Sporting Life
Tuesday's Premier League previews and best bets
Tuesday's Premier League previews and best bets

Free Premier League football tips: Betting previews, score predictions & best bets for Tuesday's action - Tottenham v West Ham & Leicester v Brighton

By Paul Higham
Football
Tue June 23, 2020 · 5y ago

We've got our predictions and best bets for Tuesday as Brighton visit Leicester and Spurs host West Ham in a crucial London derby.

Recommended bets

2pts Tottenham to beat West Ham & under 3.5 goals at 8/5

1pt Leicester to beat Brighton & both teams to score at 11/4

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Leicester v Brighton

Should be a regulation home win here with Brighton winning just twice away from home this season, and one of those coming way back on the opening day, if you can remember that far. Their win over Arsenal was great but that five-point cushion they've now got above the drop zone will just make them a bit more comfortable, and the intensity levels could drop.

One man who will be running on 100 percent is Jamie Vardy (5/6 anytime scorer), who is still chasing his 100th Premier League goal and now gets a team he's scored against in his last four games. Perfect timing to break that barrier.

A hard-fought win at Watford was snatched from Leicester by a stoppage time Craig Dawson bicycle kick - those words have never been written before and never will again, so the Foxes will be keen to add another three points to their fight to finish third. It's a fight I think they'll have enough to win.

Brighton's 11 draws does bring the stalemate (11/4) into play, especially as the Seagulls have drawn their last three away games, but Brendan Rodgers' side don't really do draws - they've had six all season (only four teams have fewer) and just three at home.

It's got that score-and-win bet feeling about it with a Vardy goal and a Leicester win double trading at around 7/5 and certainly one for your shortlist.

I think Leicester will be a class above here, but for all that class they've only had wour wins to nil at home this season, while Brighton have had nine away games yielding goals at both ends. So with the pressure relatively lifted, the Seagulls are backed to find the net, yet lose the game.

Prediction: Leicester 2-1 Brighton (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)

Best bet: Leicester to beat Brighton & both teams to score at 11/4

Leicester City v Brighton Opta stats

  • Leicester have won four of their five Premier League meetings with Brighton (D1), winning 2-0 at the Amex Stadium in the reverse fixture.
  • Leicester’s last Premier League match to be played on a Tuesday was in February 2019 – a 2-1 home victory over Brighton and Hove Albion.
  • Brighton have taken just one point from their 30 available in the Premier League away from home against sides starting the day in the top four, drawing their first such match at Watford in August 2017 before losing each of the last nine in a row.
  • Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored in each of his last four Premier League matches against Brighton, with all of these coming in the second half. His next strike will be his 100th in the Premier League.
  • Neal Maupay is Brighton’s top scorer in the Premier League this season with nine goals, at least three times as many as any other player at the club. The Seagulls are unbeaten in all nine games in which the Frenchman has scored (W5 D4).

Tottenham v West Ham

This game would have had some atmosphere if fans were allowed in, perhaps not all of it good, but it would have been one of those fierce London derbies. It's not quite a must-win but it's not far off for both sides.

I've basically ruled Spurs out of finishing any higher than seventh - I just don't see them making four points more than Man Utd and Wolves over eight games - but seventh could yet come with a place in Europe next season.

David Moyes would probably take a point from this one, but draws will only do so much when you're down there and their performance against Wolves did little to instill confidence in their survival bid - there's a reason Karren Brady wanted the season voided.

The Hammers have won one in ten, and lost seven of those and have an awful away record (W3 D3 L9). They also have a worrying trend recently of going behind (last five away games) and also fading late in games. They've conceded after the hour mark in six of the last eight away games - even at home they conceded two late on against Wolves.

So you can probably guess that a home win is on the agenda here, but it's hard to tip up goals when the Premier League restart has been a cagey one. 23 goals in 11 games so far but those numbers are boosted by Man City and Newcastle's 3-0 wins against ten men - it's even harder to play with a man less with no adrenalin flowing from a big crowd.

Harry Kane must surely improve from his first run-out after injury and Steven Bergwijn (6/1 first scorer) looked excellent in spells against Man Utd - Spurs should have more than enough to take the three points, it's just the manner of the victory we need to work out.

18 of the 23 Premier League goals scored up until Sunday had come in the second half, as games take time to get going, and Evens on the second half having most goals will be popular. Only four from the first 11 games of the restart has seen both teams score, with five going over 2.5 goals.

The 'win to nil' instantly jumped out at me after watching West Ham last time out, before remembering Spurs have had only three of those in the league this season (one of them that incredible smash-and-grab against Man City as well).

Conversely, and a sign of these strange times, Spurs have the most games with both teams scoring in the league (21) but I'm not convinced West Ham can find the net! So, much like many of the games so far in the restart, I'm playing it safe, banking on the home win but budgeting for a couple more goals than I'd otherwise expect.

Prediction: Tottenham 2-1 West Ham (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)

Best bet: Tottenham to beat West Ham & under 3.5 goals at 8/5

Tottenham Hotspur v West Ham - Opta stats

  • Spurs are looking to complete a Premier League double over West Ham for the first time since the 2012-13 season under André Villas-Boas.
  • West Ham won 1-0 away at Spurs last season but haven’t won back-to-back away league matches against their London rivals since November 1966 under Ron Greenwood.
  • Tottenham have dropped five points from winning positions in their last two home league games, losing 2-3 against Wolves and drawing 1-1 with Man Utd despite leading. They had only dropped four points from winning positions in their previous 23 Premier League home games.
  • West Ham have won just one of their last 10 Premier League games (D2 L7), while away from home the Hammers have lost each of their last six. Only Bournemouth (7) have won fewer Premier League points so far in 2020 than David Moyes’ side (8).
  • During his entire managerial career, Spurs boss José Mourinho has managed more games against David Moyes without losing than any other manager (13 – W8 D5).
  • Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored 29 goals in just 47 Premier League London derby matches – only Thierry Henry (43), Frank Lampard (32) and Teddy Sheringham (32) have netted more.

Follow Sporting Life on social - find us on Facebook here or tweet @SportingLifeFC

Related football content

Responsible gambling

We are committed in our support of responsible gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

Sky Bet's responsible gambling tools are detailed here and if you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133, or visit begambleaware.org.

Further support and information can be found at GamCare and gamblingtherapy.org.