Premier League tips: Betting previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's action including Tottenham and Manchester City

Recommended bets

1pt James Maddison to score anytime at 7/2

1pt Enda Stevens to be carded at 4/1

1pt Time of Man City's first goal 0-10 at 13/4

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Newcastle v Brighton

• 1730 kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League

Brighton will be hoping their run against Newcastle continues. Only against West Ham (5) do Brighton have a better unbeaten record in the Premier League than they do against Newcastle (4 – W2 D2).

The fact Steve Bruce is yet to win at St James' Park, where the Magpies' form is less convincing nowadays, gives Graham Potter a reason to believe they can get something from this game.

His new-look Seagulls side has plenty of creativity and, even if they cannot take their chances, they can still generate plenty of opportunities and set pieces could be key. With a head start too on the corner handicap, you can get a nice odds-against price but this is another fixture which we would rather give a miss.

Prediction: Newcastle 0-1 Brighton (Sky Bet odds: Price Boosted to 8/1)

Best bet: Corners taken handicap - Brighton (+1.0)

Key stats

• After winning five consecutive home Premier League games between January and March, Newcastle have only mustered one win in their last five at St. James’ Park (W1 D1 L3).
• Newcastle United have the lowest Expected Goals value in the Premier League this season (3.52), while only Crystal Palace (4) have recorded fewer ‘big chances’ than the Magpies (5).

Burnley v Norwich

After the high of beating Premier League champions Man City, what Norwich need is a trip to Turf Moor to bring them back down to earth.

Daniel Farke's side pulled off a remarkable result last weekend, but the Clarets are a totally different sort of opponent and Sean Dyche's men are due a win after failing to secure all three points since the start of the season.

They snatched a late point at Brighton last week and have collected four from six in front of their home fans, as they look to make their ground a fortress again.

Johann Gudmundsson was impressive in their season-opening victory over Southampton and the Icelandic midfielder can be influential here. He has been out of action for their last two league games with a calf injury and the Clarets have felt his absence.

Gudmundsson takes up good positions on the right wing and has a dangerous left foot coming inside. He should be fitter this time around after returning to grass last week and his 4/1 anytime price certainly appeals.

Considering Norwich's unconvincing away form with an aggregate of 6-1 in two games, backing the hosts to win with over 1.5 goals gives you a nice 13/10 price, but nothing particularly jumps out and gives us confidence from this one and we'll sit it out.

Super 6 prediction: Burnley 2-1 Norwich (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)

Best bet: Burnley to win and over 1.5 total goals at 13/10

Key stat

• Burnley have won their last four Premier League matches against newly-promoted teams, having won just four of their first 20 such games in the competition (W4 D9 L7).

Everton v Sheffield United

Everton will be keen to get over the disappointment of their performance at Bournemouth and will be hoping their good home record is further enhanced here.

But Sheffield United will be no pushovers. Chris Wilder's men also have to bounce back, having lost at home to Southampton, but they have collected two points from two away games so far - at Bournemouth (better than Everton's result there) and Chelsea, where they had to come from two down.

For a potential route to profit, it is worth looking at backing the visitors to get on the score sheet at just under evens. Wilder will see free-kicks and corners as key at Goodison - the Toffees have conceded 19 goals via set-pieces under Marco Silva in the Premier League (excluding penalties); more than any other team in this period (since Aug 2018) - and it's an area the Blades may well exploit.

But a more tempting price for us is in the bookings market, with Enda Stevens to be carded at 4/1.

The Irish left-sider averages the highest foul rate in the United team this season, with nearly two per game and nine in total. He is yet to be cautioned for his club in the Premier League, only in Ireland's Euro 2020 qualifying draw with Switzerland earlier this month, but could finally go in the book for a clash where the cards count may well be high.

Stevens received 10 yellow cards for club and country last season and with referee Simon Hooper averaging over three cards per game last season, he looks a good price to be on the receiving end this time at 4/1.

Super 6 prediction: Everton 1-1 Sheff United (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)

Best bet: Enda Stevens to be carded at 4/1

Key stat

• Everton have failed to win any of the 20 Premier League matches in which they’ve gone behind under Marco Silva (W0 D4 L16). In fact, Silva hasn’t won any of his last 24 PL games when his sides have gone behind, since Watford won 2-1 versus Leicester in December 2017 (W0 D5 L19).

Manchester City v Watford

There is no great time to be playing Manchester City, whether it's during one of their long winning runs or in the immediate aftermath of a rare defeat.

Watford have to deal with the latter and of course it is going to be tough at the Etihad, but Quique Sanchez Flores' side can take confidence from their comeback draw with Arsenal - rather than dwelling on their 6-0 thumping by City in last season's FA Cup final.

You would expect City to show a good reaction from their shock loss at Norwich and they did during midweek at Shakhtar, so it will take some display from the Hornets here to even take a point.

Flores will look at how Norwich took the game to City at Carrow Road, but he will also be cautious of leaving his side open at the back and that is one of the many dilemmas he faces, but Pep Guardiola's shortage in the centre of defence will give him hope.

The best way for City to put their nerves to bed is by netting early on, and they usually do at home.

They did so in their last win here against Brighton (two minutes) and scored 12 goals in the first 10 minutes last season. At just over 3/1, it's a good way to find value from a match where City are expected to put last week's nightmare to bed.

Super 6 prediction: Man City 3-1 Watford (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)

Best bet: Time of Man City's first goal 0-10 minutes at 13/4

Key stat

• Watford have lost each of their last 15 Premier League away games against ‘big six’ teams by an aggregate score of 9-45, with their last such victory coming against Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium in January 2017 (2-1).

Leicester v Tottenham

• 1230 BST kick-off on BT Sport

If Leicester revert back to their fearless best for this one, they have a real chance of beating a top-six rival in Tottenham.

Brendan Rodgers took his Foxes to an injury-hit Manchester United last week and instead of taking the game to Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's men, the Northern Irishman fielded an extra defensive midfielder in Hamzda Choudhury and placed James Maddison on the wing.

Leicester just weren't as brave as they should have been. They should learn from that 1-0 defeat and Rodgers could revert to his previous tactics against a side who have their issues at present.

Spurs threw away a two-goal lead at Olympiacos in the Champions League on Wednesday and have struggled recently on the road.

Mauricio Pochettino's side are without a victory away from home in their last eight away Premier League games and this is a fixture which has a recent history of producing goals (four in one game in 18/19, nine in one game in 17/18 and seven in one game in 16/17).

The hosts are an appealing 6/5 to open the scoring and 11/10 to score two or more, whereas both Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane - who have good records in this fixture - look short enough in the anytime markets.

A more appealing bet is one we are sticking with from a couple of weeks ago - James Maddison to get on the score sheet. He has been a key performer under Brendan Rodgers - both towards the end of the last campaign and early in this - and should soon reward faith by scoring.

The England international has now attempted the most shots without scoring in the Premier League this season (16 shots, one on target), failing to net with his last 28 attempts and last scoring against Huddersfield in April. What is important is that he is still trying, with an average of over three shots per game, and persistence will eventually pay off.

If he is deployed in his favoured position by Rodgers, this is the sort of game he can step up in and at 7/2 anytime he is worth a small play for the early kick-off.

Prediction: Leicester 2-2 Spurs (Sky Bet odds: Price Boosted to 14/1)

Best bet: James Maddison to score anytime at 7/2

Key stats

• Leicester have scored more Premier League goals against Tottenham than they have versus any other side (44). However, they’ve only conceded more goals against Manchester United (58) and Arsenal (57) in the competition than against Spurs (48).

Odds correct as of 1400 BST on 19/09/19

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