Sporting Life
Matt Temple-Marsh takes a look at the best value in the NFL touchdown markets
Matt Temple-Marsh takes a look at the best value in the NFL touchdown markets

Free NFL betting tips: Value touchdown scorers for Week Eight games including Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers

By Matt Temple-Marsh
NFL
Sun November 01, 2020 · 4y ago

Matt Temple-Marsh has searched through the touchdown scorer markets for some extra value in Week Eight of the NFL.

Recommended bets

1pt Brandon Aiyuk anytime in Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers at 7/4

1pt Le’Veon Bell anytime in Kansas City Chiefs v New York Jets at 7/4

1pt Jimmy Graham anytime in Chicago Bears v New Orleans Saints at 2/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Sure, Ezekiel Elliott looks like he’ll score every single week – but at 1/2 for an anytime touchdown, the value simply isn’t there. In this article I’ll be looking for offensive/defensive mismatches, sneaky backups and more, with some high value touchdown scorers definitely worth taking a look at. Both recommended bets landed last week, so it’s time to find more value.

Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers

Aiyuk is an electric receiver who couldn’t be with a more perfect team – he’s already a member of the YAC bro’s (yards after catch), with Kittle & Deebo, all equipped with their bruising & athletic physicality. The rookie poses a threat in both the passing & running game, and with Deebo Samuel out, Aiyuk is in line for a surge in touches. The icing on the cake? He faces the Seahawks’ woeful defence on Sunday. Pete Carroll’s defence surrenders more targets, receptions and yards per game to wide receivers than any other defence in the league. Aiyuk is going to feast.

Kansas City Chiefs v New York Jets

The revenge games of all revenge games. Lev Bell was desperate to get out of New York, and as far away from Adam Gase as possible - Gase famously said he didn’t want to sign Bell, just days after the running back had signed for Gang Green. Finally the RB is free, and in his Chiefs debut he carried the ball six times for 39 yards. Whether Bell can return to his All-Pro level remains unclear, but this game means more. The split between Clyde Edwards-Helaire & Bell is foggy, but the Chiefs are favoured by 19 points (yes, 19!). Expect Andy Reid’s team to pound the ball consistently in a blow out, and get ready for Le’Veon’s revenge.

Cleveland Browns v Las Vegas Raiders

Odell Beckham Jr. is done for the season after tearing his ACL. Higgins will now step into the WR2 position, and he has already shown promise. Against the Bengals, the wide receiver caught all six of his targets for 110 yards – showing the chemistry with Baker is already there. This week he faces the Raiders, who possess the 10th worst defence to wide receivers on the year. Dare I say the Browns may actually look better without OBJ, as Baker won’t have to try and force-feed the star wideout. This is an exciting matchup with both franchises on the rise – expect a tight, high scoring affair, where Higgins could go for six.

Chicago Bears v New Orleans Saints

The Jimmy Graham renaissance is here, as the tight end is once again showing flashes from his 2013 campaign. With four touchdowns in just seven games, Graham is the prime weapon in his lacklustre Bears’ offence. Graham has a team high 11 red zone targets, including seven with just goal-to-go. The TE is in store for a huge week, facing the worst defence in the league to tight ends. The Saints surrender an average of nine targets, six catches and a touchdown to tight ends every game – this is a perfect matchup. Don’t forget that the Saints traded Graham away in 2015, so he may be looking to get revenge against their porous defence.

Cincinnati Bengals v Tennessee Titans

The rookie sensation is back in this article again, after he found the end zone last week. Higgins went off to the tune of five catches for 71 yards & a score, and he has another promising matchup in store. The Titans’ secondary stacks up as the fourth worst in the league, giving up nearly 1,200 yards & nine touchdowns to WRs through just six games. Joe Burrow is on pace to break the rookie record for pass attempts, and he loves feeding his receivers. This is yet another game where the Bengals will likely be trailing, so expect Burrow to go wild as he chases the Titan’s potent offence.

Preview posted 1730 GMT on 30/10/2020

Responsible gambling

We are committed in our support of responsible gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133, or visit begambleaware.org.

Further support and information can be found at GamCare and gamblingtherapy.org.