Sporting Life's Premier League preview package

Super Sunday preview: Predictions and best bets for Sunday's Premier League games including Tottenham v Newcastle and Bournemouth v Man City

By Paul Higham

Football

Sun August 25, 2019 · 5y ago

Three games on Sunday to get stuck into and we're backing a couple of comfortable wins for Spurs and Man City and a few goals at Molineux.

Recommended bets

2pts Man City to win to nil at 21/20

1pt both teams to score in Wolves v Burnley at 11/10

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

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Bournemouth v Man City - NO | Spurs v Newcastle - NO | Wolves v Burnley - YES

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Bournemouth v Man City 1400BST - Sky Sports Premier League

Bournemouth have just two draws to show for their 14 games against Man City and have lost the last eight straight by a combined 25-3 - and it won't get any easier for them as Pep Guardiola's side arrive angry on the south coast following last week's draw with Spurs.

City battered Tottenham at the Etihad and that controversial draw will not have gone down well, but the performance was good and the treble winners look in irresistible form already this season - not a good omen for Eddie Howe's boys, who struggle against top six sides (13 defeats in the last 15).

Raheem Sterling and Kevin De Bruyne have both been looking unplayable at times and after the Cherries opened up with games against newly-promoted Sheffield United and Aston Villa, it'll be a rude awakening now facing the best of the best.

City have had a week to sit and stew over those two dropped points against Spurs, and they will put things right in style here. Bournemouth won't have anywhere near enough of the ball to threaten City, who are fancied to win without conceding.

Best bet: Man City to win to nil at 21/20

Bournemouth v Man City Opta stats

Man City have won their last eight away Premier League games versus teams on the south coast, since a 2-4 loss versus Southampton in May 2016.
Bournemouth have never kept a clean sheet in their 21 previous Premier League games on a Sunday, shipping 56 goals in total (W3 D2 L16). Their only two home wins on Sunday in the top-flight have been vs ‘big six’ sides (4-3 v Liverpool and 2-1 v Arsenal).
Callum Wilson hasn’t scored in any of his last five Premier League home games for Bournemouth, going 469 minutes and taking 15 shots since his last goal at the Vitality Stadium.
Man City’s Raheem Sterling has been directly involved in 10 goals in just seven Premier League appearances against Bournemouth (8 goals, 2 assists), with the England forward netting in two of his three games at the Vitality Stadium.

Tottenham v Newcastle 1630BST - Sky Sports Premier League

Spurs came out on the right side of that amazing draw at Man City last week, but Mauricio Pochettino knows full well that they'll need just as much of a response as the champions after being dominated in every department - apart from the scoreboard.

Newcastle, then, will have to survive an expected early onslaught a week after a humiliating away defeat at Norwich, and their struggle to create clear cut chances is a real worry for an already-beleaguered Steve Bruce.

Christian Eriksen looked key in Spurs' opener as he unlocked Aston Villa and if he's in from the start he should again prove pivotal as the home side look to kick-start their season here with a facile victory.

Given the likely possessional dominance for Spurs, and the creativity problems for Bruce, expect it to be a relatively comfortable afternoon for the hosts as they run out easy winners.

Best bet: Tottenham to win to nil at 11/10

Tottenham v Newcastle Opta stats

Tottenham have won their last four Premier League matches against Newcastle, since a 1-5 defeat on the final of the 2015-16 campaign. The Lilywhites have never won five consecutive league games against the Magpies.
None of Spurs’ last 21 Premier League home games against Newcastle have ended as a draw (13 wins for Spurs, 8 wins for Newcastle).
Spurs have won 23 points at home in 2019, 16 more than they’ve picked up on the road (23 at home, 7 away) – the biggest points differential amongst Premier League sides this calendar year.
Steve Bruce is looking to avoid becoming the first permanent Newcastle United manager to lose his opening three games in the Premier League, following defeats to Arsenal and Norwich City.
This is Tottenham boss Mauricio Pochettino’s 500th game as a manager in all competitions in his career. Excluding other ‘big six’ sides, against no side has he lost more Premier League games than he has against Newcastle.

Wolves v Burnley 1630BST

Could the Europa League qualifiers finally catch up with Wolves? This could be a prime banana skin game against an in-form Burnley side who dispatched Southampton with ease and were then slightly unlucky not to get a point at Arsenal.

In Ashley Barnes they have one of the year's top Premier League strikers, with only Sadio Mane and Sergio Aguero finding the net more in 2019, and if Nuno Espirito Santo has to make changes then Wolves may struggle to match Burnley's energy and renewed confidence this season under Sean Dyche.

Odds of 18/5 for a Burnley win are tempting, as is the 9/4 on them in the 'draw no bet' market, but Wolves have serious strength in depth this season and at home they may well still have enough about them to end a busy week with a win.

With the extra attacking menace in the Clarets this season, both teams to score looks the best bet at odds-against in what should be another entertaining game at Molineux.

Best bet: Both teams to score at 11/10

Wolves v Burnley Opta stats

Burnley have lost just one of their last six league encounters against Wolves (W3 D2 L1), winning 2-0 in their most recent meeting back in March at Turf Moor.
This will be the first top-flight meeting between Wolves and Burnley where neither side were newly promoted since February 1976, with Wolves winning that fixture 3-2.
Wolves are unbeaten in their last nine Premier League games at Molineux, winning six and drawing three. They last had a longer unbeaten home run in the top-flight between April-October 1979 (10 games).
Since the start of last season, Burnley have kept three clean sheets in 20 Premier League away games. All three of them have been in 0-0 draws (at Southampton, Leicester and Watford).
Coming into the weekend’s matches only Sadio Mané (15) and Sergio Agüero (14) have scored more Premier League goals in 2019 than Burnley’s Ashley Barnes (12). Barnes has netted 40% of the Clarets’ league goals this calendar year so far (12/30).

Odds correct as of 1325 BST on 23/08/19