressed with every race at two winning the May Hill and signing off with victory in the Fillies’ Mile over course-and-distance. Connections are delighted with her preparations, she brings top flight form to the table and we know she handles the Dip and other course complications. What’s not to like?
LIQUID AMBER
A lively outsider. Only had two career starts within the space of eight August days but improved form debut second to win Flame Of Tara Stakes at the Curragh. She showed a smart turn of foot to slam Ballet Shoes by five lengths (Bye Bye Baby a further four back in fourth) and is a filly with a bright future. This is a tough starting point but she’s a name to remember.
MADELINE
Placed in Lowther and Cheveley Park at two but limitations seemingly exposed in both and hard to think she’ll have made sufficient progress over the winter to shake up the best of these for all she’s in excellent hands.
SARROCHHI
Unxposed Ballydoyle filly who will improve with racing this term – but she is a long way short of this standard for now.
SIZZLING
Fourth to Laurens in May Hill and another who looks a stone shy of what’s needed to win a 1000 Guineas.
SOLILOQUY
Supplemented after winning the Nell Gwyn and will progress again. Already a leading player on form she has to be shortlist material for a stable that continues in red-hot form this spring.
VITAMIN
Form of her win at Newmarket in August franked in no uncertain style by runner-up Soliloquy in the Nell Gwyn. This filly is having her first start since and needs to have also made giant strides since that day.
WILD ILLUSION
Stablemate of Soliloquy and only expected to run if there some ease in the ground. Massive player if she does having landed the Prix Marcel Boussac at Chantilly and looks the sort to do even better at three but possibly over further too.
WORSHIP
Well backed when making winning debut at Kempton in December. Complete unknown quantity but needs to be special to win this on her second career start.
VERDICT:
Happily deserves her place at the head of the market but looks potentially vulnerable and is worth taking on. The Godolphin representative – at the time of writing likely to be Soliloquy – clearly warrants plenty of respect but LAURENS has an awful lot going for her and shouldn’t be a 9/1 chance. Of those at bigger prices Liquid Amber looks an exciting prospect and can go well.
1st Laurens
2nd Liquid Amber
3rd Soliloquy