Free NFL betting tips, picks and predictions: Wildcard Weekend value touchdown scorers

NFL betting tips: Wildcard Weekend

1pt Ryan Tannehill to score a touchdown in Tennessee Titans v Baltimore Ravens at 9/4

1pt LA Rams defence/special teams to score a touchdown v Seattle Seahawks at 6/1

1pt John Brown to score a touchdown in Buffalo Bills v Indianapolis Colts at 2/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Sure, Alvin Kamara looks like he’ll score every single week – but at 1/2 for an anytime touchdown, the value simply isn’t there.

In this article I’ll be looking for offensive/defensive mismatches, sneaky backups and more, with some high value touchdown scorers definitely worth taking a look at.

Tennessee Titans v Baltimore Ravens

• When: Sunday at 18:05 GMT
• TV: Sky Sports NFL/Free to watch on Sky Bet
• Best bet: Ryan Tannehill anytime @ 9/4

Ryan Tannehill has five rushing touchdowns in his last three games, and it’s not a fluke. He’s under-the-radar mobile, and isn’t afraid to run - he has thirteen rushes in those three games, going for 114 yards.

Derrick Henry is such a threat that he’s going to attract a flurry of defenders, leaving Tannehill with open field on option runs. The Ravens defence has conceded five rushing touchdowns to QBs (joint-fourth most in NFL), and they’ve only faced three real ‘mobile’ quarterbacks all season.

Tannehill is in great form, and with Henry pulling the defenders expect the QB to sneak into the end-zone. If you’re feeling brave, the brace looks strong at 20/1.

New Orleans Saints v Chicago Bears

• When: Sunday at 21:40 GMT
• TV: Sky Sports NFL/Free to watch on Sky Bet
• Best bet: Darnell Mooney anytime @ 3/1

Darnell Mooney has quietly been one of the best rookie receivers of this draft class, especially when considering he was a fifth round selection.

In his last four games he has 21 receptions going for 203 yards and two touchdowns. Last week against the Packers he saw a HUGE 13 targets, as he caught eleven for 93 yards, and we can expect to see similar volume this week. Allen Robinson was locked up by Jaire Alexander, and now he faces the equally as menacing Marshon Lattimore.

This will see more passes going Mooney’s way, as he represents good value to score.

Pittsburgh Steelers v Cleveland Browns

• When: Monday at 1:15 GMT
• TV: Sky Sports NFL/Free to watch on Sky Bet
• Best bet: Austin Hooper anytime @ 5/2

Since returning from his neck injury in week 14, Austin Hooper has been integral to the Browns’ offence. He has seen 26 targets in his last three games, catching 16 for 210 yards and two touchdowns.

Hooper has played the Steelers twice this season, producing nine catches for 89 yards and a score – so he’s more than prepared for their third meeting. He has nine red zone targets on the season, seven of them with just goal to go.

Hooper & Landry will be Mayfield’s main targets when moving the ball through the air, and the TEs athletic prowess will see more redzone targets come his way.

Buffalo Bills v Indianapolis Colts

• When: Saturday at 1805 GMT
• TV: Sky Sports NFL/Free to watch on Sky Bet
• Best bet: John Brown anytime @ 2/1

John Brown is back, and he let everybody know. Against the Dolphins he caught all four of his targets for 72 yards and a score. Brown is Allen’s favourite deep threat, and the Colts are without starting cornerback Rock Ya-Sin.

Diggs has been simply unbelievable, and he’s going to draw the bulk of the coverage, leaving Brown to streak downfield. For as good as the Colts’ D has been, they’ve allowed 2+ TDs to WRs in their last three games, conceding 17 to the position in total on the season.

At 2/1, I love Brown’s chances of finding the endzone.

Seattle Seahawks v Los Angeles Rams

• When: Saturday at 21:40 GMT
• TV: Sky Sports NFL/Free to watch on Sky Bet
• Best bet: LA Rams defence/special teams anytime touchdown @ 6/1

This Rams D is red hot. They have four defensive touchdowns in their last six games, alongside 21 sacks, four interceptions, six forced fumbles and a safety.

Through those six games they are allowing opposing teams an average of just 265 total yards per game, and they face Russell Wilson in questionable form. The ‘Let Russ Cook’ era is over – in his last three games he has a QB rating of just 84.9, averaging a measly 175 passing yards per game.

And let’s not forget about their rushing attack, Chris Carson has 11 career fumbles in 45 games, and the mobile Wilson has seven fumbles this season.

This is poised to be a low-scoring game, with the Rams D being the deciding factor.

Odds correct at 1730 GMT on 08/01/21

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