Super 6 Extra tips and 16/1 RequestABet: Euro 2020 final - Italy v England
We've created a 16/1 RequestABet for the Euro 2020 final between Italy and England led by our Super 6 Extra tips.
Back our 16/1 RequestABet with Sky Bet here
- Harry Kane to score anytime, Giovanni Di Lorenzo to be carded and under 10 corners
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- FT SCORE: Italy 0-1 England
- HT SCORE: Italy 0-0 England
- FIRST GOALSCORER: Harry Kane
- FIRST CARD: Giovanni Di Lorenzo
- TOTAL CORNERS: 7 and under
- MAN OF THE MATCH: Raheem Sterling
- POSSESSION: ITA 48% - 52% ENG
Full-time score: Italy 0-1 England
Football's coming home? Well, England are the favourites and the Infogol model calculates that they have a 54% chance of lifting the trophy. It also has them as favourites to win in 90 minutes and that is what we're backing here.
It's expected to be a close game - and even if the tournament has seen plenty of goals already - we're not going to extend that to the final. Excellent defensive showings could come out on top.
All-but-one of England's Euro 2020 games have been under 2.5 goals in 90 minutes and we can expect the same here.
Half-time score: Italy 0-0 England
Two sides with incredibly strong defensive records should set-up any game to be low-scoring in the first-half but a major tournament final should mean the opening 45 minutes may be nervy.
Neither side will want to make a mistake and it's likely that the game could open up as time progresses. The Three Lions have only been winning at the break in two of their six tournament games so far - they get stronger in the latter stages.
Two of Italy's three knockout games have been goalless at the break and we're backing that to happen again in the final.
First goalscorer: Harry Kane
England's captain has peaked at the right point of the tournament with four on his tally - all of those have come in the knockout stages.
They will need him to perform at the top of his game if they are to win the final and they can expect that to happen. From dropping deep to link up play to finishing off well constructed England moves, Kane is really delivering for his country at the moment.
There's also the added bonus of Kane being England's penalty taker - and if this becomes a nervy contest across the 90 minutes - that could be the way it is settled.
First card: Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Giovanni Di Lorenzo's season saw 13 cards across all competitions for Napoli while he also picked up a booking in the second-half of their round of 16 victory over Austria.
England's speedy wide men should cause the Italian full-backs problems and Di Lorenzo will have to come up against Raheem Sterling. It will be a worry for the right-back who has averaged 2.2 fouls per game at the tournament so far.
If the referee opts to keep his cards in his pocket, as many have done throughout the tournament so far, he could come up against Jack Grealish in the second-half and that will cause him more issues.
Total corners: 7 and under
England remain a low corner team and that should continue into the final. They took three across the 90 minutes against Denmark, while there were also three against Germany and two against Ukraine.
Italy aren't much better. They had one in their semi-final victory over Spain - that being across 120 minutes - while they had five against Belgium and two in normal time against Austria.
We're keeping to those numbers and backing the lowest option available in this category.
Man of the Match: Raheem Sterling
We're backing Harry Kane to be the match winner for England but Raheem Sterling's performances at the tournament so far suggest that he is in for a strong showing in the final.
He earned the Star of the Match award in the win over Croatia and can count himself unlucky not to have more to his name in other games. He's a vital part of this England team and should play every minute.
Possession: ITA 48% - 52% ENG
Italy have caught the eye but only edge the possession count on their tournament average. They sit on 52.3% after six games but their number has fluctuated greatly throughout the rounds. It peaked at 63% against Wales but they had just 35% against Spain.
England have been more consistent and their tournament average is 54.2%. The only time they've failed to have more of the ball is their round of 16 victory over Germany and we're backing them to edge the possession here.
Given how close the averages are, we're expecting England to have 52% of the ball.
Back our 16/1 RequestABet with Sky Bet here
- Harry Kane to score anytime, Giovanni Di Lorenzo to be carded and under 10 corners
Odds correct at 1135 BST (09/07/21)
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